Bloomberg and other US media reported on June 30 that U.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines (Avril Haines) said that U.S. intelligence agencies predict that Russia will face a "tough battle" in Ukraine. Russia The military may make some progress, but not a major breakthrough.
U.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines Source: Bloomberg
" The New York Times " stated that this is the first time after more than a month that the U.S. intelligence agency has publicly disclosed the latest assessment of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On Wednesday local time, Haynes attended a meeting in Washington and said that the consensus among U.S. intelligence agencies is that the conflict in Ukraine may continue for a long time. She also said that although the Russian army is consolidating its achievements, it is still unlikely that Russia will achieve breakthroughs in other major cities other than Donbass in the short term.
Haynes said that the Russian army now controls about 20% of Ukraine's territory, and resistance activities are increasing in some areas under its control, which makes Russia less likely to make rapid progress or a peaceful solution.
According to Haynes, according to the predictions of U.S. intelligence agencies, the most likely scenario for the Russia-Ukraine conflict in the coming weeks and even months is that "the conflict will still be an uphill battle, and the Russian military will Progress has been made gradually in this battle, but no breakthrough has been achieved.” In this scenario, Russian forces would control large parts of Luhansk and Donetsk and consolidate their control over southern Ukraine.
Two other unlikely scenarios predicted by U.S. intelligence agencies are: first, a breakthrough by the Russian military, allowing it to regroup its forces and attack Kharkiv in northeastern Ukraine or Ode in the southwest Second, the Ukrainian army stabilized its front in Donbass and made some small progress. Haynes said, "In short, the situation remains very serious." (Editor: HHJ)
