Ancient saying says: "There are repeated again and again, but no recurrences", which profoundly illustrates the profound philosophy that the same mistake cannot be lost again and again. In fact, because of the loss, it is not easy to remember many problems, let alone "repeat" and "repeat".
However, in the Indian dictionary, there is never the concept of "learning one's mistakes and wisdom", such as weapon procurement. Even though he knows that Russia is trying to cheat himself, he still jumps in without hesitation, and at the end he has to say that he is brotherly and righteous. It can be said that "repeated and repeated" is not the end point for India, but the beginning point.
So, it is no surprise that India is embarrassed and passive on the Afghanistan issue. The grudge between India and the Taliban is the fundamental reason why India loses its way on the Afghan issue again and again.
Why are India and the Taliban in the same situation? Jing Yeshi thinks this is a long-term question.
Episode 1979 On December 24, 1979, just as Western countries were immersed in the joy of Christmas , the Soviet Union's 100,000 troops suddenly launched a fierce attack on Afghanistan, and the Afghan War that shocked the world broke out.
The Soviet Union's massive invasion aroused strong response in the international community. Western countries led by the United States rose up and condemned the Soviet Union fiercely. Under the influence of the United States, anti-Soviet voices came one after another. Then they united around superpowers with the United States as the core, forming the broadest "democratic" united front against the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union's international environment was unprecedentedly passive.
However, just when the Soviet Union was betrayal, India did the opposite and gave clear support to the Soviet Union.
This is undoubtedly an incredible operation. You should know that since India established its own business in 1947, because it is favored by the two superpowers of the United States and the Soviet Union, India has long been well aware of the way to get along with the others and has gained a lot of benefits from such flash propaganda.
Under such circumstances, although India follows the United States and condemns the United States, it is understandable that it will follow the crowd and not be beaten. But according to historical experience, the most suitable choice is undoubtedly impartial neutrality.
However, India did the opposite and repeatedly said, "I am the same as the Soviet Union, I support me if I do what the Soviet Union does."
Although Indian scholars have repeatedly stated that India supports the Soviet Union but just dislikes the "side" of China, the United States and other countries' rise and fall against the Soviet Union, everyone on earth knows that India supports the Soviet Union, on the one hand, is to repay the Soviet Union's two-way attacks during the Sino-Indian War and the Third India-Pakistan War; on the other hand, it is trying to detour Afghanistan, encircling China and Pakistan respectively.
However, India's pro-Soviet sidelines, which "only state officials are allowed to set fires, and people are not allowed to light the lights", not only makes one's face hurt, but also makes India suffer heavy losses. Because this move not only makes India the target of the international community, but also makes the people of India and Afghanistan irreconcilable.
And the Taliban rose to the anti-Soviet armed forces formed by the Afghan people.
Although the Amin regime was soon destroyed by the Soviet army after the outbreak of the Afghan War, the Afghan people who had no leader quickly formed an anti-Soviet force with the same hatred of the enemy, and the Soviet army quickly fell into the ocean of the Afghan people's war.
Under the fierce resistance of the Afghan people and the widespread condemnation of the international community, and because of the crazy blood loss in the Sino-Vietnam War, the Soviet Union had to withdraw its troops in a mess in 1989 and collapsed in 1991.
Due to the withdrawal and destruction of the Soviet Union, India's influence in Afghanistan had to be cleared overnight, and its ten-year operation was basically destroyed. Faced with this situation of crying but not crying, India should have summarized the lessons and learned from the pain. After all, Russia could no longer count on it after the collapse of . If India still wants to use Afghanistan to surround China and Pakistan and completely reverse the passive situation of "double-sided printing", it must adjust its blind side problems.
In response to this, India, which has "reversed the past", has creatively proposed the policy of "keeping pace with the times and following the United States" after a long period of thought.
After the withdrawal of the Soviet Union, Afghanistan, which had a power vacuum, quickly broke out in a smoky civil war. The United States saw the historical opportunity to fish in troubled waters, so it kept supporting Hikmathyar to fight against Masud, Rabani and Village Stam, supported by the Soviet Union and Iran. But the problem is that Hickmathial's combat effectiveness is really poor, so the United States had to hire another clever, and the Taliban was chosen by the United States.
Because of its rich experience in the fight against the Soviet Union, and the United States wants money to pay, it is a great addition to the gun. Taliban founder Mullah Mohammed Omar started with 30 teachers and students and 16 guns in 1992. It entered the capital Kabul in just 4 years, established the "Islamic Emirates of Afghanistan", and completed the "entrepreneurship" process that shocked the world.
Because the Taliban was born into the Afghan people and had a close relationship with the United States, although the relationship between the United States and India after the collapse of the Soviet Union was "in close contact", it was difficult to return to Afghanistan. After all, even if India can turn a war with the Taliban into pleasing, the Taliban and his arch-rival Pakistan were enough to make India crazy.
so, after the Taliban came to power, India refused to admit it and formed an alliance with the Taliban's nemesis, Northern Alliance , providing a large number of weapons and equipment to support them and the Taliban.
