Yesterday, after my son invited the children from the same community to play, the child invited my son to play at their house this morning, but this morning, the unit building of the child's house was blocked.
On the night, I came back from get off work with my close friend in the community and had just chatted with me for half an hour. I looked down at my phone and my face suddenly changed, "Brother, I might have cheated you! Our unit has been blocked, and my colleague is Pleasant Goat."
I suppressed my inner shock and told him as if nothing had happened, "It's okay, after letting go, we will all experience such a thing."
"When I was working at the unit today, I didn't wear a mask. We also communicated with problems. It's over." He just finished saying this with a bitter face, and the water cup in his hand actually cracked.
He was even more depressed, "It's over, it's over. It seems that I was really caught in this attack this time. Why is it so evil?"
"No. No, my peace, this cup in my house should be blocking the disaster for you." I continued to comfort him.
After throwing the garbage can, I thought about picking it up and taking a photo, so it was a bit dirty
1.
In one day, the two people around me who had dealt with either the building where they lived was blocked or the work unit was blocked. This state of viral running, when the twenty items were issued, I had already made psychological construction for myself, so I could still remain calm overall.
After all, my wife is a woman. After learning these two news, she was disappointed. The first thing she considered was her 5-year-old son, and she couldn't stand it anymore. "We are really infected, what should I do if my son?"
I went to do her psychological comfort work in three steps:
First, the probability of a friend being infected is only 50%; even if this friend is infected, the probability of us being infected is only 50%. Multiplying these two probabilities, the probability of our being infected is only 25%.
Second, even if we are infected, the 99.9% probability is mild or asymptomatic infection, and it will be cured in seven or eight days, and the body will be tested by the virus, and its ability to adapt to the virus in the future will likely improve. This is like people who have never eaten at the street stall, may have diarrhea and food poisoning after eating it once, but people who eat at the street stall every day have nothing to do (this example may be inappropriate).
Third, after the introduction of Article 20, social control will be relaxed. In the long run, many of us, sooner or later, will be infected with this virus. Therefore, we cannot fantasize about being inseparable from this virus forever. We must be mentally prepared to get infected with the virus and use the combat power of our own body to defeat the virus.
After hearing my comfort, my wife couldn't help asking, "According to what you said, everyone needs to be infected with the new coronavirus once, so why do we do so many protective measures? Let it be infected."
I immediately dispelled her wrong idea, "Thinking this is wrong. First, from the trend of the evolution of the virus, the virus's ability to destroy human health is getting lighter and lighter. From this perspective, although it is difficult for us to avoid being infected, the weaker the time we are facing is to delay the infection of the virus, and the stronger the possibility of us defeating it. Second, from From the perspective of technological progress such as vaccine and drugs, the fourth injection will be given immediately. Protect yourself now and try to postpone the time of infection. When you finish the fourth injection, or when better scientific and technological achievements come out, our chances of defeating the virus will be greater."
Mrs. 0 nodded, "I understand. Although we all have to face it, it is best to wait until it becomes weaker and face it, it will be easier to defeat it."
2,
0 Everyone has a high probability of getting infected with the new coronavirus, which is not the most worrying event.
Yesterday, after my son invited the children from the same community to play, the child invited my son to play at their house this morning, but this morning, the unit building of the child's house was blocked.
On the night, I came back from get off work with my close friend in the community and had just chatted with me for half an hour. I looked down at my phone and my face suddenly changed, "Brother, I might have cheated you! Our unit has been blocked, and my colleague is Pleasant Goat."
I suppressed my inner shock and told him as if nothing had happened, "It's okay, after letting go, we will all experience such a thing."
"When I was working at the unit today, I didn't wear a mask. We also communicated with problems. It's over." He just finished saying this with a bitter face, and the water cup in his hand actually cracked.
He was even more depressed, "It's over, it's over. It seems that I was really caught in this attack this time. Why is it so evil?"
