The Russian-Ukraine conflict lasted for more than seven months, and Russia, which has not yet taken over Ukraine, has begun to "change its tricks".
According to Global Times on October 19, judging from the Russian army launching air strikes on Ukraine's "Energy Decision Center" from October 17 and the Russian army entering Belarus to form a regional joint defense force, there are three new trends in the war situation of Russia and Ukraine. First, the Russian army shifted its focus to infrastructure related to the combat potential of the Ukrainian army; second, the air-stagnant ammunition showdown has become a new combat style; third, the Russian army entered Belarus to form a regional joint defense force.
Such changes in the Russian and Ukrainian war situation are both unexpected and reasonable. After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Russian army's "special military operations" in Ukraine focused on attacking military targets, eliminating living resistance forces and conquering cities and territory. Although occasionally attacking important infrastructure in Ukraine, this is not the focus of the Russian army's offensive.
After all, after "demilitarization" and "deNazisation", Russia will still rebuild Ukraine, and these important infrastructures are the key to future reconstruction. But what Russia did not expect was that, with the support of the American Western country, Ukraine, not only withstanded the Russian attack, causing huge casualties to the Russian army, but also had the power to counterattack. It not only regained thousands of square kilometers of lost land, but even Putin , the most valued Crimea Bridge , was attacked.
The main reasons why Ukraine was able to resist for so long are three main reasons: First, the strong support from the United States and Western countries behind it, which allowed the Ukrainian army to obtain a steady stream of weapons and equipment, and even surpassed the Russian army in intelligence support; Second, Russia was affected by the dilemma of the economic development of for many years, resulting in serious insufficient investment in arms, which made the Russian army just look very powerful. Once the war started, the result was exposed; Third, Russia's troops and military investment were seriously insufficient, so it was too late to use troops in the vast Ukraine and could not destroy Ukraine's will to resist.
With the attack on the Crimea Bridge, Russia not only felt that it was completely lost, but also realized that Russia had entered a very dangerous situation. If Ukraine is not taken down as soon as possible, then it will not only be the Crimean Bridge that will be attacked, but the war will even spread to Russia. When the war is restricted to Ukraine, the Russians do not feel much pain. Once the war is ignited in Russia, the boiling public opinion will become a burden that the Russian government cannot bear. Under such circumstances, the above three new trends were achieved in the war situation of Russia and Ukraine. These three new trends at least illustrate two things:
First, Russia has been completely angered by Ukraine. In the first seven months of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Russian army has been very restrained on the battlefield, but the Russian army's strength does not allow it. Not only did it not become a "horse of kings and overlords", but instead suffered repeated losses and suffered huge casualties. The Russian army focused its attack on infrastructure related to the combat potential of the Ukrainian army, which directly affected the lives of the Ukrainian people, and would inevitably cause more fierce international public opinion attacks, but compared with national security, these abuses were ignored. Winter is approaching, and Ukraine's "energy decision-making center" and power facilities are destroyed, and Ukraine will find it difficult to resist. When the Russian army begins to let go, it means that Ukraine's nightmare will come.
Second, Russia has admitted its shortcomings. After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, the Russian army has been fighting against Ukraine alone, which is supported by the United States and Western countries, and Russia fully demonstrates its strong face to the outside world. In a trance, Russia is still the once extremely powerful Soviet Union. But in fact, Russia did not defeat Ukraine as expected, but instead suffered frequent defeats on the battlefield. The Russian army admitted its shortcomings in tactical tactics, which also brought about a change in the Russian army's playing style. The Russian army's transformation has indeed achieved unexpected results. Ukraine does not have enough air defense forces to counter Russia's air stagnant ammunition.
Under such circumstances, the Russian-Ukraine war situation will have two possible trends: one is that Ukraine cannot effectively resist the transformation of the Russian army, and the Russian army will soon win; the other is that Western countries increase gambling costs and increase support for Ukraine, so that the war will spread to a greater depth and breadth.
The battlefield situation is changing rapidly, and it is particularly unknown who can laugh at the end in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. But one thing is very clear: no matter what the situation is, Europe will have the greatest damage.
