After Pelosi visit to Taiwan, the United States intends to introduce more subversive policies on the Taiwan Strait issue.
According to the latest news from Taiwan media China Times News Network, the draft "Policy Law with Taiwan" has been submitted to the desk of the US Senate Foreign Committee and is expected to be held on September 14. The bill will give Taiwan a major non- NATO 's status as an ally and changed the name of the Taiwan authorities' institutions in the United States.
Therefore, the approval of the bill will seriously impact Sino-US relations.
It is reported that although the draft bill stated that the "diplomatic relations" of the United States and Taiwan will not be restored, the symbol of "sovereignty" is strengthened everywhere in the specific articles, such as renaming the "Economic and Cultural Office in the United States" to the "Taiwan Representative Office" , and give the Taiwan authorities substantial "diplomatic treatment", and the corresponding former director of the office will enjoy "ambassador-level" treatment. The
bill also requires the lifting of restrictions on official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan, and no longer prohibits the Taiwanese authorities from displaying flags and other items that symbolize "sovereignty".
Military, the United States will expand arms sales to Taiwan from "defensive weapons" to offensive weapons that "can deter the People's Liberation Army". At the same time, the United States and Taiwan will also establish a "joint working group" to jointly respond to the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
Act will also enhance the level of US-Taiwan military cooperation. If it is designated Taiwan as the "main non-NATO ally" of the United States, if it is passed, it is equivalent to establishing the "military alliance" relationship between the two sides in a legal way. According to the requirements of the bill, when the mainland intends to When taking action against Taiwan, the United States must take more severe measures than before to respond.
In addition, the bill also requires active promotion of Taiwan's participation in the international community. In addition to supporting Taiwan's participation in the "Indo-Pacific Economic Architecture", it also claims that UN General Assembly resolution 2758 did not make a decision on Taiwan's sovereignty.
Hong Kong media China Commentary News Agency believes that if this case is passed, it will bring a more significant impact than Pelosi's visit to Taiwan and may become the fuse to ignite the situation in the Taiwan Strait; in another report, China Commentary News Agency believes that "and" Taiwan’s Policy Law will send Taiwan to the battlefield.
Hong Kong media pointed out that some of the requirements in the draft clearly show that in challenging China's bottom line, the name change of the Taiwan authorities' agency in the United States will bring a strong demonstration effect, and a large number of European countries will follow up. At that time, the mainland will avoid it. To make the situation worse, we can only take countermeasures that are more intense than the PLA's island-round exercises and training.
The United States may feel that by slowly approaching in the form of "cutting sausages", it can force itself to admit the fait accompli, but the United States thinks so completely wishful thinking and blindly doing it will only put itself in a bigger dilemma.
Russia has long seen the United States' intentions in the Taiwan Strait and has publicly expressed its support for China early. Russian diplomat Zakharov said in an interview that the United States intends to establish official relations with the Taiwan authorities, and that Russia should prepare for possible conflicts in the Asia-Pacific region and consider taking measures to support China.
Looking at the world, China, the United States and Russia are in a three-legged state. If China and Russia join forces, the United States will lose. What's more, no matter whether it is China's national strength, the internal division of the United States, or the reality of international geopolitics, the United States no longer allows the United States to do anything wrong. Therefore, even if the United States plays with it, it will no longer allow the United States to do anything wrong. No matter how many tricks are, they cannot change the direction of the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
First of all, the United States will never have the upper hand in the game in the Taiwan Strait. Although the United States is the world overlord and its strong military power stands out in the world, the People's Liberation Army has an absolute advantage in the Taiwan Strait region. The Rocket Force is enough to make the United States aircraft carrier dare not approach waters 1,500 kilometers away from the mainland coastline, while the Chinese aircraft carrier and destroyers can strike offshore targets at any time.
these guarantee that no matter what moves the United States introduces, mainland China will easily fight back.
Secondly, the United States' international appeal is no longer as good as before, and it is difficult to form an overall advantage for China. In the past, Western countries led by the United States were almost ironclad. Every time the United States issues accusations, dozens or hundreds of countries launch sieges against China, but in the past few years, the United States has lost its advantages one by one.
Politically, the United States has weak influence within United Nations Human Rights Council . Although it can also coerce the High Commissioner for Human Rights to make remarks that are unfavorable to China, the harm caused is already quite limited. Economically, the trade conflicts initiated by the United States have been frustrated. Biden ’s “Indo-Pacific Strategic Economic Framework” has been unveiled.
At the same time, due to the defeat in Middle East , dozens of NATO countries left Afghanistan in shame. It is already difficult for the United States to organize a new military group.
Finally, the internal rift in the United States became more and more serious, and it was difficult for the Biden administration to focus its attention abroad. Since Trump 's rule, the United States began to shrink globally, focusing its main military and economic resources in the Asia-Pacific region.
Even so, the United States is still a little overwhelmed, because there are internal problems.
At present, American society is suffering from the double blow of the epidemic and inflation, and the Biden administration's support rate has been falling again and again. Seeing that the midterm election is coming, the head-on battle between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party will begin again, and the endless internal problems will be dragged down tightly. Living Biden makes it difficult for him to show his strength in the Taiwan Strait region.
Of course, in order to get out of the predicament, the United States chose to prove to voters with a tougher attitude that it would not make concessions to China. However, the decline of strength made it difficult for the United States to be effective. If it insists on provoking conflict, the result will not be It can control it.
In short, the issue of unification involves China's core interests, and China will only refuse to give in. The People's Liberation Army will resolutely annihilate all invading enemies.