After the US Secretary of Defense Esper was dismissed by Trump, the internal situation in the United States became tense. The public worried that the Pentagon's major change of blood would cause Trump, who is now the only one in charge of the country, to do something outrageous. But what is surprising is that the internal peace of the United States is unusually calm, but it has made small moves internationally.
According to a report by the Global Times on November 17, US President Trump asked senior advisers at a roundtable meeting that day whether the United States has the option to take action against Iran’s major nuclear bases in the coming weeks. In this regard, many White House dignitaries have persuaded Trump not to carry out military attacks on Iran, including Vice President Pence, Secretary of State Pompeo, Acting Secretary of Defense Miller and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Milly. They also warned Trump that in the final weeks of his term, attacks on Iranian military bases will cause a wider conflict. The White House has not yet responded. After Iran learned about it, government spokesman Rabie said that any US attack on Iran would face a "destructive response." In fact, Trump wants to move Iran, an option that has always existed, and the excuse he found this time was based on a report recently issued by the International Atomic Energy Agency that Iran’s uranium storage at its nuclear base was permitted by the previous Iran nuclear agreement. 12 times the storage capacity. As soon as the news came out, the United States, which had always been at odds with Iran, wanted to act as an international policeman, but Trump seemed to have forgotten that the United States has no power to intervene in the Iran nuclear agreement.
The Iran nuclear agreement was in 2015 when Iran and the six countries on the Iranian nuclear issue (the United States, Britain, Russia, China, France and Germany) reached a comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue and signed the "Iranian Nuclear Agreement." Iran promised to limit its nuclear program, and the international community lifted sanctions on Iran, but this made the United States, who wanted to fish in the Middle East, very uncomfortable. In the case of opposition from several other countries, the United States unilaterally withdrew in May 2018. After the "Iran Nuclear Agreement", unilateral sanctions on Iran were still imposed.
Since then, the relationship between the United States and Iran has been like water and fire. Faced with the unilateral sanctions on Iran by the United States, it can be said that it is hard to say, but the power gap is too big to be beaten. Military strength is completely insufficient to resist the United States.
However, after the Iranian arms embargo treaty was lifted on October 18 this year, the United States gradually felt a sense of crisis. There is no doubt that Iran will accumulate and vigorously enhance its military strength and weapons and equipment. It is worth noting that the United States requested an extension at that time. The arms embargo against Iran has also encountered opposition from international social organizations, saying that the United States has no right to interfere.
is like Iran’s arms embargo. Today, the United States still has no power to strike Iran. Since the United States withdrew from the "Iran Nuclear Agreement", it can be said that Iran’s affairs have nothing to do with the United States. Therefore, if the United States wants to fight Iran, it must It will be shameless and opposed by the international community. There are three main reasons why the domestic White House politicians oppose Trump.
First, after the lifting of Iran’s arms embargo, the domestic military strength and weaponry have been greatly improved, and it is inevitable that Iran will not die with the United States. Second, the anti-American sentiment in Iran is already high. If the United States attacks Iran at this time, it may suffer retaliation from Iran on the United States. Third, in addition to Iran’s strengthening of its own national strength, there is also the United States’ “old rival” Russia behind Iran, and now the United States and many countries in the world have large and small conflicts and internal conflicts have not been resolved.
Therefore, the analysis believes that the United States currently lacks the power and reason to start a war against Iran, nor does it have a good time to start a war, nor does it have the confidence to deal with the consequences of the war.
