Cheng Mo: Russia rarely seeks peace, and the buzz is rushing to counterattack and turns a blind eye to
original Cheng Mo Visionary Talking 2022-10-31 16:12
Morning mist / Repost
Content summary and important tips: This account introduces the latest situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, as well as the profound impact of this war on the future international landscape. My stock trading diary moved to the "Sighted Vision" account above and posted it, click to follow. The direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war is not based on your and my will. I am just making an objective comment!
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov On October 30, the leadership, including President Putin , is ready to talk to the West. Lavrov said that Russia is willing to talk to Western countries on an equal footing to ease the current tension.
On the same day, Russian Presidential spokesman Peskov said in an interview with Russia's "No. 1 Channel" that the United States is willing to listen to Russia's concerns and rediscuss security issues, which is the primary condition for Putin to hold talks with US President Biden and .
This is the most clear and proactive summation message directly issued by Russia and Ukraine when the strength of both sides has undergone a fundamental reversal on the battlefield. Why did Russia let go of its self-esteem and personally and actively seek peace with the Western camp and Ukraine?
First of all, the battlefield situation is becoming increasingly unfavorable and increasingly severe for Russia. The Russian army moved from a full-scale attack in February this year, to a key attack from March to June, to a full-scale defense from July to August, and to a key defense from Khelson and Luhansk Oblast, and may face all defeats at the end of the year. Yesterday, the Ukrainian army killed nearly a thousand Russian troops in one day, which was a very shocking huge number.
Secondly, Russia passed the message privately through an intermediary, which was flatly rejected by Ukraine. In the past month, Russian senior officials have taken the initiative to convey the message of resuming the ceasefire negotiations to Ukraine at least through the leadership of the following countries and international organizations: the Turkish President, the French President, the German Chancellor, the Austrian Prime Minister, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, the President of Senegal and the current President of the African Union, the President of Guinea-Bissau and the President of the West African Economic Community, Enbarozheng.
(Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov rarely openly seeks peace)
Before Russia asked leaders of some countries and international organizations to pass messages privately to express their willingness to resume peace talks with Ukraine. After these private messages were explicitly rejected by Zelensky , Ukraine did not make any public according to diplomatic etiquette. htmlOn October 26, when the President of Guinea-Bissau and President of the West African Economic Community Enbaro was visiting Moscow , he went to Kiev to meet Ukrainian President Zelensky, Ukrainian side broadcast the situation of the two meeting .
The African leader said to Zelensky, President Putin asked me to bring you a message, he is willing to sit down with you for ceasefire negotiations and stop the war immediately. Zelensky said that you welcome the President to visit Kiev and thank you for coming to pass the message. Regarding the ceasefire peace talks, our attitude is very clear, that is, Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity must be fully restored first. He also said that we, Ukraine, have passed a decree to exclude that person as the negotiator.
Even if Ukraine treats Russia in such a humiliating way, Russia is still a large number of adults and shows the greatest sincerity of peace talks. First, it has stopped the large-scale bombing of Ukraine's rear cities; second, it has recently conducted two large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine, releasing the Mariupol guards proposed by Ukraine, as well as some injured prisoners who urgently need hospitalization and recovery; third, after Lavrov insulted Ukrainian President Zelensky on UN Security Council , he recently mentioned that the Ukrainian leader was particularly humble and polite.
It is in this case that Russia rarely put down its self-esteem and went out to seek peace. Of course, he did not seek peace from Ukraine, but was willing to sit down and talk with the Western camp. 24 hours passed, and I did not see any Western camp country responding.Because whether it is the tough-minded countries such as the United States, Britain, Poland, and , or France, Germany, and Austria, which initially advocated appeasement, and even Turkey, they are very consistent on the issue of restoring Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and their public statements are clear. Any discussion of the Russian-Ukrainian war ceasefire with Russia must listen to Ukraine's opinions, and Ukraine will participate in it personally. They have no right to express their opinions on behalf of Ukraine.
This is embarrassing! Ask someone to make peace with Ukraine in private, Ukraine flatly refused: it was not allowed to negotiate before defeating the Russian army; Russia turned to the major countries of the United States and the Western camp behind Ukraine, and they all pretended not to hear it. Otherwise, just as the United States, from the president to the assistant to national security affairs, secretary of state, and spokesperson for the Secretary of State, said that they had no right to decide for Ukraine, and if they wanted to talk, they could only talk to Ukraine together. Ukraine still said the same thing: first defeat the Russian army completely on the battlefield. Because the Western camp is actually completely consistent with Ukraine in eliminating the national security threat brought by Russia. Moreover, there is no need for the Western camp to send soldiers to the front line, and there is no public pressure caused by the death of soldiers. Therefore, as long as Ukraine dares to fight, can fight, and is good at fighting, it will not put pressure on Ukraine to exchange land for peace. On the contrary, it will only "burn" desperately.
