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The Brookings Institution website published an article entitled "Meeting China's Challenge: A Strategic Competitor Not an Enemy" on November 17th. The author is Jeffrey, the former head of Asian affairs of the National Security Council. Bud. The article pointed out that although China poses challenges, the United States should not exaggerate or misunderstand these challenges. The full text is excerpted as follows:
China's dramatic rise as a major power will soon bring the United States a close rival in strength. The challenge facing the United States will be: how to demonstrate and protect its own political, economic, military, and technological interests in this emerging strategic competitive landscape without seeking to decouple from China to the point of intensifying a new cold war.
In the 21st century, the US-China relationship will be the most important relationship for the United States and the world. As a new and well-matched opponent, China poses a challenge to the United States in all areas of our interests. Other countries will pose a challenge to the United States in one or more areas, but no one can pose a comprehensive challenge.
So what will be the characteristics of US-China relations? What kind of systemic relationship will be most beneficial to the United States?
In the past 10 years, China's strength in various fields has continued to increase and its overseas economic influence has grown, and Americans have increasingly regarded China as a potentially dangerous opponent.
How should the United States view China in 10 or 20 years? By then, China will have the following characteristics, such as: it will become the world’s largest economy and largest market; it will compete with the United States for leadership in the development of related technology platforms; it will have an army that can rival the United States in the Western Pacific; Multilateral institutions that establish rules, set standards, and provide financing have greater influence, and have greater advantages in bilateral relations with the United States, Asia, and the European Union.
The United States foreign policy agency has determined that China is a strategic competitor, a strategic adversary and a potential strategic enemy.
resulted in a free fall in the bilateral relations built over the decades since former US President Nixon visited China.
Although China poses challenges, these challenges should not be exaggerated or misunderstood.
In the foreseeable future, China will not become a global military power that can rival the United States. China's economy will surpass the United States in terms of gross domestic product (GDP), but in the foreseeable future, China's per capita GDP will lag far behind the United States. This will mean that for Chinese leaders, the objective requirement of paying attention to domestic needs remains very important. From an international perspective, there is no doubt that China’s dramatic rise in trade, investment, and infrastructure development, as a global leader, has brought greater influence to the country, but in terms of international finance, capital markets and currencies, China is far from There are still many years away from becoming a rule-maker rather than a recipient, perhaps decades away.
There is no evidence that China is seriously pursuing threats to the U.S. homeland, or seeking to launch a global confrontation with the United States to repeat the US-Soviet Cold War model. On the contrary, we can expect to see China strive to gain economic prominence in East and Central Asia, ensure military security relative to the United States in the Western Pacific, and gain increasing but not dominant influence outside Asia, mainly through economic ties. We should not expect that China will build a network of like-minded or satellite nations that poses a security threat to the United States.
For the United States, China is not an existential threat, but the unavoidable fact is that we will be competitors.
The most important battlefield for the US-China confrontation is likely to be in the field of technology. The fact that the United States created and dominated the major technology platforms provided a springboard for the American Century. The fact that the United States and China will become technological rivals does not mean that radical decoupling can or should take place. Between restricting China’s access to advanced American technology and the inadvertent incentives provided to Chinese competitors when we force them to develop products that we refuse to provide, we need to recognize the gains and losses. Many trends in the development of China can become serious threats, but in some cases, they may become opportunities for cooperation. This depends on China’s behavior, but also on our intentions. It is worth recalling that if the United States and China did not join forces to cushion the economic downturn and take large-scale stimulus measures, the Great Recession of 2008 would turn into a depression.
The United States and China have areas where their interests overlap, and they are also facing issues where both sides must cooperate. If China sees the value of a Sino-US relationship that is at least non-hostile, China will not take measures that it believes might harm this relationship.
z0Source of z Xinhua News AgencyEditor: Zhao Yue
Process Editor Wu Yue
