Recently, the situation in the Taiwan Strait has become increasingly tense under the provocation of the Taiwan authorities and external forces. At the end of last month, the US government announced a new version of the "National Defense Strategy", which proposed that China is the largest "strategic competitor" of the United States in the next few decades. Blinken also lied to say that mainland China is planning to "accelerate the process of unification", so the outside world's discussion on "cross-strait war" has continued to increase.
It is reported that on November 1, Kuomintang "legislator" Zheng Liwen said when questioning Qiu Zhengguo, when the mainland will attack Taiwan? When will Taiwan be considered a victory? Qiu Guozheng said that if the mainland had to reunify the military, it would have been able to fight off the offshore islands twenty or thirty years ago, but why didn’t it fight? He doesn't make a decision.
At the same time, Qiu Guozheng also shouted that he had "absolute confidence in fighting to the end" in the Taiwan military; as long as the "enemy" did not land and did not put the flag on the head of the "ministerial meeting" to which the Taiwan authorities was affiliated, it would not be considered a victory. However, he emphasized, "We do not provoke, and we will never say 'there is a kind of thing'." Later, Zheng Liwen questioned, saying that if a conflict broke out between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, would the US military rush to support? Qiu Guozheng did not mention the United States at all. He said that we rely on ourselves, even if others can help, we will be optimistic but will not expect it.
can only say that Qiu Guozheng is a little smarter than his predecessor. When his predecessors answered , how long the Taiwan Army may last, they usually answered specific numbers such as 7 days, 10 days, and 15 days. He now refuses to talk about the number of days, only saying "the battle is to the end". How many days will there be in the "last"? Nowadays, the gap in military strength between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait can be said to be obvious to all. No matter how clamoring the "Taiwan independence" elements on the island cannot change the result of the inevitable unification of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait.
From this we can see that even the Taiwan authorities themselves have no confidence that the United States will "send troops to aid Taiwan". Although Biden once stated in public that if an "unprecedented attack" occurs in the Taiwan Strait, it will send troops to "defend Taiwan", at that time, the outside world generally believed that this was the "clearest" time when the US expressed its statement that it was "willing to assist in defense of Taiwan".
However, the people on the island are half-believing and half-doubted about Biden's "commitment". The main reason is that when the delegation sent by the US side entered Taiwan during this period, they have been sending signals to the island, from demanding Taiwan to restore the conscription system to demanding Taiwan to strengthen the reserve mobilization system, and even suggesting that all men, women, young and old in Taiwan are soldiers. Recently, the US Congress has also proposed the "2022 Taiwan Policy Law" to encourage Taiwan to fight an "asymmetric" war with the mainland.
It is obvious that the US regards Taiwan as a tool to contain mainland China. The Biden administration’s current policy toward China is not only tough, but also has carried out all-round containment, encirclement and isolation of China. The United States still strongly supports the “Taiwan independence” forces on the island to force the mainland to “reunify” Taiwan under the forced "martial reunification”.
The reason why "Taiwan independence" on the island is still "stubborn" is because the mainland has not issued an ultimatum yet, because the mainland will do its best to strive for peaceful reunification. The mainland's attitude has temporarily made the Taiwan authorities "safe" and has caused them to continue to deceive the people of Taiwan and have fantasies about the United States. They threaten that the mainland will not dare to use force against Taiwan at all, and they also have a fluke mentality, thinking that some miracle will happen. For example, they often predict that the mainland will be in chaos and cannot take care of themselves. Taiwan will naturally have nothing to do, which can only be said to be sad and ridiculous.
When Su Zhenchang was questioned, he made the previous remarks of Japanese politicians that "if there is something to do in Taiwan, it is equal to what Japan has something to do", but he did not mention it at all to the United States. There were reports that in order to increase its "influence" in East Asia and avoid insufficient capacity of the Self-Defense Force in the event of an emergency in the Taiwan Strait, the Japanese government is preparing to purchase US-made "Tomahawk" cruise missiles on a large scale to strengthen Japan's military capabilities.
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