a bull market? Or should we say, a rebound in a bear market? Discussing this issue means nothing to you. Historically, all bull markets and bear markets have come out, and everyone will suddenly become enlightened. The bull markets we often talk about in 2007 and 2015 are all about coming out. As we know later, because the bull market is constantly challenging your human nature, asking you to look at 200, 400, 600, 800 from the bottom, your human nature will tell you, it is higher, it is higher, so the bull market is often a market where everyone will lose half of their money. Then when you are crazy again, rush in, make a small profit, and finally be harvested. In the same way, the bear market is also constantly refreshing your bottom line, falling by 200, 400, 600, 800. You think that every counter move is the bottom, so you buy the bottom halfway up the mountain. In the private equity industry, people who discuss how high the market can rise or fall are called "jokes." Guessing the top and bottom is what analysts do, and that's all there is to gain traffic.
So if you don’t guess it’s a bull market or a bear market, how do you distinguish between them?
First: Will the trend be seen? When the trend reverses, treat it as a bull market. If the trend falls below, it is necessary to control the position of and . It's a simple thing, don't make it so complicated. As for why the reversal occurred, whether the economy has improved, whether the currency has been loosened, and whether the policies have been favorable, you only need to understand it and do not need to study it. Research is a matter for economists and has nothing to do with you. You just need to trade within your own trend.
How to judge the trend?
This is January, and have fallen below the annual line. When I shouted the bear market slogan, I asked everyone to control their positions at 30%. My judgment is very simple. If the center of gravity falls below and the annual line breaks, I will regard it as a bear market. As for why it happened, it has nothing to do with me. I am not an economist. You can check out my January videos, I haven’t deleted any works. Also look at the picture below
. When the market reached No. 6.6, and the heavy volume broke through the second center of gravity of 3220, I called for a reversal, full, buy small when it is small, buy big when it is big. A slogan for moving the center of gravity. That's how I judge it. As for the focus, technology, etc., you can watch my teaching videos and click on the homepage to see the technical explanations. What I want to say is. Since the trend has reversed, you only need to move the center of gravity upward every time, and then formulate your own trading strategy. So how do I formulate my strategy?
Strategy formulation
My strategy is to move the focus. As everyone knows, I have given the focus on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, GEM , Science and Technology Innovation Board .
The focus of the Shanghai Stock Exchange has moved from 3150 at the beginning to 3220 and then to 3250. Then I will move the focus again tomorrow.
GEM focus: From the initial 2450, 2550, 2600 to today's 2660.
Science and Technology Innovation 50:1020-1050, if it does not break, we will resolutely watch the shock and upward trend. Every time I give the center of gravity position, I say, as long as it doesn't fall below, I will resolutely watch the upward trend, buy small when it falls, buy small when it falls, buy when it falls big, buy
, no matter how high it goes, why should I be afraid? The worst thing is that it falls below the center of gravity. I control the position to 30%, and the profit is only withdrawn a little. I never thought about selling to the highest point, and the position is full at the lowest point. I don’t have the ability.
Suppose the bull market comes, what about it? Will you earn more?
First of all: you need to figure it out for yourself, what do you need? What is your personality suitable for? You are not here to gamble, you are here to speculate, or invest. I often say that as long as the market reverses, all sectors can rise, and stocks and stocks can all rise. It’s just a matter of who is in front and who is behind, who is more and who is less. If you don't have the ability to pick out the hot spots for every rotation, just choose a few sectors that suit your personality, buy them, lurk, and wait. Take the current market as an example. Opportunities are everywhere. I just hate that I don’t have enough money!
What are the current market opportunities?
In fact, in the current market, if you are still doing things in a mess, then you should stop and come up with an idea. start again. There are too many opportunities to make money in the market.For example: the abnormal movement of underestimation is obvious, and the intervention of funds is very obvious. Institutions with core assets are expected to form new alliances. The historical bottom of the security (valuation). Science and Technology 50, a historic opportunity. Track growth: semiconductors. Chip, increase the volume. Consumption: wine making, home appliances, etc. There are so many opportunities. If you can't do it right now. You need to find the answer in your heart, what are you pursuing, what can you bear, what do you like?
likes fast: semiconductors , chips, etc. on the right, including the opportunity for new energy to shrink and retreat (large fluctuations)
likes stable: undervalued, core assets, securities. (The current position, let me say, is picking up money)
likes to attack steadily: consumption line
real estate and steel are no problem, but real estate seems to have been abandoned recently, and it will make a comeback.
Many people are asking me: "Why do you hold stocks stupidly, don't do swings, don't sell high and buy low? You can see the support pressure very accurately, why don't you do it?
Ask yourselves?
First, do you have this ability?
Second, if not, then hold stocks honestly! If so, ask yourself how much you have earned in the stock market and why you have not achieved financial freedom through swing trading. ?
In fact, most people do not have the ability to operate in the short- and medium-term band! This ratio is about 95%. If they are really capable, then don't doubt that this person has already achieved wealth and freedom.
So, Let’s hold stocks honestly! Because holding stocks until they rise is the simplest, but also the stupidest way in the stock market. Most people who make money from the stock market cannot do without a “holding stocks honestly”!
Those who teach you swing trading, short-term speculation, selling high and buying low, observe for yourself, they may still be in "996"! If they really have this ability, do they still have time to work for other people?
Someone said, Brother Feng, aren't you working? Private equity is my own, and self-media is my side job. Old fans know that I never make any shady money.
The most important thing. It is never about prediction, but about planning and response.
I ask everywhere, how high it will go, whether it will fall, and whether I can buy it. These are newbie ideas, and no one knows what the future will be like. , they are all guessing, and they may all be wrong.
What determines the final success or failure of investment is not what will happen if you do it right, but what will happen if you do it wrong? Because even if you do it right countless times, as long as you make a big mistake in the end, almost everything will be wrong. All profits will be spit out.
When you look at my plans and ideas, I hope you will pay more attention to what will happen if I go wrong, rather than what will happen if I get it right.
Goodbye everyone: Brother Feng’s lunch comment time is: 11:30, and the number of comments is: 3. :30, Sunday to Thursday at 8pm, Douyin live review. There is only one article number: "Feng Ge Finance" and the others are all scammers
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