This international comment, Uncle Mu will analyze the progress of the Russian-Ukrainian war.
Entering November, winter has arrived. In fact, for the Ukrainian battlefield, winter has come a long time ago, but it has not yet entered the coldest stage. The winter is approaching in the next few months, and it will be the most challenging time for the Russian-Ukraine war, which is basically the case for both Ukraine and Russia.
In fact, objectively speaking, the image of Russians and Ukrainians digging snow trenches and repelling invaders has a long history. Napoleon and Hitler both experienced the power of this winter battle when they attacked them.
Because snow water will make the hard land muddy, which can slow down military movements. At the same time, snowfall will also make the advance troops less hidden, which is also troublesome to avoid being discovered by the enemy. Hitler and Napoleon knew this, and Russia and Ukraine are also very clear about it now.
This is why both sides are now competing to significantly improve their military positions before the weather further deteriorates into winter in mid-November.
For example, in the southern Khlsong area, although the Russian army retreated, a more intense battle may occur in the future.
Because this is the four largest cities claimed by Russia that have entered the Russian referendum area, it can be regarded as the "capitals" of these areas. Just the Russian army retreated and did not come back to fight back? This is unlikely.
In some ways, bad winter weather will help Russia.
Ice and snow may even be more likely to slow down the Ukrainian army's counterattack than Russian commanders on the battlefield. Because in winter, the Ukrainian army needs more fuel to help the army. And if the momentum slows down or the attack is temporarily stopped, Russia will be given more time to prepare for the fierce battle to come.
So, for Russia, they must race against time to create more attacks to restrict Ukraine's counter-offensive momentum.
For example, we will see that in early winter, Russia attacks Ukrainian infrastructure more, which will make it more difficult for Ukrainian troops to provide some supply support for the war, and Ukrainian companies may also be more difficult for Ukrainian companies to maintain Ukrainian economic operation, and even Ukrainian people will find it more difficult for them to obtain energy for heating.
But winter is not useless to Ukraine.
Because everyone knows that the arrival of winter will bring risks to Ukraine's military operations, the West will also increase its support and replenishment efforts for Ukraine.
Recently we have seen many countries that have been hesitant about Ukraine's weapons before, and have also increased their support. At the same time, the West will also provide Ukrainian soldiers with better winter uniforms and other necessary protective equipment, which should be more helpful for their winter combat than the Russian army.
In addition, the cold winter will expose more problems in Russia's hasty mobilization. Many people are sent to the frontlines of the snow without much equipment and experience, which may cause greater morale problems.
Winter is also an important season for Ukrainian supporters.
Because European and American people may feel higher inflation and more energy shortages, this will test their willpower, that is, will winter shake the continued support of these countries and people for Ukraine? This is a question.
The Russians obviously want this to happen, so they are waiting for the result.
However, in the 8 months of war, Russia has proved that it can cause fatal damage, but it also proved that they cannot conquer Ukraine. The Ukrainians proved that they would not surrender and could also regain lost land.
This means that this winter will not be too long and the war may be suspended in winter, but new battles will certainly start in the spring of 2023.
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