's reasons for the rise today, I think there are the following points:
. The China Wine Association has continuously made voices to support liquor, Kweichow Moutai Changyang has raised the index.
news, on October 31, China Liquor Industry Association , , Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye , Yanghe Shares , Luzhou Laojiao , Shanxi Fenjiu , Gujing Gongjiu and Gujing Gongjiu published a signed article "China's Liquor Industry is a fully market-oriented long-term industry" article stated that China's Liquor Industry has always been in a growth channel for steady development, and the long-term industry attributes are very obvious. According to the long-term development theory, looking at Chinese liquor from the historical timeline, growth is a long-term trend, and adjustment is a phased form. It has developed rapidly in the past and is still promising in the future.
2. The airport shipping and scenic spot tourism sectors have risen sharply, indicating that there may be good news in the epidemic, otherwise these two sectors will not rise sharply. The weekend article also said that the reason for the decline of the stock market is the epidemic. If the epidemic is favorable, the stock market will naturally rise.
3. Technically, it is relatively optimistic. Yesterday, many big Vs posted a message saying that the index rarely has five consecutive negatives at the html January line level. It has been four consecutive negatives at the current time. It is highly likely that the monthly line will close in November. Under this optimistic expectation, the market has surged resonance, which is understandable. I have also sorted out the situation of the four consecutive negative markets in history, as follows for your reference.
and December have nothing to worry about for the stock market. Looking at the historical Shanghai Composite Index html February line chart, after four consecutive negative monthly lines, there will basically be rebounds, and there are many times, which is the historical bottom.
Since the Shanghai Composite Index, there have been four consecutive negatives at the monthly level. Let’s take a look:
Shanghai Composite Index, in September 2015, there were four consecutive negatives at the monthly level, and then there was a three-month rebound. As shown in the picture above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in August 2012, there was a four consecutive negative line at the monthly level, followed by a one-month rebound. After another adjustment of 2 months, a long positive line at the monthly level was ushered in. As shown in the picture above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in July 2004, there was a four consecutive negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level rebound. As shown in the picture above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in September 2003, there was a four consecutive negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level negative month-level negative month-long increase, rising for 5 consecutive months. As shown in the picture above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in December 2002, there was a four consecutive negative month-level negative in December 2002, and then it appeared in the next month, with a sharp rise. As shown in the picture above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in October 2001, there was a four consecutive negative month-level negative in October 2001, followed by a month's rebound trend, as shown in the figure above.
Shanghai Composite Index, in December 1999, there was a four consecutive negative month-level negative in December 1999, followed by a 7-month rebound trend, as shown in the figure above.
Shanghai Index, in December 1995, July 1994 and October 1992, there were four consecutive negative trends at the monthly level, and then there were rebounding trends at the monthly level. The red arrow is shown in the picture above.
Summary: Judging from the historical data at the monthly line level, the probability of the index closing positive in November is relatively high. Even if it closes negative in November, then the probability of closing positive in December is 99%. Unless the history is broken again and there will be six consecutive negatives at the monthly level, the probability of this is not very high.