More than two years ago, humans welcomed an uninvited guest - the new coronavirus. Its arrival broke the originally peaceful life. It not only threatened people's physical health, but also stagnated in all aspects. After the outbreak of the epidemic, although it was quickly effectively controlled, it has not been completely eliminated.
People often say that even if the epidemic is severe, it will not last more than 3 years. There have been many outbreaks in my country's history, such as plague, plague, , etc. Most of the epidemic has not spread more than three years.
According to this rule, 2022 is the third year of the outbreak of the epidemic. So will this new crown epidemic end completely this year as before?
"The epidemic lasts only three years", is there any scientific basis?
If you look back on the history of human development, the 1918 flu did not last more than three years, and atypical pneumonia did not last too long, but if you put the time to a longer period of time, there would be more infectious diseases that were prevalent for more than three years.
For example, several plague pandemics in history have lasted for a long time. The first was the Justinian plague . According to historical records, the plague epidemic has been repeated for decades, causing a devastating blow to the national strength of Byzantine ; the second plague was the Black Death . The repeated plague pandemic has lasted for hundreds of years in the European continent, and the total number of people killed may be close to 100 million.
Recall other plagues in history, tuberculosis , syphilis , smallpox, etc. They all lasted for a long time in history and harvested countless lives. The duration of these epidemics is calculated over hundreds or thousands of years. The reason why their epidemics are limited is not because they have waited for many years, but because of the consequences of the advancement of medical and public health. In fact, most of them are far away from our lives.
All these examples tell us that the statement that "the epidemic will last only three years" cannot summarize the general laws of epidemics. It is not in line with the reality that expects a pandemic to suddenly disappear after a certain period of time.
Will the new crown epidemic end this year? Academician Zhong Nanshan told the truth.
was first discovered in South Africa on November 11, 2021. Nearly a year has passed. Compared with the past, the scale of the outbreak of Omickron is much larger. So how will the new crown pandemic caused by Omickron develop and when will it end?
Some time ago, Lanzhou University Academician Huang Jianping’s team made a bold prediction about the end time of the new crown pandemic:
Omickron will continue to influence the world this year, COVID-19 The pandemic will not end until the end of 2023 (around November 2023).
Many people have personally consulted Academician Zhong Nanshan for this statement. Regarding the duration of the new crown pandemic, Academician Zhong Nanshan also made a statement. He said:
The epidemic may exist for a long time, but large-scale transmission can be controlled. We will gradually open up in the process of dynamic removal, which shows that the epidemic can still be prevented and controlled.
60% to 70% of the cases in rural areas recently occurred. If you want to clear the zero dynamically, you must do three things: 1. Strengthen the popularization of epidemic prevention knowledge for ordinary people; 2. Strengthen the popularization of epidemic prevention education for rural doctors; 3. Conveniently facilitate the nucleic acid testing of the people and accelerate the testing capabilities of grassroots rural areas.
Previously, Bill Gates also boldly predicted that the acute period of this epidemic will end sometime in 2022. British experts also believe that the epidemic will end in 2022 or 2023. If the epidemic continues in this state, it may also be fully cleared by 2026.
However, this conclusion is predicted based on the current development of the pandemic. If a virus with higher infectiousness appears in the future, the result will be another matter.
If the epidemic breaks out again, what preparations should we make?
. Maintain the regular life and help you have a good mood
Now is a special period, and good immunity is the best "protective clothing". At the same time, physical changes will also induce or aggravate panic and anxiety. We will not do anything that destroys the rules of life, which destroys physical and mental health.
. Adhere to moderate exercise to improve emotions
Exercise can not only improve physical health, but exercise can also improve emotions and promote mental health. Regular life and appropriate amount of exercise are the basic guarantees for us to face and deal with crises. Therefore, if you do moderate exercise in the dormitory and persist for 30-60 minutes a day, your physical and mental feelings will be very different.
. Maintain confidence and determination to defeat the epidemic
Clearly understand the possible epidemic and believe that our country is fully capable of defeating any possible epidemic. In fact, while our country continues to strengthen epidemic prevention in different aspects, it is stepping up the development of vaccines; once an epidemic occurs, the vaccines under development will be used to rescue emergency and avoid the emergence of large-scale epidemics.
