Since the Russian Surovigin
commanded the operation, Russia's tactics have completely shifted from offense to strategic defense. Russia has two choices at this time. 1. After the renovation, continue to attack Ukraine and capture Odessa or even Kiev until Ukraine is forced to cease war. 2. Taking Dnieper River as the boundary, protect the existing results, wait for the fermentation of Western public opinion through time, reduce or stop aid to Ukraine, and the United States will mediate to achieve the purpose of arbitrage. It seems so. Russia's end of both roads is to cease war as soon as possible. Some people will say that Russia can also return its existing territory and return it to its own borders. This basically won't happen, because domestic pressure in Russia will explode immediately. The situation is now balanced between the main battle and the main harmony. When the battle started, the emperor's support rate could be above 85%. It is not appropriate for the Emperor to not fight. Now when the war is not going well, what is the support rate? I guess no one dares to test it. It is a high probability event that the approval rating is lower than that at the beginning of war. The battle for peace commanded by General Surovijin attacked Ukraine's infrastructure on a large scale 1. The overall economy of Ukraine was completely defeated, and the recovery capacity of industrial and agricultural industries was further reduced.
2. It is necessary to increase the difficulty of Western aid. Purely providing weapons can no longer support it. It must be supported from the most basic level. It is too difficult to care about food, energy, basic industrial reconstruction, etc. After all, Ukraine is not its own national, and Western politicians will not do anything to get rid of their own voters' bowls. 3. Expand the number of war refugees, after all, Ukraine's winter will kill people. A large number of refugees flowed to Europe to the naked eye. If those who stayed behind were greatly reduced, Russia would certainly have the responsibility, but the Ukrainian government, as the national leader, naturally cannot escape the relationship. There will be conflicts and even divisions within.
First of all, I am neither pro-Russia nor pro-Ukraine, but after all, Russia invaded Ukraine. Attacking infrastructure will have the effect of weakening Ukraine and the West in the short term. But don’t forget the scene of Moscow Defense War . The invaders will always overestimate their own strength and underestimate the people’s resilience of the invaded countries. Time may help Russia, and time is more likely to destroy Russia. Of course, Ukraine was already in ruins at that time. When Russia went to a referendum on occupation, it had already lost much support from the world. There were not many disputed areas in that country, and it was impossible for Russia to do this.
I just hope that the people will not suffer.