"No. No, my peace, this cup in my house should be blocking the disaster for you." I continued to comfort him.
After throwing the garbage can, I thought about picking it up and taking a photo, so it was a bit dirty
1.
In one day, the two people around me who had dealt with either the building where they lived was blocked or the work unit was blocked. This state of viral running, when the twenty items were issued, I had already made psychological construction for myself, so I could still remain calm overall.
After all, my wife is a woman. After learning these two news, she was disappointed. The first thing she considered was her 5-year-old son, and she couldn't stand it anymore. "We are really infected, what should I do if my son?"
I went to do her psychological comfort work in three steps:
First, the probability of a friend being infected is only 50%; even if this friend is infected, the probability of us being infected is only 50%. Multiplying these two probabilities, the probability of our being infected is only 25%.
Second, even if we are infected, the 99.9% probability is mild or asymptomatic infection, and it will be cured in seven or eight days, and the body will be tested by the virus, and its ability to adapt to the virus in the future will likely improve. This is like people who have never eaten at the street stall, may have diarrhea and food poisoning after eating it once, but people who eat at the street stall every day have nothing to do (this example may be inappropriate).
Third, after the introduction of Article 20, social control will be relaxed. In the long run, many of us, sooner or later, will be infected with this virus. Therefore, we cannot fantasize about being inseparable from this virus forever. We must be mentally prepared to get infected with the virus and use the combat power of our own body to defeat the virus.
After hearing my comfort, my wife couldn't help asking, "According to what you said, everyone needs to be infected with the new coronavirus once, so why do we do so many protective measures? Let it be infected."
I immediately dispelled her wrong idea, "Thinking this is wrong. First, from the trend of the evolution of the virus, the virus's ability to destroy human health is getting lighter and lighter. From this perspective, although it is difficult for us to avoid being infected, the weaker the time we are facing is to delay the infection of the virus, and the stronger the possibility of us defeating it. Second, from From the perspective of technological progress such as vaccine and drugs, the fourth injection will be given immediately. Protect yourself now and try to postpone the time of infection. When you finish the fourth injection, or when better scientific and technological achievements come out, our chances of defeating the virus will be greater."
Mrs. 0 nodded, "I understand. Although we all have to face it, it is best to wait until it becomes weaker and face it, it will be easier to defeat it."
2,
0 Everyone has a high probability of getting infected with the new coronavirus, which is not the most worrying event.
What worries me the most is the prevention and control measures we have after 20 items, which are very necessary to ensure people's livelihood and restore economic vitality, but it will surely usher in a round of concentrated communication and concentrated outbreak of super-large-scale communication peaks in a certain period of concentrated time!
The biggest feature of this virus that cannot be prevented is that it "spread first, then show sheep". That is to say, before we discover that someone is sheep, he is very likely to have infected many people - the wider his social activities, the more people he may be infected. This is also one of the theoretical basis of our previous strict control policy: to minimize the number of people infected people who can be infected before they are discovered. Half of the reason for the release of
is based on the reduction of the toxicity of the virus, and the mortality rate and severe disease rate have dropped to a level of several thousandths or even a few thousandths of thousands of years, while half of the reason is based on the considerations of people's livelihood and economic vitality, so it has to be relaxed.
My biggest worry is that there is not enough time to verify, and no one can guarantee whether the change curve of this virus toxicity is L-shaped or U-shaped. If it is L-shaped, this is a great blessing for humans; but if it is U-shaped, after the release, when the population infection rate in China exceeds 30, the toxicity suddenly becomes stronger, it will definitely be an unprecedented disaster in human history.
My second concern is that even if the evolution curve of this virus toxicity is L-shaped, when the number of infection cases in the society reaches its peak, our medical system has limited capacity, how can we deal with the consequences of the run of medical resources?
The first possibility is that all mild patients, as long as your high fever does not exceed 40 degrees, they may be rejected by the hospital and advised you to go home for treatment. This situation has occurred in the United States, Japan and Hong Kong.
