has just ushered in the first day of 2023, and the cruelty of the Russia-Ukraine battlefield has been upgraded again .
On December 31, Russian President Putin and Russian Defense Minister Shoigu issued New Year's greetings respectively. Putin said in his congratulatory message, "Russian soldiers, militiamen and volunteers are fighting for the homeland, for truth and justice, and for Russia's peace and security to be reliably guaranteed. All of them are our heroes, and now is the most difficult time for them."
htm What is unusual is that this is the first time that Putin has broken the tradition of a Russian head of state delivering a New Year's speech with the Kremlin as the background. This is the first time that Putin has extended New Year's greetings to the people of the country beside soldiers.
On the same day, Shoigu also issued a New Year's message, saying that the New Year is not only a festival under the current circumstances, but also a symbol of hope for a peaceful future. "The victory of the Russian armed forces is irreversible" .
But the irony is . Just a few hours later, at around midnight on January 1, 2023, the frontline Russian troops suffered a large-scale attack by the Ukrainian military, causing heavy casualties.
Russian officials rarely admitted that the Russian armed forces were attacked in a building in Makeevka, Donetsk, resulting in the death of 63 Russian soldiers.
But Ukraine's data is obviously higher, claiming that the attack caused the death of more than ,400 Russian troops, and more than 300 people were injured.
Moscow has rarely announced the number of Russian casualties before. This time it is even more rare to admit that the Russian army has suffered large casualties.
Reuters believes that this is one of the "most deadly" attacks so far in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Because whether it is the number given by the Russian media or the number given by Ukraine, this is one of the most tragic incidents of Russian military casualties since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war..
Ukraine chose to launch the attack at the time when Putin and Shoigu had just delivered their New Year's greetings, which obviously had an extremely strong sense of humiliation. But the Russian army is not a scarecrow. How could it easily allow Ukraine to achieve such brilliant results? The Haimas long-range rocket system used by the Ukrainian army this time has been unveiled many times before, but it has never caused hundreds of Russian casualties at once like this attack.
Based on foreign media reports, we can roughly outline the original appearance of this attack.
First of all, the building that was attacked was not an ordinary building, but was used by the Russian army as an ammunition depot and a recruit dormitory . That night, about hundreds of Russian troops were preparing to welcome the New Year in the building. The Uzbek side chose to launch the attack at the New Year's Eve moment when the Russian troops were least vigilant and most distracted. As a result, the Uzbek army's rockets triggered the explosion of the ammunition depot in the building, thus producing huge destructive power. Photos after the incident showed that the entire building was razed to the ground.
Outsiders can’t help but wonder, how did the Ukrainian army accurately locate this building? According to anonymous Russian officials, the reason why the building was located by the Ukrainian army was because many mobile phone signals were detected in this building.
You must know that this building is only 12 miles away from the Ukrainian army-controlled area, which can be said to be the front line of the front line. Moreover, just a few days ago on Christmas Day, Russia launched an attack on Ukraine. The possibility of the Ukrainian army taking retaliatory actions on New Year's Eve is extremely high . However, the Russian soldiers chose to gather in large numbers in the ammunition depot that day, and there was no superior to control their mobile phones, which led to the tragedy.
Although the Russian troops attacked this time were mainly conscripts with insufficient battlefield experience, it is still incredible that the arrangements were made incorrectly and military discipline was lax to such an extent. Even Russian military bloggers denounced the top brass of the Russian army, "Whose idea was it to place a large number of soldiers in the same building? A fool knows that even if a shell hits it, it will cause huge casualties."
At present, Putin has instructed the military and the investigative committee to jointly investigate the incident and announce the results of the investigation before January 6.
On the other hand, the Ukrainian army, with the support of NATO intelligence system and advanced weapons, actually dared to use this almost humiliating method to attack the Russian army and achieved considerable results. This has to make us re-examine the Taiwan Strait issue which has certain similarities with the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
From this attack, we can see that the top brass of the Russian army obviously do not have a deep understanding of modern warfare, especially optical reconnaissance, radar reconnaissance, infrared reconnaissance and other means that determine the "transparency" of the information battlefield. This makes the Russian army extremely vulnerable to unexpected attacks.
On the surface, this attack was carried out by the Ukrainian army, but in fact it was that NATO's powerful battlefield awareness capabilities overwhelmed the chaotic Russian command system . NATO and the Ukrainian army must have been eyeing this building beforehand, just waiting for the right opportunity to deliver a fatal blow to the Russian army with lax military discipline.
