It is reported that the Russian army has occupied Lisichansk, another important city in the Severodonetsk region, and it was only about a week before it occupied Severodonetsk. This makes everyone wonder whether the Ukrainian army has been completely defeated and cannot fight in the Severodonetsk region. Organize an effective defense. Under the "pincer" offensive of the Russian coalition forces, the Ukrainian army retreated again and again. It is guessed that it is not too far away from the Russian army's completion of the second-stage military goal of "complete liberation of Donetsk Oblast ".
Severodonetsk region
What is the next target of the Russian army? Many people thought it was " Odessa " before, including me, because once Odessa is occupied, Ukraine will completely lose the right to go to the Black Sea . Ukraine can only receive assistance through land, but now it seems that There are new changes, and Ukraine has created multiple options for the Russian army’s third-stage goals.
The bombed Belgorod region
It is understood that explosions occurred one after another in the Belgorod region and Kursk region in Russia. The explosion points were located in densely populated urban areas of the two states, and many people have been killed. Casualties. The cause of the explosion, according to Russian media reports, should be the M270 "Haimas" long-range rocket launcher provided by the United States to Ukraine, and the launch location was the Kharkiv and Sumy regions of Ukraine on the border with the two states.
American Seamus Rocket Launcher
As we all know, Kharkov and Sumy areas were occupied by the Russian army during the first phase of the Russian army’s offensive. However, shortly after the start of the second phase of the offensive, the Russian army successively moved from these two areas. Withdraw troops from the region. Kharkiv and Sumy both share borders with Russia. It is easy for the Ukrainian army to attack the Russian mainland from these two states. However, once the Ukrainian army attacks the Russian mainland, the two countries will completely go to war, and there is no need for Russia to continue to implement "special military operations". Action", directly entering a state of life-and-death war between the two countries. This is what NATO currently does not want to see, so NATO has repeatedly requested that weapons aiding Ukraine not be used to attack Russia itself.
However, under the current circumstances, the Ukrainian army has suffered successive defeats on the main battlefield, and it is in urgent need of re-boosting the morale of the Ukrainian army. It is expected that the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense will also have to find face from other places, and using the newly aided long-range weapons to attack Russian territory is the easiest and most simple way. The shortcut way is to have the Russian mainland be attacked. This will not only boost the morale of the Ukrainian army, but also enhance anti-war sentiment in Russia.
But Ukraine is likely to face a more violent counterattack by the Russian army: once again captures Sumy and Kharkov. As the Donetsk war gradually comes to an end, the Russian army is now faced with a variety of choices, whether to continue to attack and seize more land or to stop defending. After all, the Kherson area is also within the attack range of the Ukrainian army. The defense will enter a protracted battle, while the offense needs to choose the main direction of attack. Before, everyone thought it was Odessa, but judging from the Russian army's abandonment of Snake Island , the Russian army has no plan to capture Odessa in a short time, so they go north. Kharkiv is more likely.
At the same time, according to Belarus media reports, the Belarusian Armed Forces recently intercepted three missiles launched from Ukraine. Ukraine is really looking for death. Is this forcing Belarus to join the "special military" Action"?
Let’s wait and see what happens in the later stages of the Russia-Ukraine conflict!
