The pro-green "Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation" released the latest party identification poll today. About 31% of the people identify with the Democratic Progressive Party and 32% identify with the Kuomintang. Compared with three months ago, the blue-green fundamentals have changed dramatically. Those who identify with the Democratic Progressive Party have dropped by 10.7 percentage points. When converted into population, this is equivalent to a loss of 2.07 million people who identify with the party. This is also the second largest collapse since Taiwan leader Tsai Ing-wen took office, and has returned to the level of the "opposition" period 10 years ago.
Regarding this poll, former "legislator" Guo Zhengliang analyzed in a political commentary program today that the large loss of votes in the green camp is due to "Executive President" Su Zhenchang. KMT candidate Wang Hongwei wants to win the "legislator" seat in Taipei City's third district. The key to winning the election is to pray that "Ku Kui" will not be replaced before January 8 next year.
Guo Zhengliang pointed out that Su Zhenchang not only had policy problems, he also showed arrogance in the "Legislative Yuan". "If Su Zhenchang continues to 'form a cabinet,' the DPP will be doomed in 2024." DPP Chiayi mayor candidate Li Junyi was defeated like a landslide, and Wu Yinong will definitely be even worse. He said that the list of "cabinet" reshuffles will be determined around the Chinese New Year. Su Zhenchang now seems determined to be re-elected, and there is no way he will be re-elected in half a year.
Regarding Wang Hongwei’s campaign strategy, Guo Zhengliang believes that there are two cards played very well. One is to bind with Jiang Wanan, and the election campaign gives the outside world the impression that "Mayor Chiang will not be lame as soon as he takes office"; the other is to force Su Zhenchang to step down, and the blue camp people Wang Hongwei is regarded as the biggest contributor to 's "nine-in-one" election. Obviously, he has done everything right, such as essays and plagiarism. If Su Zhenchang is attacked, the people in the green camp will feel that the DPP has really done something wrong. This will definitely seriously affect Wu Yinong's election.
Previously, according to Taiwan media reports, the green camp suffered a disastrous defeat in the "nine-in-one" election and Su Tseng-chang "fakely resigned". DPP Taipei City Councilor Wang Shijian repeatedly called for Su Tseng-chang to step down. Wang Shijian insists that Taiwan's administrative management team, headed by Su Tseng-chang, is bureaucratic from top to bottom and does not take public opinion into consideration. When responding to inquiries from the people, they often have an arrogant attitude. They really "win with eloquence but lose the hearts of the people." The latest poll by
shows that 53.2% of the people surveyed on the island agree that Su Zhenchang should step down, and 25% of them strongly agree. (Comprehensive reports from China Jingwei.com, Xiamen Radio and Television, etc.)
