text/Yang Guoying
On June 18, 1815, in a village called Waterloo suburb of Brussels, the French army commanded by Napoleon is fighting fiercely with the anti-French coalition commanded by the British. This is known in history as the Battle of Waterloo . The battle was super fierce. It was not until dusk that the victory or defeat on the battlefield became clear. The anti-French coalition led by the British occupied the initiative in the battlefield, and Napoleon's French army began to retreat step by step.
At this time, a business intelligence officer named Rose Woods secretly evacuated the battlefield, ran towards Brussels, and then turned to the Port of Ostend, which was not far away. Late at night that day, Rose Woods boarded a clutch and sailed towards Britain.
In the early morning of June 19, Rose Woods came ashore in Foxton, England. His boss was waiting anxiously on the shore. The boss took the letter, opened it quickly, and then rode his horse to the London Stock Exchange.
The boss is named Nathan Rothschild. Yes, he is the legitimate member of the strongest financial family in the West, and Roth Woods is a business intelligence officer hired by the Rothschild family for a high salary.
Why tell this historical fact first?
This is because, now the war is mixed with naked financial interests.
Wall Street and European financial oligarchs have never surpassed any media.
Therefore, deducing the battle situation based on timely feedback from the financial market is actually much more reliable than deducing the financial market through the battle situation released by the media. A similar replica of
is also being staged in the Ukrainian battlefield.
Note that the performance of the US stock market and European stock market on Thursday was completely opposite, with US stocks soaring, while European stocks plummeting.
(US and European stock trends on Thursday)
This is easy to understand.
Thursday was the first day of the outbreak of the Ukrainian war. Russia's blitzkrieg achieved amazing victories on the first day, defeating Ukrainian navy and severely hitting the Ukrainian air force. At the same time, the Russian three-way legion accelerated its advance towards Kiev .
The Russian army's opening victory in Ukraine caused extreme panic among European capital, and even created a risk aversion demand to embrace US stocks and US bonds. Therefore, on Thursday evening (Beijing time), US stocks and European stocks opened in , US stocks soared and European stocks plummeted.
Look at the performance of US and European stocks last night.
Last night, both US and European stocks soared.
(US stocks and European stocks trends on Friday)
U.S. stocks surge again, which is not surprising.
However, the surge in European stocks last night is very likely a signal that the Ukrainian war is moving towards a protracted war.
Yesterday's article "Who will win if you die? The ultimate deduction of the Ukrainian War... I have said that the time left for Putin and Russia for is only one week, only one week - within one week, Ukraine gradually reverses the situation of the war, which is also possible.
Within a week, the Russian army quickly fought and decided, allowing Ukraine to take the initiative to seek peace and then retreat, which was the real victory.
If it exceeds one week, whether it is extended to one month or one year, for Putin and Russia, the ending will be lost. Russia's national strength, domestic anti-war sentiment, and international public opinion will all be more advantageous to Ukraine in the delay of the war.
Today, the Ukrainian war news we see is, to some extent, an inevitable reflection of the surge in US and European stocks across the board last night.
US and European stocks are commanding the Ukrainian war.
Wall Street and Europe's financial oligarchs, using their first-hand intelligence in the political and military circles, are making a fortune in Ukraine's war. Of course, the injured must be retail investors in the European and American stock markets.
View the key news of today's Ukrainian War.
1, Ukraine is intending to delay negotiations.
Early this morning, Russian Foreign Ministry said, "Ukraine refused to hold talks." Ukraine's President's Press Secretary said, "Ukraine and Russia are negotiating on the location and time of negotiations."
Ukraine is intending to delay negotiations, which is very different from the attitude of Zelensky crying to hold peace talks with Putin two days ago.
2. The Ukrainian army is currently in order in Kiev, and Ukraine fires guns to ordinary people.
Ukraine fires guns to ordinary people, which gives Putin a huge moral problem. Faced with these Ukrainians holding guns, if the Russian army shoots, its morality will be damaged. If it does not shoot, it is very likely to be shot instead.
3, Mykhailo Podoliak, an adviser to the Ukrainian Presidential Office, said that more than 3,500 Russian troops have been killed and nearly 200 have been captured. The data of
is not sure, and the Russian side has not responded to this at present.
However, this partially reflects that the Russian army is suffering from a strong counterattack from Ukrainian Army , rather than collapse at the touch of the Ukrainian army, which is conducive to the protracted war in Ukraine.
These all prove that the Ukrainian war is very likely to move towards a protracted war, and as long as it moves towards a protracted war, Russia will actually lose.
And all of this today has received an early response in the trend of US and European stocks last night.
Of course, tomorrow and the next two days, Russia and Ukraine will most likely start peace talks.
However, as long as there is no victory or defeat in the war, the peace talks will basically not be effective, because there is no victory or defeat, neither side will have obvious compromises.
So, next week, US and European stocks will generally stabilize, gold and crude oil will fluctuate significantly, and there is a possibility of surges or plummeting.
Of course, next week, A shares are likely to be under pressure, so I won’t go into details.
The Ukrainian War, to Russia and Ukraine, each has its own national justice.
However, for financial oligarchs, especially Wall Street in the United States, they have always pursued bloodthirsty wealth. They use their super intelligence capabilities to be fond of every drop of blood in the war.
