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has not posted a message for a long time. To put it simply:
After the Democratic Progressive Party's defeat in this nine-in-one election, it not only did not review, but on the contrary, the Green Camp has begun the 2024 starting point. This time, it can be seen that the Green Camp continues to use the registration of origin of imported mainland products for political operations. They continue to hold high the so-called "anti-land and protect Taiwan" banner, hoping to replicate the election model in 2020. The Democratic Progressive Party was also defeated in 2018, but because of some things that happened in Hong Kong in 2019, they "looked up a gun", and Tsai Ing-wen finally won 8.17 million votes.
So don’t imagine that the DPP will face reality. They will work hard to 2024 at this pace. What we need to see next is Lai Ching-te’s operation. New trends support Lai Ching-te, a "pragmatic Taiwan independence worker". As the leader of the DPP is expected, for the interests of factions and new trends, Lai Ching-te will most likely continue to continue to be in Tsai Ing-wen’s cross-strait policy and further move towards substantial Taiwan independence.
In Guo Zhengliang's words, the most dangerous moment between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait should be around the so-called "inauguration" in May 2024. The first climax of "anti-China and Taiwan protection" should be in 2024. However, after TSMC went to the United States, the so-called "Silicon Shield" chips have been reduced to the lowest level, and the only chips are what they call "democracy and freedom" (hehe).
In fact, any Taiwanese people are more rational, they should realize that the only chips left in Taiwan at that time were not enough to support them in finding substantial American helpers - Of course, the cognitive disorganization of some people after being brainwashed will make them continue to embrace such fantasies.
After Pelosi jumped into the Taiwan Strait, the United States knew very well that the mainland's "military exercises around Taiwan" targeted anti-interference and regional denial. They could not bear the losses of the aircraft carrier battle group under the coverage of the Dongfeng series of missile firepower, so they withdrew the new military deployment outside the second island chain of . Similarly, Japan was unable to sound the clarion call of what they called "Taiwan has something to do, Japan has something to do." After the implementation of the new round of global layout of in the mainland - diplomacy, finance, energy, etc., Taiwan is truly in trouble unless they want to be the next Ukraine. Although Taiwan is part of China and there are essential differences in Ukraine, they always have this kind of fantasy.
However, the reality is cruel. The Russian-Ukrainian war completely exposed that the so-called "democratic countries" like the United States are completely impatient. In addition, as an island terrain like Taiwan, military aid is just a piece of paper. The mainland is fully capable of completing unified actions in the shortest time and has enough confidence to fight a new "protracted war". This protracted war is to withstand sanctions from certain Western countries, which will be more financial and diplomatic.
just happened. The mainland is already making rapid arrangements and has learned how to deal with it from the Russian-Ukrainian war. For example, the internationalization of the RMB is a means to deal with the SWIFT system. China- Middle East 's new round of diplomatic results are dealing with energy supply that may be blocked in the future, etc....
The author has always believed that in the reality of cross-strait relations, there is little hope for "harmony" and "extremely independent linkage is urgent unity." Based on this, whether it is the "substantive Taiwan independence" of the DPP or the "Chinese independence" of the Kuomintang , we should abandon the so-called "maintaining the status quo." ”, we should not hope for a new cross-strait discourse of any blue camp politician, whether it is the future Hou Youyi , Zhu Lilun, or the intentional competition Zhang Yazhong , Zhao Shaokang, Ke Wenzhe , etc. - In fact, "not only do not unite or force" is a huge cancer of the cause of unification. The mainland should hold the dominance and initiative of cross-strait relations tightly in its hands, and wait until the strategic deployment and tactical response strategy of "unified action" is completed and mature, and achieve unification at the lowest cost.
So far, according to the so-called "polls" on the island, it can be seen that Hou Youyi from the Blue Camp and Lai Qingte from the Green Camp had obviously the highest voice in 2024. Netizens are also very clear about their cross-strait policies. The former is a pragmatic "status-maintaining faction" and the latter is a "pragmatic Taiwan independence worker". Neither of them can play relevant roles in the "promotion of unification". For those who still hold their hopes on the Kuomintang, the author's advice is: wake up.
DPP is still alive in its own fantasy and expecting to continue to gain support from the United States or Japan. This is undoubtedly self-deception and a lack of skills. From the fact that TSMC went to the United States, it can be seen that Taiwan's value of utilization to the United States is declining rapidly, and the DPP still does not know it - or they are also very clear that they are being hollowed out, but facing their American father, they can only whitewash the peace, and even internally say that this will help TSMC's international layout.
In response to this, Guo Zhengliang also admitted that "TSMC's visit to the United States is a weakening of Taiwan's so-called "silicon shield". "The author believes that a hollowed-out Taiwan will completely cut off the idea of the United States risking conflict with another nuclear weapons major powers. The changes in geopolitical are quickly laid out after the completion of unification.
Of course, the author believes that this day will come soon, and it is likely that the unified management work will be completed before 2027
