9 days before the voting day of the "general election" on the island, the 2020 candidates of the Kuomintang, Han Kuo-yu and Tsai Ing-wen, each have supporters. In this regard, DPP Tainan City Councilman Lu Weiyin believes that the turnout for the first voter will become the key to the victory or defeat of this year's election. Faced with the Korean fans with strong mobilization capabilities, if the turnout for young groups is not as expected, the results of this election may be rewrite.
Lu Weiyin is 38 years old this year and has a master's degree in the Institute of Political Science, Zhongzheng University. After entering politics, Lai Qingde first served as the special assistant of the "legislator" Lai Qingde; later Lai Qingde was elected mayor of Tainan, and Lu Weiyin also served as the confidential secretary of the Social Bureau of Tainan Municipal Government. Since 2014, he has been re-elected for two terms in Tainan City Councillor, a member of the Democratic Progressive Party, and a soldier of Lai Ching-te.
Lu Weiyin said that blue and green have basic sectors in Taiwan, and the turnout rate of young ethnic groups is key to the victory or defeat of this year's election. Most people in young ethnic groups under the age of 30 will support Tsai Ing-wen, but the turnout rate of young people has always been lower than that of other age groups. On the voting day, they may not vote because of various factors such as sleeping late and not booking tickets.
Lu Weiyin said that in contrast, Han Kuo-yu's support for mass mobilization is very strong, and the turnout rate will be relatively high. Moreover, there are 1.18 million first-time voters this year. If the turnout rate in the young group is not as expected, it may affect the result of this "general election", which is also something they are worried about. Therefore, how to strengthen publicity in the last few days before the election, encourage young people to return home to vote, and increase the turnout rate is the key task.
This year's election for Han Kuo-yu's land war campaign is a bit better than that of the Green Camp. What is the reason?
Lu Weiyin believes that in the past, the Marine Force sweeping streets and building momentum have always been the strengths of the DPP. However, this time Tsai Ing-wen hopes to downplay the party’s color and incorporate parent-child elements in building momentum, which is relatively lively. Han Kuo-yu's steel Korean fan troops have strong mobilization ability and canvass votes everywhere, so the scene looks more popular.
The air war issues in recent years have been flexible and changeable compared to the DPP. The Kuomintang is often beaten on the one hand. Why are the differences in air war between the two parties? Lu Weiyin believes that the problem lies in the essence of the two parties. The DPP itself is a young political party and has long attached importance to cultivating young people. Moreover, from "opposition" to "governing", many social movement members have joined, so they will be younger and more lively in air combat. In contrast, the Kuomintang has been in power for a long time since its resolution and has rarely been an "opposition party". In addition, it has always used outdated methods to fight election battles, so it is naturally at a disadvantage in air combat.
Source: China Comment News Agency
