In recent years, our domestic birth rate has experienced a serious decline and has basically shown a downward trend. Especially in the past two years, it has fallen below 1%. If this trend continues, the birth rate will be very high in the future. It is possible that the mortality rate will be close to, or even lower than, the population growth rate will be negative.
The most fundamental reason for the decrease in population birth rate is that young people today are not willing to get married and have children. The age of marriage is generally postponed. In the past, people in their 20s basically started a family and started a career, but now people in their 30s can start a family and start a career. There are not too many. It can be said that if this trend continues, more and more people will not get married in the future. Regarding this situation, the author also needs to give you a detailed analysis:
Reason: Marriage is a complex factor. In addition to the attraction between men and women, there are also many factors such as knowledge level, well-matched family, income situation, and the increasingly important factor of house. Except for many young and hot-headed people who have low knowledge level and get married hastily, the higher the knowledge The more rational the person is, the more knowledge tells him or her to analyze, because after marriage, he or she will also have to face it and just think about it beforehand. This kind of behavior of marrying the chicken and following the chicken will not happen among people with high level of knowledge.
With the development of the economy, the house has become more and more important. The mother-in-law checks it because the mother-in-law is a person who knows the importance of the house in future life. Due to the deep-rooted male chauvinism in society, settling the house before marriage is also an important factor in marriage. Parents of any family want their children to have a good family foundation, so it is natural to ask for a bride price for a house. Of course, the bride price is reflected in the poverty. The more developed the city, the less the bride price.
Nowadays, prices are too high and wages are indeed low. To be honest, many ordinary people can only support themselves. If they get married and have children, the expenses are really too much. Even if the wife does not buy cosmetics, what are the living expenses, the money for children's milk powder, diapers, and property fees? Electricity, gas, tolls, parking fees, car loans, and housing loans are all expenses that I can’t afford to pay at 7,000 to 8,000 a month each. I also need to have children who don’t get sick. Getting sick is even more terrible, so I can’t afford it. It’s better for everyone if I don’t get married.
The above is the author’s summary for everyone. The main reason why young people are unwilling to get married, but now we are facing not only the population problem, but also the problem of serious aging. At present, the newborn population has dropped sharply. It can be confirmed that the future population structure will inevitably be imbalanced and the aging population will be serious. The purpose of liberalizing the second child now is to alleviate the problem of population structure imbalance. The consequences of the deep aging of the population are quite serious. If 8 young people support 4 old people now, 16 young people will be needed to support 8 old people in the future. The number of old people will continue to increase, and the burden on the country and society will increase, which is disadvantageous no matter how you look at it.
Therefore, the author still hopes to solve this problem as soon as possible. If possible, we can consider increasing internal circulation jobs. Otherwise, there are already more than 200 million people with flexible employment, and the new population will be a burden. Even if they have been consuming and supplying the market for decades, How can these people provide for their old age and continue living?
In short, in today's era, it is no longer a question of food and clothing, nor a question of well-off society. The most important thing is to solve the problem of population birth rate. Otherwise, we will face serious aging in the future, and this problem will be a problem for our entire society. huge challenge.