Ukraine has disclosed the conditions for peace talks under the pressure of international peace talks, with four core contents: First, restore the internationally recognized Russian-Ukrainian border in 1991 and completely restore Ukraine's national sovereignty and territorial integrity; Second, send people who commit war crimes to Shanghai International Tribunal in accordance with international law; Third, war compensation is imposed on Ukraine; Fourth, provide permanent security guarantees to Ukraine. In addition, Ukraine explicitly excludes President Putin as the object of peace talks in the form of a decree, but only holds a ceasefire peace talks with the new Russian leader.
After all, Ukraine, from the president to ordinary soldiers and citizens, is full of deep hatred for Russia. It not only needs to completely defeat Russia militarily, but also subvert the Russian Putin regime politically. As the saying goes, it is better to pursue the defeated enemy with the remaining courage, and not to seek fame and learn from the overlords. With the full support of the Western camp, Ukraine vowed to lift Russia's military threat to Ukraine once and for all. To use the public rhetoric of the senior Ukrainian military and political leaders, it is necessary to make the greatest sacrifice by their generation, and not to leave the war to their descendants; to never give up until they completely defeat the Russian army. Negotiation conditions like are actually to force Russian President Putin to the desperate situation of using nuclear weapons .
This is what I expected at the beginning of the war: things that cannot be obtained on the battlefield will never be obtained from the negotiating table; the Russian-Ukrainian war can only sit down and sign a package of peace agreements when one side completely defeats the other. I have also said that the war was initiated by the Russian side. When and how and in what manner and conditions the ceasefire will be decided by Russia, but only by the Ukrainian side who won the war. A few months ago, some people thought that my judgment above was a fantasy, and all kinds of ridicule and doubt have now become reality.
(Ukrainian President Zelensky inspected the front line)
Crimea Sevastopol military port was attacked on a large scale in the early morning of October 29. After the Black Sea Fleet was severely hit, Russia announced that it would suspend the implementation of the Black Sea port agricultural product transportation agreement on the grounds that the Ukrainian army attacked the Russian military port on the same day. However, the United Nations Coordination Center announced on October 30 that the United Nations, Türkiye and Ukraine will continue to promote Ukrainian food transportation arrangements, and 16 grain transport ships are scheduled to set sail from Ukrainian ports on October 31.
After Russia announced its withdrawal from the food export security agreement, it was severely criticized by the Western camp led by the United States. "President Putin must stop weaponizing food and end his illegal war against Ukraine," said Oana Lungescu, spokesman for NATO .We call on Russia to reconsider its decision and quickly renew the agreement so that food can be delivered to those who need it most. "
UN Secretary-General Guterres spokesman said Guterres was deeply concerned about Russia's decision to suspend the implementation of the Black Sea port agricultural product transportation agreement and postponed an overseas visit in an attempt to persuade Russia to change its mind and resume the agreement aimed at alleviating the global food crisis.
It is not clear whether the United Nations and Turkey negotiated with Russia to release it, or whether United Nations agency and Ukraine decided to be good at disregarding the danger. Passing through the barriers. If Russia attacks these UN Coordination Center's grain transport ships, it will fall into a moral trap set by Ukraine and the United States: Ukraine accuses Russia of making excuses to block the Black Sea grain corridor, and the United States criticizes Russia for using food as a weapon, which may lead to global food shortages.
I don't think Russia has the courage to attack the batch of grain transport ships led by the United Nations. Today, when Russia is in extreme dilemma on the battlefield of the Russian army, even if Russia refuses to give in, it is still in his heart Very panic. Russia needs to cooperate with countries and international organizations such as the United Nations and Turkey that are at least neutral on the surface to avoid falling into an embarrassing situation where no one acts as a mediator or persuasion.
(Grain terminal of Ukraine Port)
in recent days, Chinese and Russian media have reported a lot of reports that the commander of the Russian Central Military Region, General Alexander Lapin, has been dismissed from the Central Army The position of the district commander. In fact, since February 24, President Putin has changed his generals on the revolving lantern, and three groups of people were replaced on the Ukrainian combat commander, and all the commanders of the four major Russian military regions and the airborne troops have replaced new people. This has no substantial impact on the situation of the war, and will only make the Russian military command system more chaotic.
