When the Crimea Bridge exploded, the top leaders of the Russian army were shocked .
According to foreign media reports, because of the explosion of the Crimea Bridge this time, coupled with the frequent mistakes made by the Russian army on the Ukrainian battlefield, Kremlin is preparing to replace the top Russian military leaders .
It is said that in this round of major blood swap, the current Russian Defense Minister Shoigu , and Russia's Chief of Staff of the Ministry of Defense Gerasimov , will both resign.
In the unfavorable situation in Russia and Ukraine, if Russia is really as reported, will be a temporary replacement!
So, can Russia change players last time, work?
Let’s first look at what the two senior Russian officials who may have been replaced, or the generals who “take the blame” for a series of problems in Russia’s recent military management and battlefield situation.
To some extent, Shoigu can be said to be the "paper maker" of the Russian army (it is said to be a joke made by Shoigu on himself).
Because before Shoigu, former Russian Defense Minister Serdukov carried out a military reform of intense, ideal , but exceeds Russia's capabilities .
At that time, the United States had taken the lead in completing the information reform of "department to brigade" , and verified the powerful combat capabilities of the information brigade in the large-scale combat exercise of Fort Irving .
Serdukov saw the American reform successful, and without the full deployment of , hurriedly began the reform of the Russian army.
Results The Russian army lacks high-quality command personnel and advanced information equipment. Even the troops are difficult to fully complete the staff!
This led to a significant decrease in the combat effectiveness of the Russian army , which can be said to be a very failed reform!
We can compare the military reform of the People's Liberation Army. Before the curtain of military reform officially kicked off in 2015, we have been exploring and verifying the synthetic reform of "department transformation and brigade" for nearly 10 years.
Our troops have sufficient staff. After changing to a synthetic brigade, one brigade will have 1,000-2,000 more people than the US military’s brigade !
information combat equipment represented by 99A tanks, 04A infantry fighting vehicles, Type 07 self-propelled howitzers, etc., also equipped our People's Liberation Army in large quantities.
This made our People's Liberation Army very smooth after the reform and quickly formed information combat capabilities.
Russia does not have the reform conditions like us. After the failure of Serdukov's reform, Shoigu, as the successor of Russian Defense Minister, naturally had to clean up the mess left by his predecessor .
Shoigu's approach is to restore some division-level staff, because Russian does not have so many high-quality command personnel to maintain the synthetic brigade-level staff.
Then, in response to the problem of insufficient unit 4, Shoigu asked the Russian army to form a BTG, which is the battalion-level tactical cluster.
To put it bluntly, this BTG is to put together the personnel and equipment of the entire brigade, and piece together a reinforcement battalion that can be fought , and the entire brigade relies on this reinforcement battalion to fight.
As a comparison, the US military's brigade has 4 coalition battalions, and our brigade has 4 synthetic battalions . With the support of information-based fire strikes, is basically equivalent to the combat capability of 4 BTGs!
So Shoigu is a "paper maker". He just covered up the fundamental problem of insufficient Russian military posts and !
Finally, there is a problem of insufficient technical equipment. In the absence of ability to provide other weapons and equipment for the Russian army, Shoigu's approach is to multi-equip tank .
Russia has a large number of old Soviet tanks. After modernizing these tanks, its combat effectiveness is still quite advanced.
In this way, thousands of T72 tanks were transformed into T72B3 tanks, and made the "number of" Russian military technical equipment .
However, on this Ukrainian battlefield, the advanced T72B3 tanks could not change the situation by relying on themselves alone. The shortage of the quota of the
unit has left the Russian army with only more than 200 combat personnel in one brigade of ! lacks the ability to confront head-on.
So Shoigu is responsible for a lot of responsibility for the current dilemma of the Russian army.
Then there is Gerasimov, as the chief of staff of the Russian Ministry of Defense , The Russian army's series of combat plans at the beginning of the year, can basically be considered to be formulated by him.
In fact, from a tactical perspective, , in February and early March, the Russian army's tactics were very clever.
airborne troops took helicopters and raided and occupied the airport. Then transport plane was preparing to carry reinforcements to land on the airport forcibly.
Ground troops have a multi-way high-speed assault, and completed a long-distance raid of two or three hundred kilometers in just a few days.
Theoretically speaking, the tactics are very good as the style of the Soviet army at that time, and the combat plan was well formulated.
But the Russian army once again explained what it means to talk about on paper . The current Russian army does not have the grassroots command capabilities, logistics support capabilities, and fire strike capabilities of the Soviet Union at that time!
The set of tactics that Gerasimov made completely copied the Soviet army's tactics, but he probably did not expect that The Russian army now does not have the combat effectiveness of the Soviet army at that time .
The transport aircraft that was expected to be reinforced, failed to land in ; the ground troops attacked at high speed were completely out of touch with the logistics, and was defeated in one month.
Theoretically good plan, but the actual situation of the Russian army was not taken into account. had many problems in execution , which eventually caused the Russian army's offense to be frustrated and fell into a deadlock.
Shoigu did not build the Russian army well, but Shoigu took over a mess after all, and it would be unrealistic to say that the responsibility lies entirely with Shoigu.
But Gerasimov is mainly responsible. The outside world does not know the true situation of the Russian army. As the Chief of Staff of the Ministry of National Defense, wouldn’t he know?
knows the situation and formulates such a plan that does not consider the reality of the Russian army. Then Gerasimov is a serious mistake in command .
If you don’t know the situation, the problem will be even more serious, which means that Gerasimov has not paid attention to the situation under his command at all. As a senior military official, is a serious dereliction of duty .
Therefore, if the Russian military's military's military problems currently require senior officers to take the blame, these two people should have taken the blame for .
According to foreign media reports, candidates for these two positions in Russia include Du Ming, Matovnikov, Yevkurov and Tarickov.
In terms of resume, these people have nothing outstanding about compared to Shoigu and Gerasimov.
How much results can Russia achieve when it comes to the last fight? Judging from the information I have, in addition to solving the blame, the rest of depends on what the new official can do as he takes office .
Russia No. 8 replaced the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian front. The commander-in-chief took office for two days. On the 10th, today, he launched an missile attack on Kiev and Dnieper, Ukraine. It is hard to say whether
has any results, at least it means that the Russian army will bring about changes.
But if the current situation of the Russian army is to be completely changed, may be difficult to solve the problem of the Russian army even if Zhukov is alive.
This reminds me of a friend's words: " Losing the Soviet Union's Slav is just an ordinary capitalist country ."
