After a month of counterattack consumption, Ukraine's weapons and equipment, especially ammunition supply, is in a dilemma. US military personnel revealed that they are collecting 155mm shells in the arsenal of the allies in NATO to meet the urgent needs of the Ukrainian army. In addition, according to the latest results announced by the Russian side, an Iskander precision missile launched by the Russian army on the 14th destroyed a "Haimas" rocket launcher base in Ukraine, and two "Haimas" rocket launchers and an ammunition depot were completely blown up. The threat of the Ukrainian army's "Haimas" rocket launcher has been further reduced.
The US Department of Defense announced on the same day that the US will provide Ukraine with the "Haimas" rockets and artillery shells within the framework of a package of US$725 million in new military aid. The new package of defense assistance includes: supplementary ‘Haimas’ rockets, 23,000 155mm shells, 500 155mm precision guided shells (for M777 howitzer ), and 5,155 long-range anti-tank mine-branching systems. It also includes 5,000 anti-tank guns , high-speed anti-radar missiles, more than 200 vehicles and 2 million bullets.
However, as the battlefield situation changes, the Ukrainian army's ammunition consumption will include non-combat losses in Russian bombing. Moreover, after the Russian army changes its tactics, including the foreign aid material receiving base in western Ukraine, the highway and railway transportation line from west to east, and the equipment ammunition transfer base will inevitably be the key targets of Russian Air Force .
must be seen that as of now, the week-long large-scale bombing of the Russian army is still limited to precise strikes of high-precision ammunition. The Tu-95 and Tu-160 strategic bombers involved in the bombing only use X-101 cruise missiles and Kh-55 air-to-surface missiles, and the damage to Ukrainian targets is relatively limited. If the 300/500kg aviation bomb is used to carry out indiscriminate bombing on a large scale, Ukraine's current overall losses will be several times higher. However, the Ukrainian media and many people in the western region not only did not recognize the cruelty of the war, but was also ridiculing the "Russia's precise ammunition has been exhausted." Little do they know that once the Russian Air Force has shortage of precise ammunition, they will inevitably use the stock of "iron bombs".
In the next few days, the topic of "Russia's precise ammunition has been exhausted" will be hotly discussed because Russia may suspend large-scale bombing of Ukraine. Russian RT reported that Russian President Putin said on October 14 that there is no need to carry out further large-scale (bombing) strikes on Ukraine at present. The downside is that this undoubtedly gives Ukraine and NATO supporters a chance to breathe, and will also allow the United States and NATO military aid to enter Ukraine smoothly. However, Russia has not said it would completely stop all forms of air strikes. Russian military personnel revealed that the domestic "Lancet" cruise missile has started to display production mode and plays an important role in the current battlefield. Due to the lack of air defense missiles, Ukraine was forced to dispatch precious Air Force fighters in order to intercept the incoming "Shahid-136" and "Lancet" cruise missiles. The Ukrainian Air Force lost a Su-27 and a Su-24 fighter jet one day on October 14, and the day before that it also lost an MiG-29 fighter .
Uzbek's side, like the United States, has requested "providing F-16 and F-15 fighter assistance to Uzbek" in this context. But this time the lion's mouth seems to be too big, and the Ukrainian Air Force will not be able to use US-made fighter jets well in the short term. The Ukrainian military’s top priority is to protect foreign aid supplies and save money to avoid an extremely passive situation when Western military aid is out of gear. This is not creating anxiety for Ukraine. After all, the Ukrainian army believes that they are still "smooth" in both the eastern and southern lines.
However, the warning of the Ukrainian military should be taken seriously. US Army Retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis In an article written for 19 FortyFive, the Ukrainian army may encounter major problems in the winter. Davis said that Kiev has lost most of its important infrastructure, energy and fuel complexes and industries. In winter, Ukraine will feel this problem extremely strongly. And Russia has inexhaustible production potential.By this winter, they will build a steady supply of military equipment and ammunition. Instead, Ukraine will rely almost exclusively on Western delivery, which may not be delivered immediately or in the required quantity.
European winter generally starts from the end of October every year and continues until March of the following year. In other words, can the Ukrainian army's two-front counterattack continue? And the outcome of the warning that "the Ukrainian army will encounter major problems in winter" will be revealed in a month! Russia has basically completed restorative training through the 220,000 reserve forces supplemented by "partial military mobilization". The first batch of more than 30,000 people have been put into the front line of the battlefield. From the end of October to mid-November, they will be deployed in batches to Kharkov and Kherson fronts. At the same time, a large number of weapons and equipment that are supporting the supplementary forces are also being put into the battlefield through railway and road transportation. As the ultimate deterrent method against NATO, the Russian Aerospace Forces also deployed 11 strategic bombers that can carry nuclear weapons in the Murmansk area. Western military experts said this is a strong signal from Moscow to the West.
