former Kaohsiung Mayor Han Guoyu held a high-profile new book meeting in Taipei on the afternoon of January 2. The venue was packed with tens of thousands of "Korean fans", showing that his political energy on the island has not diminished. This new book meeting The meeting was also regarded by public opinion on the island as the so-called "initiative" of his comeback. All political camps on the island are paying close attention to Han Guoyu’s every move.
Han Guoyu said that he had no idea, and even ghosts would not believe it!
Han Guoyu has repeatedly said on different occasions that he has no idea, no idea about the county and mayor elections, and no idea about the 2024 "general election."
No idea? I don’t believe any ghosts.
has no idea why it came out at this time? Didn't you think of making such a high-profile comeback? Don't you want to be interviewed by the media several times and talk about major issues on the island? Don’t have the idea to set up a “Dianliang Foundation” and serve as its own chairman? Who would have imagined that in just a few days, we could meet the top figures of the Kuomintang , Zhu Lilun, , Hou Youyi, and Zhao Shaokang one by one?
Han Kuo-yu's new book is called "Kuo-yu Knocks on the Door," but people who have long-term observers of Taiwan's political arena say that Han Kuo-Yu just came knocking on the door this time. He himself also said that he would "do his part" if he had the opportunity.
So, what is Hanguo Yu’s ambition?
Because this year is the year of Taiwan's "nine-in-one" election , one of the important procedures is to elect 22 county mayors. Therefore, many people have turned their attention to the county mayor elections, and some media have speculated about his intentions. In Taipei and Taoyuan.
This may be an underestimation of Han Guoyu. Han Guoyu is a person who has done everything on the streets of Taipei. He is a person who has been the mayor of Kaohsiung. He is a person who slapped Chen Shui-bian. He is a person who had a "big position" dispute with Tsai Ing-wen. Today's counties and cities He could no longer see the long position. More importantly, these county mayors have a four-year term limit. Once they take office, they cannot have other ideas or actions. He had fallen in Kaohsiung before, and he didn't want to fall again.
It's just impossible. As long as there is a chance, Hanguo Yu's goal this time must be to seize the "big position" on the island.
Will the Kuomintang give him this opportunity?
The Kuomintang is a very special political party. When fighting externally, it often has no good strategies and therefore always loses. But when it comes to interfering, tearing apart and fighting each other internally, it has some methods and some unique tricks.
This may be what worries Han Guoyu the most. When I ran for mayor of Kaohsiung, it was a private garden that Green Camp had managed for many years and had never been lost. No one from the Kuomintang dared to fight. With the thought that there was no hope anyway, the battlefield was awarded to South Korea, which was not optimistic about the party. Yu. Who would have known that he would actually change the climate in Kaohsiung? This was not only beyond the expectations of the DPP, but also beyond the expectations of the Kuomintang.
Now that we have captured Kaohsiung, we should just stay there. It is also my fault that Han Guoyu is a little greedy and a little impatient. Under the fire of "Korean fans" and the media, he may not have thought about it and dare not have it. Slowly, people became more and more popular, and finally, after taking office as mayor of Kaohsiung for a few months, he was about to run for the "high office". This once again exceeded the expectations of not only the DPP but also the KMT.
His rice was not in the pot of the Kuomintang, just like Hong Xiuzhu's rice was not in the pot four years ago. This caught the Kuomintang by surprise. And his reputation is high and the momentum is strong. We can't stop him from choosing. We can only find Terry Gou who is more famous and richer than him, hoping to suppress him. As a result, the plan failed, causing serious divisions within the party, making it difficult to join forces in the general election, and all the good cards were played to pieces. Not only was Han Kuo-yu's dream shattered, but the KMT's advantages were also destroyed across the board.
This is a critical moment again. Will the Kuomintang give him another chance?
There are too many people on the island who want to sit in the "big seat".
Taiwan has a total population of more than 23 million, which is less than the population of a province in mainland China, but there are too many people who want to sit in the "big seat".
