Surovikin is indeed cunning and has made a big fuss. How much does Russia hope to defend Helsson ?
The former commander of the Russian army, General Lai Pin, lost Kharkov and bonus man , and suffered heavy losses. Later, Putin invited the former Air Force Commander General Surovijin to serve as the commander-in-chief of the front line, and the situation changed immediately. In addition to focusing on air strikes, infrastructure was built and power outages were caused by Ukraine, a large army was also organized to withdraw civilians from Khlsson in advance, and Khlsson turned into an empty city. Is this a modern version of empty city scheme ? The Ukrainian army now also suspects that although they have gathered tens of thousands of troops, they dare not attack. So in Kherson, the whole further fate of the special operation will be decided.
Ukraine's entire fate of further action will be decided in the south. Indeed, in the ninth month after the war began, the question was not when the Russian army occupied Odessa and cut off the land corridor leading to the Transnistria , but whether the Russian army could at least defend Khlsson.
Khlsson, located on the right bank, is the portal to liberate Nikolayev , Krivrih, Odessa, Nikopol, Zaporoze and Dnepropetrovsk . If Russia can capture the entire southern Ukraine, if not completely defeating Zelensky , it will be at least half of the victory, which is a strategically significant result.
If Russia takes the south and makes Ukraine surrender, it will weaken its ability to conflict with Russia for a long time armed conflict with Russia and reduce its attractiveness to joining the NATO group. And solve the problem of territorial isolation along the Transnistria.
This is at stake, so Russia must not lose Khlsson. Now Commander-in-Chief Surovikin also directly admits that Khlsson is now The fact that “the most difficult” came. Then one unsettling news after another. The Khlsong area began to evacuate civilians to the left bank part of the Khlsong area. After Surovigin delivered a speech, the Russian army immediately began to voluntarily evacuate the population to the left bank from Khlsong and promised to relocate and obtain a housing certificate.
According to media reports, the Russian army is hastily setting up three lines of defense. The first one is in front of Khlsong on the right bank of the Dnieper River , and the second one is - Already on the left bank of the Dnieper River, the third one - Close to Crimea . After Kupiansk, Ijium and dividends were lost one after another, all this seemed very, very unpleasant. The only gratifying thing is that Russia finally organized the withdrawal of people in advance considering the safety of civilians after the Russian army withdraws.
But why is it so hasty?
As the main reason, the Ukrainian armed forces may explode Kahovka Dam, after which powerful floods will flood the left bank of the Khlsong region along the Dnieper River, Russian troops can use it to carry out missile and artillery strikes on the Ukrainian armed forces on the right bank. Once flooding, it is almost impossible to provide supplies to the Russian troops in Khlsong.
It turns out that Khlsong suddenly changed from a quiet and peaceful rear to the second Stalingrad in the ninth month after the war. Meanwhile, Despite the difficulties in defense, it is impossible to surrender. Otherwise, Russia will lose its only bridgehead on the right bank and lose the opportunity to liberate Nikolayev, Odessa, Zaporoze and Dnepropetrovsk, and this incident will have many negative consequences afterwards.
First of all, this will be a serious image failure, and no "good-intentioned gesture" cannot be concealed. Khlsong is now a Russian city legally and its surrender to the Ukrainian armed forces will be Putin's personal failure.
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Secondly, it is precisely for the above reasons that the city still has to be liberated in some way. But how to do it? Crossing the Dnieper River, charging from the low-lying left bank to the higher right bank, such an action will cost the Russian army the sea of blood without guaranteed success.
3rd, if Khlsong surrenders, Russia loses the last bridgehead on the right bank, and a new front line will appear along the Dnieper River, which is beneficial to Ukraine.Then put more pressure on the Russian army in the Donbas and Azov areas.
So, this situation should not be allowed at all. Khlsong is indeed a new Stalingrad.
Surovikin's cunning plan?
All the above are well known in the General Staff of the Russian Federation Armed Forces, the Commander-in-Chief of the Battlefield Commander Surovikin, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the Pentagon . This is why some Bo believes that the Russian army is making empty plans and deliberately put Ukrainian The Crane Armed Forces lured Khlsson to defeat them there. And the United States, which has extensive network of agents and satellite intelligence data in the Khlsson area, undoubtedly knows the possible plans.
Of course, whether to attack Khlsson is a major decision:
is the first political decision, when Ukraine will be asked to win again to support Biden's re-election, Biden invests in Billions of dollars of US taxpayer funds. They will order the Ukrainian armed forces to rush forward even if there are traps ahead.
Secondly, in order for the attack on Khlsun to be a suicide adventure, the Ukrainian armed forces must first meet a basic condition. They need to destroy the dam of the Kahovka reservoir and isolate the Russian garrison on the right bank. However, with ordinary bombs or Himas is actually not powerful enough, and this can be done in three ways: using tactical nuclear weapon , or sending a Brand ship filled with dozens of tons of explosives to the dam.
In other words, the key to the right bank is to ensure the safety of the Kahovka Hydropower Station, which should have layered defense systems coverage both in the air and above. Although these systems still exist, Russia still has hope of defending Khlsson.
