With the arrival of the Mid-Autumn Festival, beef consumption has gradually picked up. Is the current supply of beef on the market sufficient? What about the price?
beef consumption and prices are rising
fresh market is busy with replenishment
In the meat sales area of a convenient consumer market in Beijing, the reporter saw a wide variety of beef sales. The main types currently consumed are beef tendon and sirloin. On September 19, Beijing Xinfadi beef shank was quoted at 37.5 yuan per catty, a month-on-month increase of 3%. Although the price of beef has risen recently, there are still many consumers who come to buy it.
Later, the reporter learned in a fresh supermarket in Beijing that the consumption of beef by increased significantly due to the holiday effect , an increase of 30% from the previous month. Supermarkets carry out replenishment two to three times a day. Steak, sirloin chunks, beef thigh are the mainstream products.
Compared with domestic beef, the sales of imported beef are more obvious. Taking this supermarket as an example, the sales of imported beef have increased by about 30% since the beginning of the year. Take beef brisket, which sells well in China, as an example. At present, 's domestic average price is 50 yuan per catty, and imported ones are 35-40 yuan per catty.
According to industry insiders, in recent years, the price of domestic beef and imported beef has been upside down . Recently, the import volume of beef is small, which will directly affect the future trend of beef prices. It is expected that beef prices will continue to rise before the end of the year.
suspended the import of Brazilian beef
Brazil is one of the important producers of imported beef in my country due to a case of mad cow disease.Recently, however, Brazil confirmed the discovery of two cases of atypical mad cow disease.
Although the local agricultural department’s investigation results show that the case of mad cow disease has nothing to do with the intake of contaminated feed and does not pose a threat to food supply, Brazil has suspended the treatment on September 4 based on the sanitation agreement signed with China. China beef export .
According to Brazilian media reports, due to the mad cow disease case, currently has five countries including China, Egypt, Iran, Indonesia and Russia suspended from importing beef from Brazil .
Nevertheless, the beef export data released by the Federal Government of Brazil showed that in the first two weeks of September, the average daily beef export volume of Brazil reached 12,400 tons, an increase of 83.1% over the same period last year. The impact of mad cow disease on Brazilian beef exports has not yet been apparent.
Today, China has become the world's largest beef importer . With the continuous increase in beef consumption demand, the origin of imported beef in my country has gradually shifted from Australia, , New Zealand to South American countries.
Statistics from the Brazilian Meat Export Industry Association show that from January to August this year, Brazil's beef exports to China accounted for nearly 60% of Brazil's total beef exports during the same period.
Recently, as Brazilian beef imports have been blocked, Russian beef imports have increased. In August 2021, at an annual rate, Russia’s beef exports to China increased by 1,000 tons (an increase of 82%) to 2,100 tons. In the first eight months of 2021, the Chinese market’s share of total Russian beef exports has increased to 64%.
The demand for beef consumption in China is soaring and cannot be overly dependent on imports. 's vigorous development of the cattle industry is on the agenda .
In May of this year, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued the "Five-Year Action Plan for Promoting the Production and Development of Meat, Beef and Sheep" clearly stated that a number of strong towns with beef cattle and mutton sheep as the leading industries should be established. By 2025, the self-sufficiency rate of beef and mutton should be maintained at around 85%. Among them, the output of beef should be stabilized at around 6.8 million tons.
Self-breeding and self-raising to expand large-scale cattle
to ensure beef supply
Since last year, affected by the epidemic, the number of imported breeding cattle has gradually declined, causing domestic beef cattle breeding and supply shortage, and live beef cattle prices gradually Climbed, and now it has reached a high level in the past 5 years . At present, a large number of fattening cattle are on the market in autumn, and breeding companies continue to expand the scale of breeding to ensure the supply of beef cattle.
Zhao Bo is the person in charge of a large beef cattle breeding base in Changli County, Qinhuangdao City, Hebei Province. He told reporters that at present, beef cattle breeding has been launched one after another. 18 to 19 yuan, the highest price in the past 5 years.
Zhao Bo told reporters that although the current price is good, the cost of breeding is also increasing. Since last year, the price of fattened shelf cattle has remained high. At the same time, as the prices of bulk commodities have risen this year, the prices of agricultural products have also followed. Soybean meal in feed has risen from 2,500 yuan per ton last year to 3,500 yuan per ton now.
According to industry insiders, superimposed the cost of vaccines, labor, and electricity, and the cost of raising cattle increased by more than 20% compared with the same period last year.
According to several farmers, although the cost of breeding is high, the market consumption is large. At present, the profit per cow can be maintained between 5,000 and 10,000 yuan. At the same time, the degree of large-scale aquaculture has increased in recent years. Due to the improvement of aquaculture technology and the high cost,Retail investors are gradually withdrawing.
Insiders predict that the beef market will remain tight in the later stage, and prices will not rise sharply.
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