"Fortunately," the Taliban "is easy to fight, but difficult to sit in the country." Due to his low cultural quality, not only failed to lead Afghanistan to be reborn, but instead left the Afghan family alone. In addition, due to poverty, Afghanistan attracted a large number of terrorists to gather; because of lack of money, the Taliban even planted opium poppy on a large scale, and Afghanistan became synonymous with poverty, war and terrorism.
The 2001 "911" incident completely broke up the relationship between the Taliban and the United States. With the "honeymoon period" between the United States and the Taliban, India has seen another opportunity to follow the United States and return to Afghanistan.
So after the United States launched a massive invasion of Afghanistan in the name of counter-terrorism in 2001, India responded positively as soon as possible. In addition to continuing to maintain close contacts with the Northern Alliance and following the United States to encircle the Taliban, India also characterized the Afghan Taliban as " terrorist organization ", labeling it as "universal".
India's succession deeply moved the vicious United States. So after the US military overthrew the Taliban regime, it quickly opened the door to other countries, especially India, and Indian capital also poured into Afghanistan. With the support of the Afghan puppet regime supported by the United States, India has blossomed in full swing in Afghanistan, and "Made in India" has been left all over the country.
Although India's investment cannot keep up with the United States' investment compared to the same military expenditure as the United States, years of persistence have made India the largest foreign aid country in Afghanistan.
After Modi came to power in 2014, the cooperation between India and the Afghan government has continued to reach new levels. In addition to economic investment in the general sense, India has even provided offensive weapons such as armed helicopter to the Afghan army, which has enhanced the strength of the Afghan puppet government to a certain extent.
But the problem is that although the United States' blow was fierce, it was impossible to eradicate the roots like the Soviet Union. The mountainous terrain made Afghanistan a maze for all invaders such as the United States. Because modern weapons were unable to play a role, although the Taliban was driven out of Kabul, they quickly occupied the countryside and formed a situation of "surrounding the city in the countryside".
And because the United States invaded Iraq in 2003, it gave the Taliban a rare respite. In addition, the Taliban, which is keeping pace with the times, began to win the hearts of the people again, so the war situation in Afghanistan reversed again.
When the aggression war becomes a public security war and is a public security war with heavy losses and insufficient income, the United States finally "wanted" after 20 years and withdrew its troops on September 11, 2021.
So, just like after the Soviet army left 32 years ago, when the US military withdrew in a panic and the Taliban regained power, he kept asking India to get out together, and immediately!
India is stupid. You should know that personnel can be evacuated and equipment can be disassembled, but how to package built buildings and dams? Isn’t this obviously a wedding dress for the Taliban?
So, after losing more than nearly $4 billion in investment, the dirt-ridden India can no longer be rational. Although I don’t know when the Taliban regime will be driven away again, India has made up its mind to overcome all difficulties and make friends with the Taliban regime.
But yesterday you ignored me, today I made you unable to stand up, India and the Taliban have no room for any turnaround.
Although Churchill has long said, "There are no eternal friends, no eternal enemies, only eternal interests", India's ambitions in Afghanistan are basically the same. Although it has defected to different major powers, the anti-Afghan people's hearts are deeply rooted, so the Taliban and such countries will not have any feelings at all.
Moreover, even if there is feelings, India cannot give the Taliban the capital needed.
The Taliban believes that for Afghanistan, which is in trouble, the most important thing is money. But money can solve the problem of food and clothing, but it is impossible for Afghanistan to get rid of the entanglement of terrorism and war. Therefore, only by integrating Afghanistan into the surrounding and even the world can we truly change the fate of Afghanistan.
Under such circumstances, India can only provide 20 projects that have been shut down, but China can join forces with Pakistan to extend the " China-Pakistan Economic Corridor " to Afghanistan, and even bring Afghanistan into the "Belt and Road" initiative.
For Afghanistan, any huge promise or plan cannot be separated from the economic strength behind the country, and it is obvious that India does not have the possibility of competing with us on the same stage.
And what makes India even more embarrassing is that compared to Pakistan between India and Afghanistan, there is an Wakhan Corridor mountains and rivers between China and Afghanistan. It can be said that Afghanistan is more likely to take the express express train of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and a better future.
Under such circumstances, on the one hand, the Taliban does not have a strong desire to improve relations with India, and India is destined to be wishful thinking if it wants to return to Afghanistan; on the other hand, India wants to return to Afghanistan, but once again misjudged the situation and tried its best to avoid or even exclude the Chinese and Pakistani forces. This not only made the Taliban disgusted, but also made India humiliate itself.
To sum up, due to the lack of ability to affect Afghanistan alone, India has basically followed the great powers for decades, and its interests in Afghanistan can only be continuously cleared as the great powers come and go. Because it has always been "bad intentions" towards Afghanistan, especially its inability to recognize its identity and status, it is destined that even if India has the opportunity to affect the situation in Afghanistan alone, it is destined to be completely ruined by its stupid mentality.
Therefore, India's passiveness on the Afghan issue is by no means accidental, and this is the inevitable result of a series of stupid operations in India.
has many omissions, please correct me.
I am Jingyeshi, and I look forward to your attention.
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