Buildings destroyed in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict
So far, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has lasted for more than half a year, and the situation is becoming increasingly stalemate. A little while ago, the Ukrainian army launched a large counterattack, recapturing part of the territory of Kharkov area, and the Russian army was no longer lenient and began a fierce attack on the eastern Ukrainian area. According to media reports, the Russian army destroyed a large number of Ukrainian mercenary strongholds and shot down two modified 29s from the Ukrainian army. Is it a fierce battle that has entered the countdown?
Recently, Russian Ministry of Defense released a war report. In the area of Donbas , the Russian army launched a raid on the Ukrainian army with its superior forces, killing more than 540 Ukrainian officers and soldiers, as well as more than 100 foreign mercenaries . A large number of Ukrainian military targets and weapons and equipment were also destroyed, and the war also extended to Zaporoze Prefecture . It is reported that the three ammunition depots of the Ukrainian army here were destroyed by Russian artillery fire, including the "Haimas" rocket launcher supported by the United States. Over the Donbass region, Russia and Ukraine also held an air battle. The Russian Aerospace Forces cooperated closely with ground firepower to destroy two MiG29s, two Su25s and nearly twenty military drones . After Russia announced the war report, Ukraine has not yet made any "correction" and it can basically be confirmed that the Russian military's combat situation is true. After this counterattack, the Russian army's front began to advance continuously. So, will Russia further expand the scale of the war? I have the following three views on this.
mG29 fighter
First of all, Russia currently does not have the conditions for a large-scale attack. Recently, Russia has carried out some mobilization, but the newly mobilized 300,000 reserves are likely to not go directly to the front line. After all, in modern warfare, the number of people is not the main factor that determines the situation. After these reserve soldiers pick up their guns again, they need a long time of psychological transformation and adaptation, and they cannot form actual combat effectiveness for the time being. Some analysts pointed out that reserve soldiers are more likely to replace active troops in Russia's domestic garrison, and then they can put the replaced troops into the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield to alleviate the current dilemma of insufficient Russian troops. This process takes a certain amount of time. During this period, it is unlikely that the Russian army will launch a large-scale offensive.
Secondly, the Russian military strategy is still mainly about consumption, and increasing troops and counterattacks are to create conditions for actual control of the eastern Wu region. Russia has always shown an attitude that has dragged the war into winter, so that it can put pressure on Europe in the energy field. However, some time ago, Ukraine's massive counterattack in the Kharkiv region changed the situation. The confidence of NATO countries in Ukraine has been re-enhanced, and began to provide further military aid, intending to defeat Russia on the front battlefield, which puts huge pressure on Russia. Therefore, Russia began to mobilize partially and promote the referendum of the four states of Donetsk , Lugansk , Zaporoze and Khlsson . Judging from the current results, the turnout rate has exceeded 50%. It is expected that after the final procedure, Russia will announce that these four states will officially join the Russian Federation, so that they can legally send mobilized troops into the garrison. This also means that Russia does not consider occupying all Ukrainian territory at present. The main purpose of the Russian army's current operations is to consolidate the front line in the eastern Ukrainian region and create conditions for the Russian army to actually control the eastern Ukrainian region.
Russian youth enlisted in the army
Finally, the main purpose of Russia's counterattack was to deal with domestic pressure. The Russian army's defeat in Kharkov region produced a huge chain reaction, and domestic anti-war sentiment suddenly rose, and Western forces also used this to provoke conflicts. In response to this, Russia urgently needs to achieve certain results to alleviate domestic pressure. If Russia cannot achieve the desired results this winter, it will only be more difficult next spring, and EU will not compromise. At the same time, the situation will be delayed for too long, and the impact of domestic instability factors will be greater. Therefore, Russia needs to mobilize all mobilized forces to take over Ukraine as soon as possible, and create established facts to cope with domestic and foreign pressures.
Russian police took away protesters
Overall, after this round of counterattack, the Ukrainian army suffered a large number of casualties, and a large number of important weapons were destroyed, which was considered a serious injury. For Russia, in addition to ease the pressure on the front line and effectively boost morale, it can also play a positive role in the country and reduce internal pressure from Russia. Therefore, the Russian army's strategic goal has been achieved. Until the Russian "energy card" takes effect, the Russian army is likely to not further expand the war. After all, Russia's goal is not the entire Ukraine, and it is crucial to maintain stable control in the eastern Ukraine.
