As the saying goes, "A gentleman takes revenge, it is not too late for ten years." It means that you must choose a suitable opportunity to avenge yourself. But unlike us, Russians do not like to take revenge on "overnight", and basically they avenge them when they are revenge. Recently, the Kerch Bridge (also known as " Crimea Bridge ") in Russia, which leads to Crimea , was blown up part of the bridge deck due to a truck explosion. Soon, Russia's "revenge" came!
(Russian military Tu-95MSM strategic bomber with external KH-101 cruise missile )
According to media reports, after the Kerch Bridge was attacked by a truck bomb, Russian President Putin established a special agency and launched an investigation into it. After confirming that the mastermind behind the attack was the Ukrainian intelligence and security departments, Russia began large-scale revenge against Ukraine.
According to Ukrainian media reports, during the morning rush hour on the 10th, the Russian Aerospace Forces dispatched a large-scale deployment and used the cruise missile to carry out fierce air strikes on important Ukrainian cities. It is reported that the Russian army dispatched the Tu-95MSM strategic bomber to launch 60 KH-101 cruise missiles at the Ukrainian capital Kiev , 47, Lviv 15, Kharkov , and 215 Odessa html... After one day, the total number of cruise missiles launched by the Russian army exceeded 100.
(KH-101 cruise missile, similar to the US "Tomahawk" missile, is the most advanced long-range precision strike weapon for the Russian army)
According to Ukrainian media reports, under such a blow, power supply in most western Ukraine has been interrupted, and water supply in some areas has occurred. Kiev, Chernigov, Cherkasi and Rytomir have entered a state of emergency. As of that night, the air strikes killed 14 people and injured 97 people.
Many people believe that the Russian air strike is not only a counterattack against the Ukrainian intelligence department planning to attack the Kerch Bridge, but also a response to the Ukrainian army's counterattack against the Russian army some time ago. Some people think this is a sign that the Russian army regroups and is preparing to launch an attack on the Ukrainian army. However, I personally think that the situation of the Russian army is probably not so optimistic.
(it is said to be Kiev after the Russian missile air strike)
First of all, the cost of cruise missiles is not high. Take the US military AGM-86 cruise missile as an example. The US military's purchase price of this missile is about US$1.57 million per round, while the stealth AGM-129 cruise missile is about US$6.73 million. Due to the difference in 's currency purchasing power and the cost of living, the cost of Russian cruise missiles is definitely lower than that of the United States. However, even so, the Russian army only launched more than 100 cruise missiles in one day, and they attacked several cities in Ukraine respectively, and even reached the level of only a few dozen of them in each city.
( Tomahawk )
This shows that the Russian army's precise strike ammunition reserves are still seriously insufficient, so precious cruise missiles can only be "saving for use". During the 1991 Gulf War, the United States launched its first wave of attacks on the Iraqi army, but it fired more than 200 Tomahawk cruise missiles; in the 1988 "Iraq missile attack city battle", the total number of missiles launched by Iraqi on Iran also had more than 130 missiles, and they were all ballistic missiles . The Russian army's savings can only show one problem. The Russian army's own ammunition reserves are not optimistic, especially the number of cruise missiles with precise strike capabilities is even smaller. Even if they launch a fierce attack, they can only fire more than 100.
(Photo-95MSM bomber, specially added 4 wing mounts to plug in KH-101 cruise missiles)
Secondly, the Russian air strike on Ukraine has a strong deterrence, but the actual effect is very limited. This is because the KH-101 cruise missile used by the Russian army is similar to the US Tomahawk cruise missile. When using a conventional warhead, its warhead can carry 450 kilograms of high-explosive warhead, which is almost the same as the 454 kilograms of the Tomahawk missile.Although this kind of missile can effectively destroy targets such as buildings, it is installed with conventional warheads after all, and its killing ability for large-scale targets such as cities is very limited. Even according to the air strikes of 60 missiles, the full amount is to blow up 60 buildings, which does not have much killing effect on the city.
(The graphite in graphite bomb is processed into thin filaments. After the bomb explodes, the graphite wires will be hung on the wires, which will cause the wires to be short-circuited and the transformer will be burned. Moreover, the graphite wires are difficult to clean, but unfortunately, the Russian army does not have such a weapon)
It is worth mentioning that the most effective strike weapon for air strike power facilities is graphite bombs. This bomb contains a large number of thin filaments made of graphite, which can paralyze the power supply system on a large scale, and is not easy to clean. But Russia does not have such weapons, so the Russian army can only rely on cruise missiles to directly blow up power plants and substations and to destroy Ukraine's power system. From this perspective, it is not difficult to see that the Russian army has already opened a considerable gap with Western countries, including my country, and since only conventional high-explosive warheads can be used, the combat adaptability of Russian cruise missiles is far less than that of similar weapons in China, the United States and other countries.
(Ukraine originally had a very strong industrial manufacturing system)
Ukraine was the second largest industrial country after Russia in the former Soviet Union, and had a deep industrial foundation. The cruise missiles launched by the Russian army on Ukraine were too scattered. Although they bombed several cities, their strength was far from enough to effectively kill and injure various military targets of the Ukrainian army. It can be said that the Russian air strikes cannot effectively kill the Ukrainian army's vitality, nor can they cut off the logistical assistance of various countries to Ukraine. As long as the Ukrainian government is not scared, such air strikes will not have much tactical significance.
(Although winter has come, NATO countries are still providing weapons and equipment to Ukraine, so the Russian-Ukraine war will continue to have a long tug-of-war)
Overall, although air strikes on Ukraine can boost the morale of the Russian army to a certain extent, to truly reverse the passive situation on the battlefield, it is impossible to rely solely on air strikes of more than 100 cruise missiles. The Russian army also needs to assemble a large number of reserve forces to enrich the defenders on all fronts, and at the same time, supplement the front line with sufficient ammunition and materials to launch a new round of attacks on the Ukraine army.