At the same time, the air defense system that the Russian army was once proud of has also shown its prototype. In this attack, the Ukrainian army fired a total of 6 rockets loaded with high-explosive warheads. The Russian air defense system intercepted two rounds, and the rest hit the building and caused casualties.
Since the war began, Russia's domestic anti-aircraft missile interception systems have been continuously broken through by the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian army has repeatedly attacked the Crimean Peninsula, which has a large number of Russian air defense forces, and even the air force bases in Russia will be attacked by Ukrainian drones.
On December 26, the Engels Military Airport in Saratov Oblast, Russia, about 700 kilometers away from the Russian-Ukrainian border, was attacked by a Ukrainian drone. Three Russian military personnel were killed. Only 20 days ago, the strategic airport was attacked once. The Russian army was attacked again despite strengthening precautions, which fully proved that the Russian army's air defense system was seriously deficient.
In view of the various problems exposed by the Russian air defense system in actual combat, we also have to seriously examine the actual application effects of Soviet-style and Russian-style weapons.
Many people are even worried about whether the People's Liberation Army will encounter major setbacks one after another in the process of regaining Taiwan like the Russian army today.
At this point, we firmly believe that the situations of the People's Liberation Army and the Russian army are fundamentally different, and the various problems exposed by the Russian army will never be repeated on the mainland.
Modern war is essentially a duel between industrial system and economic scale. Which side has a more complete and efficient industrial system and stronger economic strength will have greater war potential. Although Russia claims to have a world-class military, it relies more on the remaining power of the Soviet Union. After the Russian economy hit rock bottom, it has actually opened up its position with China and the United States.
Although Russia has carried out a certain degree of military reform, due to budget constraints, Russia's military reform has only been superficial and unable to go deep. Especially in the digital and synthetic problems are more prominent. In a joint exercise before the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, there was an incident in which a Chinese synthetic battalion defeated a Russian motorized infantry regiment. At that time, the Chinese army was not even familiar with the terrain and was at a disadvantage in numbers.
There are hundreds of synthetic camps like this in China.
As for the ideological unity and military discipline issues of the military, the gap between the Chinese and Russian militaries is extremely obvious. The Russian people and the grassroots of the Russian military are generally skeptical about the necessity of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. There are many people who don't know why they are fighting and for whom they are fighting. After the conscription order was issued, a large number of people hurriedly fled Russia, which proves that the Russian people do not share the same hatred of the enemy.
The corruption and arbitrariness of command within the Russian army have long been "famous". What front-line officers and soldiers of the Russian army may get are expired military rations, inferior body armor or poorly maintained weapons. Even the millions of sets of military uniforms used by the Russian army for the winter have disappeared. As a result, the director of the Ukrainian State Corruption Prevention Bureau wrote to Shoigu in a strange way, "thank you for ensuring that the Russian army is highly corrupt," saying that the corruption of the Russian army has made it easier to defend Ukraine.
The command system under such a corrupt atmosphere must be extremely corrupt. It is not unimaginable to abandon friendly troops and escape alone, placing new recruits in ammunition depots that are extremely vulnerable to attack.
But the occurrence of these problems in the Russian army does not mean that they will also occur in the People's Liberation Army. Once a large-scale conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, the People's Liberation Army will carry out military operations with the sacred goal of reunifying the motherland. Behind it, it has the continuous support of the people of the country, the world's largest industrial system to ensure logistics, and an efficient command system that resolutely obeys orders from superiors. In these aspects, the People's Liberation Army and the Russian army are fundamentally different.
Those who expect that the People's Liberation Army will be "fearful of war" and "avoid war" when they see the Russian army trapped in the quagmire of Eastern Ukraine are not worth mentioning. This is because they fail to understand that the Taiwan issue and the Ukraine issue have completely different meanings for China and Russia.
For China, the motherland must be reunified and will inevitably be reunified. This is a non-negotiable bottom line issue. But precisely because it is a bottom-line issue that cannot allow for any mistakes, the Chinese people have absolute patience, wisdom and courage.
China will never act rashly like Russia launched a "special military operation". It will only complete reunification when it is absolutely foolproof and is most beneficial to the people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Even achieving peaceful reunification is not completely impossible.
"It is time to ride on the momentum and not lose it." The historical trend of national reunification and national rejuvenation is unstoppable. We will surely witness the arrival of this important moment together.
