text | Liu Lanchang
The overall situation is changing rapidly over the past century. "Turn east" is Russia's new strategic choice. It can be said that this is the choice Putin was forced to make, and it is also the choice Biden forced Russia to make. China occupies a strategic high ground in the "China-US-Russia triangle" that determines the destiny of the world. Kissinger, the American strategic master, recently described three prospects for the war between Russia and Ukraine. In fact, he is very clear that Russia controls one-fifth of the land in eastern Ukraine that originally belonged to Russia. This is an unchangeable fact. But, being an American, he was reluctant. He understands that Biden did something stupid when the United States failed to win over Russia and instead forced Putin to decisively "turn east." However, Biden is still doing stupid things. In order to compete with China's One Belt, One Road, he has to print money even if he has no money. However, was also forced to shrink from the investment of 40 trillion US dollars in Haikou to 600 billion. However, G7 participants all know that this is " and ".
usually said that Biden is also facing the critical moment of adjusting his policy towards China. From Biden's own standpoint, his best interest is to lead the Democratic Party to win the mid-term elections at the end of the year, so that he will not be "lame" and have hope for re-election. In fact, he has already called out the slogan of running for re-election, so his policy must be centered around this goal. In this regard, lowering tariffs on China and improving bilateral relations are the best policies. However, the Republican Party and Trump will naturally not spare him and will criticize him for surrendering to the CCP. Therefore, the old Biden hesitated and staggered over such trivial matters as lowering tariffs.
At the G7 Summit, the "Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment" (PGII) was launched, which is expected to raise US$600 billion in private and public funds within five years to provide developing countries with the infrastructure they need to build infrastructure. Among them, the United States A share of US$200 billion will be subscribed, and the remaining US$400 billion will be divided among other G7 countries. Anyone with a discerning eye will know it is " Marshall Plan " at a glance.
In fact, many people have forgotten that at last year's G7, Biden proposed the "Build Back a Better World" (B3W) plan to raise US$40 trillion by 2035 to meet the huge foundation of low- and middle-income countries. Facility needs. is the "Marshall" of "Marshall". However, American media say that PGII is more pragmatic than B3W and more effective in fighting the Belt and Road Initiative.
The whole world knows that the current debt of the United States is as high as 30 trillion US dollars, far exceeding the GDP of the United States last year of 323 trillion US dollars. The debt of the United States is destined to be a "coffin debt." It cannot be repaid even if the American building collapses. Therefore, Biden’s three musketeers Blinken, Sullivan and Campbell helped him change his name to PGII to prove that he is still fighting against the Belt and Road Initiative and is still anti-China. However, Italy, France, Germany, Japan and the UK are all beneficiary countries of the Belt and Road Initiative. They support Biden on the surface but call him an old fool in their hearts.
It is worth mentioning that B3W proposed an astronomical figure of US$40 trillion last year. Even the Democratic Party friends who are supposed to escort President Biden’s policies are not willing to endorse . Last December, when the nearly US$2 trillion social welfare expenditure and climate change response bill, one of the core of the B3W plan, was voted on, Democratic Senator Joe Manchin voted against it, causing B3W to encounter Waterloo in the United States.
In fact, like B3W, the new "Global Infrastructure and Investment Partnership" also lacks details. What is important is that the source of funds is actually full of empty talk. The American media believes that the United States will or will not pay.
Looking at the other side of the earth, Russia is stepping up its "turn to the East." June 27, Heihe After the opening of the Heilongjiang Bridge to Russia, Russian experts said that it would not only improve efficiency in cooperation with China, but would also be important to the Russian Federation’s “pivot to the East” plan due to Western sanctions. significance. The Russian website hh.ru reported that there were 50,097 resumes from Chinese-speaking job seekers on the portal in May. Yet most of them are translators and educators. Russian universities are expanding Chinese language teaching programs. Currently, more than 200 universities teach Chinese.
In the four months since the beginning of the year, Russia-China trade increased by nearly 26% year-on-year to more than $51 billion, according to China's General Administration of Customs. The Russian Consulate General in Harbin earlier stated that under the conditions of Western sanctions and the accelerated development of bilateral economic and trade cooperation, Russia and China can achieve the goal of reaching an annual trade volume of US$200 billion in 2024 ahead of schedule.
Don’t underestimate the above facts and figures. Bit by bit, they are profoundly changing the world’s geopolitical landscape.
Important strategies are composed of plans. The confused Biden thought that turning B3W into PGII would be more effective in containing China. In fact, the old Biden still wants to recall the days when he visited China.
"Turn to the East" is undoubtedly the right strategic choice for Russia to resist the squeeze of the United States and reshape Europe's security borders.
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