After a long period of fierce fighting, Severodonetsk was finally completely captured by the Russian army. The Ukrainian army either surrendered or evacuated in an emergency, and fled to Lisichansk, which is only across the river from Severodonetsk. Next, this will be the main area for Russian-Ukrainian battles, and the Ukrainian army is destined to be defeated, because the Russian army has already launched an encirclement from three sides. No matter whether it breaks through or resists stubbornly, it cannot reverse the defeat. It can be said that the Ukrainian army now has no hope of making a comeback. Even with the assistance of NATO , it will not help. During the battle, the Ukrainian army suffered serious casualties.
Although the Ukrainian military has not announced detailed casualties, a Ukrainian military commander recently revealed the casualties of his special forces. It is understood that the commander's team is an elite special combat unit of the Ukrainian army and has been fighting the Russian army in Severodonetsk. According to him, the casualty rate of the unit during the battle was as high as 80%. The soldiers were either killed or injured and were unable to continue fighting. In order to restore combat effectiveness as soon as possible, the Ukrainian military recruited a group of new recruits to replace them, and these recruits did not fight. Experience is far from the combat effectiveness of real special forces.
Two points can be analyzed from the commander's remarks. First, the casualties of the Beidunwu Army were very serious. The casualty rate of the elite troops was 80%, not to mention other troops. Second, by sending a large number of new soldiers to the battlefield, the Ukrainian army may already have a shortage of troops. During this period, the Ukrainian army has advanced from recruiting and mobilizing troops to arresting young men on the street. As long as they see young men of the right age and good health on the street, they will be taken directly to the battlefield. Even women are not spared. Now the first lady of Ukraine has begun to mobilize women, which shows that its military resources are indeed tight.
This also further confirms that the Ukrainian army's casualties are very serious. Otherwise, it does not need to mobilize so many new soldiers to go to the battlefield. However, the mobilization effect of the Ukrainian side is not very effective. Both young men and women are unwilling to go to the battlefield because they do not want to go to waste. Die. New recruits with no combat experience are just "cannon fodder" even if they are sent to the battlefield. They have no meaning except increasing casualties. I don't know what Ukraine is thinking. Almost all the special forces in the elite troops of the Beidunwu Army were killed in the battle, leaving only the new recruits. It is not surprising that they ended up defeated.
As the battle continues, there will definitely be fewer and fewer soldiers with combat experience in the Ukrainian army. In the future, they may all become recruits. By then, they will be even more vulnerable, even if the Ukrainian side wants to counterattack. Idiot's dream. Therefore, Kiev should carefully consider the current situation. There is no point in continuing to fight. It will only lose Ukraine's young group and will not gain any favorable situation. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has been going on for four months. This battle should come to an end. Otherwise, we don’t know how many Ukrainians will die on the battlefield. We hope that the two sides can reach a ceasefire consensus as soon as possible.
(Text/Xile)
