"has been hit twice in a row, what is Iran still hesitating?". Since 2020, the most deadly thing for Iran is not the new crown pneumonia epidemic, but the two assassinations.
On January 3 this year, Soleimani, a senior Iranian commander, was attacked and killed in Iraq. On November 27, Iranian nuclear scientist Fahrizad was assassinated. The two assassinations at the beginning of the year and at the end of the year caused a major blow to Iran and aroused the anger of the Iranian people. The Iranian side's strong statement vowing to retaliate also further escalated tensions in the Middle East. The death of two generals of
, Iran suffered heavy losses, and the real culprit surfaced. The United States has announced that it will "take responsibility" for the murder of
Soleimani. However, the recent killing of Iranian nuclear scientist Fahrizad has occurred. So far, no one has "claimed it." Although Iran stated that the real murderer has surfaced and pointed directly at Israel, Israel has always remained silent and has a feeling of watching a show.
Instead, US President Trump came to join in the fun, reposting the death of Fahrizad in the attack on his personal social media account, and a rare accompanying text wrote, “For Iran, the death of Fahrizad is A major psychological and business-level blow." The outside world has the illusion that Trump is not only gloating, but also endorsing and supporting this behavior.
However, in addition to the United States and Israel, Iran is also unthinkable. Iran itself is also a mystery. After the attack and death of Fahrizad, the Iranian side determined that the murderer was related to Israel almost immediately, but also did not produce any valid evidence to support it.
Iran has many means of revenge, and Rouhani is still hesitating under the undercurrents.
Although the death of Fahrizad once again aroused the anger of the whole Iranian people, many people even shouted "War on the United States", but, Relevant analysts pointed out that the possibility of a direct military conflict in Iran is very small. In the Middle East, Iran’s military influence cannot be underestimated. Its missile range can cover the US military in the Middle East and even strike European targets. In addition, various heavy-duty Weaponry is even more powerful.
It is worth noting that at present, US aircraft carriers are deployed to the Middle East again to deal with the increasingly tense situation in the Middle East. Therefore, the Iranian side also has another layer of concerns about direct retaliation.
More importantly, while Iran is thinking about retaliation, it is also considering how to avoid falling into the trap. Earlier, US media reported that the Trump administration intends to launch a direct military attack on Iran, “holding the throne” as a “wartime president”. However, it may be that Trump launched a military attack due to interference from domestic political forces. The plan has been delayed.
Therefore, Iran began to hope that Biden was elected successfully, hoping to break the deadlock, but just more than a month before Biden officially entered the White House, the death of Fahrizad made the United States and Iraq. The relationship between them is more complicated.
Although Rouhani is still hesitating how to avoid falling into the trap, the popular outrage and public opinion pressure aroused by the Iranian civilians has forced the Rouhani government to take some necessary measures to give the people an explanation, and Iran’s retaliation may be on the way. Of course, the possibility of a direct war against Israel and the United States is very weak, but it does not rule out Iran's "curve to save the country", that is, launching an attack on the US military in the Middle East.
