At present, the new crown epidemic in India has been seriously out of control. The cumulative number of confirmed cases has exceeded 20 million and is still growing at an unprecedented rate. Relevant data from US agencies shows that from to the end of July, the number of deaths from the new crown epidemic in India may exceed 1.01 million.
Now that the epidemic in India is heading for a catastrophic deterioration, the scale of the infected and dead people continues to expand, making it impossible to see where the "big bang" of the epidemic will end.
India's epidemic is spreading to the surrounding area
The report of the World Health Organization shows that the epidemic situation in India is spreading to the surrounding area. For the real number of cases in India, WHO experts estimate that it is likely to reach 300 million or even 500 million. What may be the biggest humanitarian crisis of the 21st century is coming, and the out-of-control epidemic will also lead India to embark on a vicious circle of constantly fighting with mutated viruses.
And the trend of this Indian epidemic may also be similar to the second wave of the Spanish flu outbreak a hundred years ago.
India's mutated virus has invaded China
Double mutated virus and triple mutated virus have appeared in India now. At present, the number of new crown cases in many countries around the world is soaring, which is also inseparable from the factors of mutated viruses. Under the current situation , due to the deterioration of the epidemic situation in neighboring countries, China has also seen imported cases of India's mutated virus. During the May 1 holiday, Zhejiang found 1 imported case from India, and this person also took 2 trains.
And according to 3 imported cases from India from Chongqing, a more unexpected result was revealed. Even if they came back from India, they were "fully armed" on protection against virus and did not miss any protection details, they still could not escape the virus infection.Although their body temperature was normal, infectious lesions were found in the chest after a diagnosis, which shows the seriousness of the spread of the mutated new coronavirus in India.
The severity of mutant viruses may be difficult to predict
This also shows that virus protection measures have ushered in new challenges. A horrific picture is emerging, which has also sounded alarm bells around the world. In addition, for the three infected people, their workplaces in India were relatively closed and dust-free, and they also took certain preventive measures. After many times of nucleic acid detection , the result has been negative, but it is still attacked, which shows how cunning and difficult to prevent this virus.
There are many difficulties in dealing with the mutant virus.
It will take some time to count on India to prevent and control the epidemic. The key question is how to stop the mutant virus in India. As the epidemic in India has spread to many countries around the world, the potential transmission situation in the future is still very severe. And the Chinese in India, return to China, or not? How to control it after returning home? In addition, do China and related countries need to close customs ports again? These are all questions worth thinking about.
India's third wave of the epidemic is unavoidable
Indian officials have stated that, given the current severity of the new crown epidemic, India's third wave of the epidemic is unavoidable. However, whether it is the first wave or the second wave of the epidemic in India, their severity has almost always existed. Although India is receiving international assistance, under the current chaotic epidemic situation in India, the effect has not yet been seen.Some Russian medical experts said that according to the current epidemic situation in India, the country needs to add at least 10 million beds, 12 million oxygen generators, and even 7 million medical staff... The epidemic in India has obviously fallen into To the point of total collapse.
What is surprising is that when the Indian medical system is facing a huge hypoxia crisis, the Indian side is still secretly exporting oxygen to foreign countries, which can be said to put the cart before the horse.
What is the cause of the outbreak in India?
There are two key reasons for the outbreak of the epidemic in India. The first is that India's high-level officials are busy with elections, and they have adopted an indifferent attitude towards the epidemic, allowing all kinds of large-scale activities, which has caused the virus to spread out of control. In addition, India's vaccine vaccination rate is very low, which is also the reason for the spread of the virus. At present, India is in the midst of an epidemic crisis, and the country has finally begun to take measures to block in many cities and start building makeshift hospitals , but it is too late to wake up now.
India's epidemic situation is not optimistic
And this new blockade measure in India can only be effective for areas where India has conditions. For the slums in India, it will cause a series of problems. Under the influence of the epidemic, there is currently a shortage of food in India, which will also lead to a more serious social crisis. More importantly, how long can India's lockdown measures last? The number of confirmed cases is still increasing rapidly, and the future situation of the epidemic in India may not be optimistic.
text/Wang Zhenguo
