The storm is changing. Under the catalysis of war, the contradictions between many countries are becoming more and more acute. The world is changing almost every day, and some changes will have a significant impact on the current situation. This week, there are three major events worth paying attention to, two of which are related to Russia.
The first thing, the referendum between Donetsk , Lugansk , Zaporoze , and Khlsson came to an end, and they all agreed to join Russia with high approval ratings, among which Donetsk's approval rating was as high as 99.23%. It means that from Russia's perspective, these four places have been included in Russia's territory. And this result is definitely unacceptable to Ukraine and the United States and the West. The Ukrainian army is likely to increase its counterattack with the support of the United States.
Then the Russian army will definitely launch a more fierce offensive to fight back, because this is already "Russian territory". Besides, Putin has the first words, and will deploy nuclear weapon here to ensure security, which is enough to show the importance attached to these four places. At the same time, how those European countries that have been aiding the Ukrainian army will choose when facing Putin's determination is also an important factor affecting the battlefield. It can be foreseeable that the future war situation will definitely be more tragic, and the conflict between the two sides will inevitably be more acute.
The second thing is that the natural gas pipelines of "Beixi No. 1" and "Beixi No. 2" were damaged and leaked. There are many different opinions on who is the real culprit behind this matter, but most of them think that , Poland, or the United States is more likely. But no matter who did it, this incident has already happened, causing huge panic to Europe. Germany, , Denmark, and other countries responded immediately.
Because the focus of the energy dispute between Europe and Russia is these two pipelines. The two sides have been playing back and forth for more than half a year, but in one explosion, it was all over. Originally, many European countries were thinking of finally getting winter natural gas from Russia, but now their hopes are obviously shattered, at least this winter will be difficult to bear. For Russia, there are fewer bargaining chips for European countries, and there may be two situations in the future.
First of all, European countries will give up. Since there is no hope of obtaining natural gas from Russia, it is better to directly increase sanctions. The Russian oil price limit that was originally planned to be postponed has also accelerated to be put on the agenda. Then the situation in Europe will be even more chaotic, and there will be no real winners in the end of the game between all parties. The second possibility is that natural gas energy cannot be obtained, so increase the purchase of other energy sources. Perhaps in the end, sanctions on Russia will be slightly relaxed to ensure a stable winter.
The third thing is that Saudi king reorganized the cabinet, with the crown prince Mohammed serving as the new prime minister. Previously, the position was usually held by the king himself. Mohammed was the first prime minister to serve as a result of the reorganization of the current king, which means that this position change was unusual. Moreover, Mohammed is the promoter of reform and has made a lot of reforms to the national economic structure and social ideology since 2017. Obviously, Saudi Arabia may usher in a not-easy period in the future. One mistake may bring unpredictable consequences.
It is worth mentioning that both the United States and Germany visited Saudi Arabia and visited the crown prince for "seeking oil", but from the final result, they almost all returned empty-handed. At the same time, they mentioned the "Saudi reporter Khashoggi murder case" that Saudi Arabia would talk about. In the eyes of the West, the real murderer behind it is Crown Prince Mohammed. Now that the crown prince has become the head of the government, I don’t know what the United States and the West will think.
The current world is changing at an unimaginable speed, and many contradictions are on the table. Many countries take the initiative or are forced to fall into confrontation. Of course, some countries take the opportunity to "seek benefits" for themselves. But in general, a world with frequent wars is not conducive to the development of any country, and more and more unimaginable accidents are happening, disrupting the original plan. For Europe, the most difficult but best ending is that Russia and Ukraine can sit down and have a good talk. (Fish)
