In this regard, Li Yanxiu, deputy secretary-general of the Chinese Kuomintang and candidate for Taipei City Council, analyzed that the Green Camp has been using polling operations to pull Huang Shanshan and defeat Chiang Wanan in the past period, so Chen Shizhong's polls have bee

Source: Taiwan Strait Network

Chen Shih-chung (left) and Chiang Wanan (Taiwanese media photo)

Strait Herald According to a report by China Review Service on July 1, the Democratic Progressive Party is expected to recruit Chen Shizhong, the "Minister of Health and Welfare" of the Taiwan authorities, to run for Taipei mayor, blue, green and white. The final election of Qiang Ding will be decided. In this regard, Li Yanxiu, deputy secretary-general of the Chinese Kuomintang and candidate for Taipei City Council, analyzed that the Green Camp has been using polling operations to pull Huang Shanshan and defeat Chiang Wanan in the past period, so Chen Shizhong's polls have been underestimated. She believes that the DPP is in Taipei The market still has a base of between 35% and 38%. After Chen Shizhong is nominated, his support will definitely increase.

In the two Taipei mayoral elections in 2014 and 2018, KMT candidates Lian Shengwen and Ding Shouzhong both received 40% of the votes. Li Yanxiu said that the Kuomintang's base in Taipei is 40% stable, so the most important thing for Chiang Wanan now is to consolidate the base and expand the support of middle voters or young votes. But the most important thing is that Chiang must create a force that Taipei citizens are willing to follow. Whether it is through political opinions, municipal teams, or other methods, it must be done, because electing the mayor is not like electing a "legislator" or electing a county. As a city councilor, it is enough to rely on personal charm, handsomeness, beauty, and cuteness.

If Chen Shih-chung represents the Democratic Progressive Party, the Taipei Mayoral Election Bureau will present the competition between Kuomintang Chiang Wanan, DPP Chen Shih-chung, and Huang Shanshan, who has no party membership but is supported by the People's Party.

Regarding the Taipei mayoral election, Li Yanxiu said that the Democratic Progressive Party’s base in Taipei City is between 35% and 38%. Since Chen Shizhong has not been officially nominated yet, we are now looking at Chen Shizhong’s polls, including the latest in recent days. The TVBS poll was even less than 20%, which she believes is underestimated.

Li Yanxiu mentioned that because the DPP has not yet nominated a candidate, there are traces of green camp manipulation in Huang Shanshan’s polls, and the intention to win over Huang Shanshan and beat Chiang is very obvious, so after Chen Shizhong is officially nominated, Chen’s polls will pick up. However, there are doubts whether the Green Camp’s basic base can return. After all, Chen Shih-chung’s performance during the epidemic prevention process has made Taipei citizens a lot dissatisfied. It remains to be seen whether the light green and “knowledge green” can vote for Chen Shizhong. Huang Shanshan has a good image and professional performance, but how much influence does she have and can she be elected? Li Yanxiu believes that there is a question mark, but Huang is definitely the key to influencing this election.

Talking about Chiang Wanan’s current situation, Li Yanxiu said that the most important thing now is to maintain the basic base. The Kuomintang still has nearly 40% support in Taipei City. This can be verified from the past votes. Based on these 40%, if Chiang Wanan can continue There is a lot to be done by expanding the support of some middle voters or young votes.

What is the current evaluation or confidence of local supporters in Taipei towards Chiang Wanan? Is the fundamentals stable?

Li Yanxiu said that judging from multiple polls, Jiang Wanan’s support is about 30% to 40%, but this is because the DPP has not really “started killing” and has not yet reached the rhythm of a real election campaign. Green Camp They are still busy with epidemic prevention, so Chiang must be very careful to make this 40% base very stable and not be affected by various smear attacks as the upcoming election campaign becomes intense.

Li Yanxiu expected that as the election campaign becomes more intense, there may be more cyber blackmails or squid tactics targeting Jiang Wanan. Therefore, Jiang Wanan and the entire campaign team should be prepared for various challenges to consolidate their base and not be exposed to outsiders. Influence. What is more optimistic is that Taipei citizens have experienced many fierce elections and know who is running what. I believe Taipei citizens will eventually make a good judgment.