In this international comment, Uncle Mu analyzed a poll on Ukraine's post-war reconstruction.
In order to understand the mentality of the Ukrainian people during the war, the International Institute of Kiev often holds polls. Since many areas of Ukraine are under occupation, the polling areas are basically conducted online and on the phone in areas that are not currently controlled by Russia.
For example, Uncle Mu learned that a latest poll was conducted at the end of November and was announced to the public on December 13. The poll error margin is .031 and the confidence interval is 0.95.
This poll shows the latest Ukrainians’ views on the war process and their attitudes toward future post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. Overall, new polls found that Ukrainians are more optimistic about the future and how to rebuild the country than they did in the past. This seems to be complementary to the situation on the Ukrainian military battlefield better than before.
Mu Mu said a few data for everyone to analyze:
1) Different attitudes towards when to reconstruct.
In response to the time issue of post-war reconstruction, 52% of Ukrainians surveyed believe that reconstruction can only begin after Russia stops hostilities, because there is still a lot of work to be done. And 44% said the reconstruction should start “as soon as possible”. This means that it can start from some places that were damaged by war but are unlikely to be hit by the Russian army again.
2) What should be built first when rebuilding?
In the poll, most Ukrainians have a clear understanding of the highest priority targets for post-war reconstruction. For example, choosing "communications and energy infrastructure" accounts for an average of 65% of the first responses in all regions of Ukraine, while another 24% listed it as the second most important priority.
17% of respondents believe that "private houses" are the second most important priority after rebuilding "communication and energy infrastructure."
3) It is important for foreign countries to participate in post-war reconstruction.
When the interviewer asked more in-depth whether the UK, the United States, Germany, France, Turkey, and China joining the reconstruction process would be a positive factor, most of the respondents agreed with this.
Overall, about 30% of respondents believe that foreign countries should "directly participate in the reconstruction process"; about 13% of Ukrainians believe that they can fund Ukrainian companies to carry out reconstruction work freely; about 55% of respondents believe that it is best for foreign companies to "provide funds and supervise Ukrainian companies."
4) Ukrainians believe in Westerners more.
When asked about the respondents’ opinions on these different countries involved in the reconstruction of Ukraine, the responses received in the polls were mixed.
90% of respondents believe that the participation in the UK is positive, and 7% are neutral about this view; the number in the United States is 87% versus 10%; the number in Germany is 85% versus 13%; the attitude towards Turkey is 81% versus 15%; the attitude towards Turkey is 67% versus 22%.
Europe and the United States have received recognition and support from more than 80% of the Ukrainian people, which shows that the Ukrainians are very clear about who helped them the most in the war.
Uncle Mu noticed that Ukrainian respondents generally supported China's participation, at 45%. Another 26% of people are neutral about this view.
5) supports continuing the war.
According to the poll results, all parts of Ukraine are increasingly eager to continue fighting.
In March 2022, 74% believed that Ukraine should continue the war until all its territory was liberated. In new polls, that number has risen to 85%. Only 9% of people are willing to accept the loss of Crimea and Donbass .
6) More Ukrainians hope to have nuclear weapons again.
In the 2012 poll, 27% of Ukrainians supported the return of nuclear weapons to Ukraine, and 56% opposed this move.
According to new polls, 53% support Ukraine to re-arm itself with nuclear weapons, and 43% of respondents disagree.
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