To be honest, I almost lost interest in the current market situation after habitually predicting the self-proclaimed self-proclaim. Yes, today it fell below 2900 points as promised. I said it right for the Nth consecutive time, but what's the point? With helpless eyes, , the market will immediately return to its position half a year ago.
I have said many times before that stock trading is like playing chess, and "momentum" is far more important than the gains and losses of local battles. Those who are good at fighting sometimes even prefer to abandon their children (cutting their flesh and stop loss ) in exchange for initiative in the overall chess "momentum".
The current market is the same. 3,000 points are the "bottom bottom". After falling below, it will release more or less positive every day. Unfortunately, the market is already 2893 points, unstoppable and unavoidable! These benefits are like taking advantage of some of the local battles, but they cannot change the overall situation. Those tricks that are enough to change the situation are not available under any circumstances. They must meet two conditions: 1. The strengths of the two sides (the comparison of long and short) cannot be too different; 2. The chess player (the controller) has great wisdom.
Are these two conditions currently available? NO! I have pointed out that there is only one trick that can really reverse the situation, that is - completely let go! However, this seems impossible. As for the overall analysis of international and domestic situations, it cannot be expanded, and everyone should understand it. In a word, if you think about how many years Japan has lost, you will understand.
Now, I think it is very likely that will fall below 2863 points. The indiscriminate and large-scale trend will probably not take long. The rebound of small and medium-sized stock , which has a decline of less than the big white horse, will inevitably come. Specifically tomorrow, a small negative line will probably fluctuate significantly and then close, with the fluctuation range between 2860 and 2900 points. In terms of
operation, according to my previous view, there should be about 30% of the position today, and you can add another 10% near the lower one tomorrow. Overall, it must not exceed half the position. In the direction of
, it is still a big stock with good liquidity. , heavyweight stocks such as Moutai, , and , may temporarily ease and stop the decline and rebound. small-cap stock is best to be careful and be alert to the seesaw effect.
is good, that's all.
