According to the Hong Kong China Review News Agency, regarding the future cross-strait situation, Zhao Chunshan, the core think tank of cross-strait policy and chief consultant of the Asia-Pacific Peace Research Foundation when Ma Ying-jeou was in power, said in an interview with China Review News Agency that "maintaining the status quo" is unlikely in the long run, and it is even more and more difficult. Tsai Ing-wen is barely okay during her tenure, but if she wants to choose a leader in 2024 in the future, she will be forced to express her "unification" or "independence." There is no third way, and "not unification or independence" is difficult to continue. 2024 will be a node and barrier to dealing with cross-strait issues. He said bluntly, "As long as Taiwan wants independence, it is war." "Avoiding risks first, creating peace, and then talking about reunification" is a problem that Taiwan leaders will face in the future.
Zhao Chunshan, born in 1946, is an important think tank for cross-strait policy of Ma Ying-jeou. During the time of Ma Ying-jeou's rule, he served as chairman of the Asia-Pacific Peace Research Foundation and chairman of the Vision Foundation. He is also one of the important aides of the "Xi-Ma Association" in 2015. He is currently an honorary professor at the Tamkang University Mainland Research Institute.
Zhao Chunshan said that Taiwan now has three paths: cross-strait reunification, Taiwan is "independence" and "not unification or independence". "Independence is impossible, because it is a military war; it is difficult to last forever without unification; unification is a question of how to unify, and we must go in this direction in the future." "If all these are not needed, prepare for war." "War between 'military unification' and 'anti-martial unification'", if Taiwan does not want the war to resolve cross-strait issues, it must prepare a plan.
If 2024 is a node to deal with cross-strait issues, will the candidates for the 2024 Taiwan leader candidates make a clear statement on the cross-strait discourse? Zhao Chunshan analyzed that it is impossible for the two sides of the Taiwan Strait to continue to maintain the status quo. The two sides of the Taiwan Strait need to integrate, and the mainland will definitely "extreme pressure". If Taiwan faces this pressure, "not unification is not only a vague", but the mainland will not be able to continue to be blurred in the future. It is OK to be "not alone" now, but in the future, we will face pressure of unification, and we will start to put pressure during Tsai Ing-wen's tenure. The pressure will be greater in 2024.
He stressed that if the Taiwan leaders want Taiwan to be "independence" in 2024, "the cross-strait is a military confrontation", but it depends on the choice of the Taiwanese people. 2024 will be a node and barrier to dealing with cross-strait issues.
He criticized that Taiwan now only allows "independence" but cannot talk about unity, "there should be freedom of speech." For Taiwan, "Taiwan independence" is a false issue. After creating peace conditions, discuss how to "get together". "Disabling hazards first, creating peace, and then talking about unification" is a problem that Taiwan leaders have to face.
He said that Taiwan can delay until 2024, and the candidates for the Taiwan leaders must propose a peaceful reunification plan, "because cross-strait relations are the situation stronger than people." Taiwan must respond in this regard. The mainland schedule has been down, and the issue of unification cannot be ruled out. I don’t know whether it can be done now, but I will not rule out.