At this time, many people who have not had time to do a good job of psychological construction may become pessimistic, desperate, angry, and panic. This kind of mental and psychological negative energy is very unfavorable for recovery. If you have similar friends around you, please let them read my previous articles, which are all about psychological construction, and I believe they can be helpful to them.
The second possibility is that new crown patients occupy a large number of medical resources in the hospital. For example, beds, ventilators, will inevitably squeeze the medical resource reserves for other underlying diseases, resulting in additional deaths caused by the lack of timely ventilators, insufficient oxygen, insufficient beds, and insufficient doctors or nurses.
On March 10, 2022, a research report on the Lancet pointed out that as of December 31, 2021, the number of excess deaths worldwide in the past two years was 18.2 million.
The so-called excess death is the actual death toll in the world during a certain period of the epidemic, minus the normal death toll in the same period before the outbreak.
That is to say, compared with the past two normal years, 18.2 million more deaths worldwide due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, according to official records, the number of people who died from the new crown in the past two years is 5.9 million.
18.2 million minus 5.9 million, which is 12.3 million excess deaths - 5.9 million died from the new coronavirus, and the other 12.3 million are not directly killed by the new coronavirus, but they are also closely related to the new coronavirus.
The first correlation is that after the new crown infection, people's physical resistance has decreased, and their body's immunity has also been destroyed to varying degrees. Some infected people will be in a more unfavorable situation when facing aging and other underlying diseases such as heart disease , hypertension , and diabetes , and diabetes , so you cannot panic too much.
The second correlation is the transmission of the new crown, which occupies a large amount of medical resources, resulting in some acute patients with sudden diseases who have no time to find a suitable bed and hospital for treatment, and miss the best rescue opportunity, resulting in additional deaths.
Of course, this is the excess death data before 2022. The toxicity of the new coronavirus has been greatly reduced. I believe that the excess death data brought by it will be greatly reduced. While everyone is still vigilant enough, don’t panic too much.
There are two main reasons why I wrote this article: the first is that I saw more and more people gathering in the community without wearing masks. They no longer have any awe of this virus, which is also a bit too much. The second is that when I saw my friend faced this virus, he was a little panicked and broke my cup. I believe there are many friends like him who are too afraid of the virus, which makes him look a bit too despised by humans' own ability to fight the epidemic.
: one is too left and the other is too right. I want to remind them at the same time.
Based on the above cognition, I would like to give you some suggestions:
(1) If you are really infected, don’t panic, because being infected has become a high probability event, and the toxicity of this virus is already very low.
(2) Try to postpone the time of infection, which is not only for the safety of individuals and families, but also to avoid the runs of medical resources as much as possible.
(3) Reduce aggregation unless necessary. If you need to gather, you should wear a mask for a while, keep a proper distance, and observe the evolution trend of the virus for a while.
Please like, leave a message, or forward and share it with friends around you who may need it. Thank you.
There are two main reasons why I wrote this article: the first is that I saw more and more people gathering in the community without wearing masks. They no longer have any awe of this virus, which is also a bit too much. The second is that when I saw my friend faced this virus, he was a little panicked and broke my cup. I believe there are many friends like him who are too afraid of the virus, which makes him look a bit too despised by humans' own ability to fight the epidemic.
: one is too left and the other is too right. I want to remind them at the same time.
Based on the above cognition, I would like to give you some suggestions:
(1) If you are really infected, don’t panic, because being infected has become a high probability event, and the toxicity of this virus is already very low.
(2) Try to postpone the time of infection, which is not only for the safety of individuals and families, but also to avoid the runs of medical resources as much as possible.
(3) Reduce aggregation unless necessary. If you need to gather, you should wear a mask for a while, keep a proper distance, and observe the evolution trend of the virus for a while.
Please like, leave a message, or forward and share it with friends around you who may need it. Thank you.
