has exposed different voices within Japan about its plan to follow the US to launch semiconductor sanctions on China. Recently, the Japan Times website published an article titled "Following the United States to impose chip export restrictions on China will hit the Japanese industry hard." The article believes that although the Japanese government has not yet stated its position, it is undeniable that if it stands with Washington , the Japanese chip industry will be damaged. Considering Japan's advantages in the global chip industry, these companies will be severely impacted. Given the possible chain reaction, the impact will also affect the stability of Japanese economy to a certain extent.
▲The "Four-Square Chip Alliance" formed by the United States has responded much faster to the possible consequences of the possible consequences. Not only have many companies lowered their sales expectations, such as Tokyo Electronics, a chip equipment company, but also chip-related manufacturers have maintained caution in their trade cooperation with China. The Japanese government is well aware of these changes, but even so, there is still a high probability that it will continue to follow the United States and launch a containment of China. On the surface, this behavior of ruining one's own interests is full of confusion, but he doesn't know that the Japanese side is not losing money.
- loses money, but earns a lot of money
On the surface, the sanctions on China's semiconductors seriously affect the income of Japanese companies, but compared with revenue, Japan has realized its own ambitions. Japan's cooperation with the United States, and even obeys the rules, is the core of hope that it can be lifted and the military expansion will be achieved. This military expansion of
has long become an indisputable fact. Especially in 2015, under the promotion of then Prime Minister Shinzo Abe , he first passed a resolution to understand the right to ban collective self-defense in Japanese cabinet . Then, despite the strong opposition of the people, he voted to pass a series of security bills matching the right to ban collective self-defense at the plenary meeting of the House of Representatives, which caused a significant change in Japan's post-war defense policy.
▲Shizo Abe repeatedly promoted the constitutional amendment process during his tenure
However, although the transformation was large, it still did not meet the expected goals. Since then, the cabinets have shown that 's amendment to the Constitution of the National People's Republic of Japan, especially the completion of Article 9 of the Constitution, is the ultimate goal. The amendment to Article 9 not only allows Japan to reasonably and legally possess land, sea, air and other military forces, but also allows Japan to justify its identity as a defeated country in World War II and become a country in full significance. However, under the premise that Japan has never faced history, this change is a great challenge to the order after the war, and it is difficult to be both emotional and reasonable.
The most effective way to break through this resistance at this time is to make the United States default or even condone the Japanese government's actions. On the one hand, although the United States ended its full occupation of Japan based on the San Francisco Peace Treaty with Japan in 1951, the United States still firmly controls Japan in its own hands, which means that it is crucial for the United States to make military expansion.
On the other hand, although Japan is undeniable from the field of science and technology, it is still difficult to achieve military expansion in the short term after the ban is lifted. If the United States can provide help, it will naturally achieve twice the result with half the effort. According to " Yomiuri Shimbun ", during the previous Japan-US summit, Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio has requested US President Biden to purchase the "Tomahawk" missile , and both sides have confirmed that they will continue to advance the negotiation process.
▲"Yomiuri Shimbun" related reports
According to the Japanese Ministry of Defense plan, will purchase about 500 " Tomahawk " in the 2027 fiscal year. Once the agreement is reached, it will have cruise missiles with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers or even 2,000 kilometers by 2030. This is much more reliable than relying on itself to upgrade the Type 12 anti-ship missile. In addition, the reason why Japan will improve and upgrade the " Izumo " to a quasi- aircraft carrier is the core of the F-35B carrier-based fighter jet provided by the US.Just imagine, without Japan's obedience and cooperation, would the United States approve these very meaningful arms sales? From this point of view, although Japan lost money in this kind of cooperation, it made a lot of profits.
. Containing China is also a Japanese strategy that requires
to cooperate with the United States to benefit, and they will naturally gain benefits, but don’t forget that also has the need to contain China based on Japan’s own interests, and this need will only be stronger than that of the United States. First of all, although Japan is almost vague about the numerous crimes committed by Japan against China during World War II, it is clear in its heart. It is because of this that it is afraid that China's rise will liquidate it in a certain period of time in the future. Therefore, it will limit China as much as possible and curb China's influence in the region, in order to delay time and delay the occurrence of such liquidation.
▲The current Japanese ambition has not decreased at all
If the gap between China and Japan's military power twenty years ago would not make Japan worry, then the comprehensive rise of China's military power in the past decade has made Japan completely powerless to stop it. The result of confronting China with its own strength is tantamount to hitting a stone with an egg. At this time, from a strategic perspective, Japan must choose not only to tie the United States, but also contain China at the strategic level.
In addition, Although Japan is a mere island country, it has an ambition that cannot be concealed. Its ambition is no less than the so-called "Greater East Asia Prosperity" proposed during the invasion of China. However, if this ambition is implemented and realized in the Asian region, it will inevitably face competition and confrontation with China, and containment of China is also the inevitable result of achieving its own strategic goals and strategic ambitions.
In summary, Japan may suffer a loss in the economic calculations, but from the national strategic level, it is a stable profit and no loss. This means that for a long time in the future, Japan will still actively cooperate with all the strategies adopted by the United States to contain China. For us, the only way to eliminate all fantasies about Japan and recognize reality is to the core.
