text | Liu Lanchang
American media CNN suddenly said that it had opened a branch in Taipei. Kuomintang "legislator" Wen Yuxia immediately responded, saying that more intelligence personnel in the United States would be transferred from Beijing and Hong Kong to Taipei . She asked the authorities to conduct "counter-intelligence operations" on them, and at the same time, the pro-American authorities should treat the news peers equally and cannot give CNN "special care". She also believes in CNN's "strong" homework. The author understands that the so-called "strong" homework, that is, "domineering", cannot be stopped by the DPP authorities.
What I care about most is that Wen Yuxia's other judgment is that CNN's entry represents an increase in the risk of war in the Taiwan Strait. She called CNN a very high political acumen. As long as there are wars and conflicts in the world, CNN always grabs news first. Therefore, this time, the establishment of a station in Taipei indicates that there is something wrong in Taiwan and "major geopolitical events", either war or major conflict.
The author unconsciously CNN went to Taipei to set up a spot because there might be war in the Taiwan Strait. On the contrary, he believed that CNN was to judge that the Taiwan Strait would not fight in the future, but there were too many topics of hype war. There is "event" around the world, there are wars and conflicts, so CNN can send out capable war correspondents, so there is no need to rent a house to decorate an office. Because, it is likely to be a waste of money. Therefore, CNN set up a station in Taipei, not "warming" but "better to hype". I know that there will be a lot of hot news here in the future.
In fact, since the "black violence" incident in Hong Kong in 2019, many American media stationed in Hong Kong have moved the Asia-Pacific branch to Taipei, and CNN is just a latecomer.
As for the war in the Taiwan Strait, we must mention Tsai Ing-wen’s “Double Ten Speech”. Naturally, she still adheres to her established political stance and insists on using the title of "Taiwan, Republic of China". However, compared with her arbitrarily increasing the fierce tone of "anti-China and Taiwan protection", this time she was a little "gentle". She said, "Warsweeping together is definitely not an option for cross-straits" and "looks forward" to gradually resume cross-strait civil exchanges and alleviate the tension in the Taiwan Strait.
Why, Tsai Ing-wen has a different tone from last year. What’s important is that there was no election battle on the island last year, and it is the time for election battles to become “white-hot”. At present, the situation on the island has two major disadvantages to the green camp: First, because of internal affairs such as poor anti-epidemic, high incidence of infection and high mortality, coupled with various other problems, the "hate the Democratic Progressive Party" craze has been higher than the other. Second, the tension in the Taiwan Strait not only caused people on the island to be volatile, but also caused serious "capital travel". Even the "Shenshan Island Protection" semiconductor industry is extremely susceptible to "blockdown" because the export of raw material import products is extremely vulnerable to "blockdown", and manufacturers are trying to "disperse risks". In addition, the United States forced to "return" to the local area, and the island's investment environment showed "the worst moment in history." Therefore, the DPP authorities understand that to win the election, we must first stabilize the hearts of the Taiwanese people.
It is certain that Tsai Ing-wen's statement is actually mainly for the people on the island, not for the other side of the strait. Tsai Ing-wen has been dealing with Beijing for many years and knows that the political foundation of cross-strait relations is ", 1992 Consensus ". The DPP wants to engage in "Taiwan independence", of course, it cannot recognize the 1992 Consensus. So no matter how gentle it is, as long as you adhere to the statement of "Taiwan, the Republic of China", it means that you are unwilling to give up your "Taiwan independence" position, and cross-strait relations cannot be improved. However, Tsai Ing-wen wanted to appease the turbulent people on the island, so she had to say "no war" to the inside.
It is worth mentioning that the DPP has always played the anti-China card in the election battle, and the KMT played the cross-strait peace card. However, the "re-US, friendly, and anti-communist" line taken by the Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun has caused the Kuomintang to lose its direction in the election war. Candidates from various counties and cities of the Kuomintang can only play the policy card in a concentrated manner. Hou Youyi, Lu Xiuyan and others rely on their political achievements to strive for re-election, and even cut off from Zhu Lilun's central government. The candidates of the Kuomintang who are not in power will focus on the corruption of the Democratic Progressive Party government and poor municipal affairs in order to replace them. In short, the Blue Camp lost the right to speak on the situation in the Taiwan Strait in this election, and even had to say "anti-China and protect Taiwan".
The cunning DPP has room for gain. They believe that more than 30% of the basic market is stable, so there is no need to talk about "dried mangoes" (sense of national destruction) in the 2016 and 2020 battles, but instead focus on promoting the cooling of the Taiwan Strait to win intermediate votes. Therefore, Taiwan's election situation is showing a complex and changing trend, and who wins and loses may not be announced until the invoice is issued.
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