Within the Kuomintang, it is clear that there are three people who are vying to qualify: Party Chairman Zhu Lilun, who has been the chairman of the Kuomintang and has also participated in the island's general election. He went to such great lengths to run for chairman of the Kuomintang again and was eager to go to the United States as soon as he took office. The purpose of visiting and setting up the Kuomintang office in the United States was to make this move; media giant Zhao Shaokang not only has the advantage of the media, but also mobilized the "fighting blue" forces within the party. Major events on the island, Although he is not in the position, he still has to be involved in major affairs within the party, for the sake of this qualifying indicator; New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi, who has both blue and green relations, focuses on municipal administration, has good performance and reputation, "four major referendums" "The current party chairman couldn't call him, Zhao Shaokang couldn't attack him by name, and grassroots party members clamored to punish him. In the end, he issued a thousand-word document and openly claimed that this kind of referendum had no substantive meaning, and it was also for the 2024 general election.
On the opponent side of the Democratic Progressive Party, Tsai Ing-wen has served two terms and is naturally out of luck. However, Lai Qingde had been thinking about this position four years ago, and at that time, he had a close fight with Tsai Ing-wen because of the qualifications within the party. . No matter what Tsai Ing-wen thinks this time, no matter who in the party wants to run for office, Lai Qingde will not give in until his death. But Tsai Ing-wen just doesn't want him to qualify. The one who is optimistic about and is running is Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan. As early as two months ago, Tsai Ing-wen had already firmly grasped the power of nomination in the party's election. The intensity of the battle in the future will probably not be lower than that of the battle between Tsai and Lai.
What's more complicated than last time is that this time it's not just the blue and green parties. The People's Party, which was newly established a few years ago, now also has a certain fighting capacity. Ke Wenzhe, who was waiting to join forces with others a few years ago, this time Whether you succeed or not, you will go on stage to try your skills.
In this way, Hanguo Yu has to go through at least three hurdles. First, when he is still white, how to use the most appropriate reason, the most appropriate way, and the best time to break this pustule so that everyone can recognize that he has participated. The desire to choose and the strength to win? The second is the next most difficult battle, which is the KMT's qualifying pass. How can the three Shangshanhu who occupy favorable terrain allow him to pass smoothly? The third is the competition with the two major forces of Green and White. How can a man who was defeated four years ago not make the same mistakes again?
Hanguo Yu may have to take comprehensive measures.
In this situation, just blowing the whistle is not enough. Hanguo Yu’s new book meeting was like a whistle. He did not forget that his “Korean fans” had already gathered and lined up.
In the current situation, although there are many "Korean fans" and their enthusiasm has not diminished, it is not enough to rely on the existing "Korean fans". Some people have pointed out that his "Korean fans" are mostly elderly and have an uneven age structure. Reasonable.
Han Guoyu will probably have to make use of various factors and skillfully and comprehensively draw on the power of all parties to successfully play his game step by step.
First of all, it is "Korean fans to persuade people to join". Someone has to make his ideas clear, let the society know, and let the public recognize it.
Secondly, the media builds momentum. The media who search for and create news every day must be given something to do, and they must also create and exaggerate their own momentum. For example, he used polls to put him together with the competitors of the three political parties, and used the media to convey public opinion, thus subtly promoting himself into the competition team to participate in the "general election".
Once again, the opponent named him, and he had to let his old opponent the Democratic Progressive Party point out his name to criticize and attack him, thereby forcing the Kuomintang to release him from the cage.
Then, he should exploit his strengths and avoid his weaknesses, fully demonstrate the routines and techniques he has carefully reflected on for more than a year, exploit his strengths in being close to the people, attack his opponents' weaknesses in playing politics, and dodge all kinds of overt and covert attacks from unknown sources.
All of this is thrilling step by step and interconnected. Everything must go smoothly in order to succeed. A little carelessness will completely ruin one's political future.
(pictures come from the Internet, if there is any infringement, they will be deleted if contacted)
I am Gong Geng Niu, as the saying goes, the world is
