According to the " Global Times " report on December 19, the Belarusian Presidential Office announced the same day that a Ukrainian S-300 missile fell into Belarus from Ukraine. There has been no information about casualties. A team of military officers and investigators is working at the scene on the instructions of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.
A Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile crashed into Belarus, which is believed to be related to Russia's large-scale attack on Ukraine. On December 29, local time, the Russian army launched more than 120 missiles to attack Ukrainian cities such as Kiev, Kharkov, Nikolayev, etc. Air defense alarms were sounded throughout Ukraine and the air defense system was activated to fight.
It can be seen that this is most likely an unintentional move. After all, the nearest straight-line distance between Kiev and Belarus is about 100 kilometers. In a fierce war environment, it is common for modern anti-aircraft missiles to accidentally hit the border. Besides, it is impossible for Ukraine to deliberately launch missiles towards Belarus, because this would be tantamount to providing Lukashenko with an excuse to deal with himself.
But regardless of whether Ukraine did it unintentionally or not, I am afraid this matter will not be let off lightly. After all, Russia and Belarus are allies, and the relationship between Ukraine and Belarus is very hostile. It is difficult to justify Ukraine not giving Belarus an explanation. Referring to the last time the Ukrainian S-300 missile crashed into the territory of Poland , I believe it would be another scene if it were a Russian missile.
Of course, this matter also makes Lukashenko scratch his head. In the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Belarus is the only country in the world that provides full support to Russia, but Luka Schenli still adheres to the last bottom line - not to send troops to Ukraine. Now, the Ukrainian missile crashing into Belarus will become the best reason for Russia to put pressure on Luka Schenli.
For Russia, it has always hoped that Belarus could send troops to cut off Western support for Ukraine from the north of Ukraine. However, Lukashenko has never taken this final step, mainly based on two considerations. First, the United States and NATO will respond militarily, causing Belarus to face a more severe security threat; second, the West will impose more severe economic sanctions, putting Belarus's economy and people's livelihood in greater embarrassment.
Larger-scale wars often occur in the minds of politicians. Ukrainian missiles fell into Belarus. Lukashenko has every reason to use this as an excuse to join the war. But once Belarus becomes a party to the war, will it become the trigger for the escalation of the war, eventually causing the Russia-Ukraine war to get out of control and trigger a full-scale war on the European continent?
Looking at it rationally, Lukashenko will not be involved in the war because of this matter. At most, he will ask Ukraine for an explanation. But for the Ukrainian side, this thing happening again and again should be a wake-up call for itself. If the war really expands, it is hard to say whether Europe will be destroyed, but Ukraine will definitely be destroyed.
The war between Russia and Ukraine has been going on until now, and all parties are actually a little tired. There are only two choices for all parties in the war. One is to compromise with each other and solve the problem through negotiation; the other is to increase the stakes and escalate the war, hoping to overwhelm the other party before they fall. Looking at European history, the second type often overwhelms the first. Now that we have the nuclear weapon , will it be different this time?