Regarding the next direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war, there are two more common extreme views on the simplified Chinese network:
Pro-Russian people believe that Russia is still the second largest military power in the world. It is just out of brotherhood against Ukraine and the prevention of the invasion of the Western camp. It has not yet exercised its strength. There are still many killing weapons that have not been taken out. The most elite troops have not taken action. Therefore, after Russia stabilizes its position, it will continue to expand its results and achieve the goal of demilitarization and denazization of Ukraine. The worst result is nothing more than a stalemate. Russia occupies the territory of the four Ukrainian states that have recently been incorporated into Russia. Ukraine and the Western camps have no choice. Russia has Cooking raw rice into rice, a decisive victory was achieved, and the fruit of victory will be preserved.
Pro-Ukrainians believe that Russia's military strength is not so. The Western camp should expand its military aid to Ukraine, and even send troops directly to destroy the Russian army in one fell swoop. Even if the Western camp is unwilling to send troops, as long as Ukraine's most advanced tanks and aircraft are provided, the Ukrainian army will easily beat the Russian army to the ground and quickly expel the Russian army from Ukraine's territory.
The situation closer to the reality is that neither Russia nor its conventional forces can be compared with the Western camp, but Russia is a military power after all, and has a huge nuclear arsenal. To defeat Russia militarily without causing a huge disaster to mankind, the Western camp must be careful to take a good measure.
I think that whether it is because Western politicians are unwilling to bear the politics of provoking nuclear war. And moral responsibility is because it takes a long time to train Ukraine's most advanced fighter jets and tanks, and it takes a long time to establish a corresponding logistics and maintenance system. The Western camp will not provide Ukraine's most advanced fighter jets and tanks soon.
At present, the best conventional weapon of the Russian army, , has consumed most of it, and it is definitely not a hand; the most capable middle and lower-level officers and soldiers also consumed most of it, and there is absolutely no elite ace that has not been dispatched. Russia's weapons and troops are getting worse and worse, and the less they fight.
Cheng Mo: Russia rarely seeks peace, and the buzz is rushing to counterattack and turns a blind eye to
original Cheng Mo Visionary Talking 2022-10-31 16:12
Morning mist / Repost
Content summary and important tips: This account introduces the latest situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, as well as the profound impact of this war on the future international landscape. My stock trading diary moved to the "Sighted Vision" account above and posted it, click to follow. The direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war is not based on your and my will. I am just making an objective comment!
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov On October 30, the leadership, including President Putin , is ready to talk to the West. Lavrov said that Russia is willing to talk to Western countries on an equal footing to ease the current tension.
On the same day, Russian Presidential spokesman Peskov said in an interview with Russia's "No. 1 Channel" that the United States is willing to listen to Russia's concerns and rediscuss security issues, which is the primary condition for Putin to hold talks with US President Biden and .
This is the most clear and proactive summation message directly issued by Russia and Ukraine when the strength of both sides has undergone a fundamental reversal on the battlefield. Why did Russia let go of its self-esteem and personally and actively seek peace with the Western camp and Ukraine?
First of all, the battlefield situation is becoming increasingly unfavorable and increasingly severe for Russia. The Russian army moved from a full-scale attack in February this year, to a key attack from March to June, to a full-scale defense from July to August, and to a key defense from Khelson and Luhansk Oblast, and may face all defeats at the end of the year. Yesterday, the Ukrainian army killed nearly a thousand Russian troops in one day, which was a very shocking huge number.
Secondly, Russia passed the message privately through an intermediary, which was flatly rejected by Ukraine. In the past month, Russian senior officials have taken the initiative to convey the message of resuming the ceasefire negotiations to Ukraine at least through the leadership of the following countries and international organizations: the Turkish President, the French President, the German Chancellor, the Austrian Prime Minister, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, the President of Senegal and the current President of the African Union, the President of Guinea-Bissau and the President of the West African Economic Community, Enbarozheng.
(Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov rarely openly seeks peace)
Before Russia asked leaders of some countries and international organizations to pass messages privately to express their willingness to resume peace talks with Ukraine. After these private messages were explicitly rejected by Zelensky , Ukraine did not make any public according to diplomatic etiquette. htmlOn October 26, when the President of Guinea-Bissau and President of the West African Economic Community Enbaro was visiting Moscow , he went to Kiev to meet Ukrainian President Zelensky, Ukrainian side broadcast the situation of the two meeting .
The African leader said to Zelensky, President Putin asked me to bring you a message, he is willing to sit down with you for ceasefire negotiations and stop the war immediately. Zelensky said that you welcome the President to visit Kiev and thank you for coming to pass the message. Regarding the ceasefire peace talks, our attitude is very clear, that is, Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity must be fully restored first. He also said that we, Ukraine, have passed a decree to exclude that person as the negotiator.
Even if Ukraine treats Russia in such a humiliating way, Russia is still a large number of adults and shows the greatest sincerity of peace talks. First, it has stopped the large-scale bombing of Ukraine's rear cities; second, it has recently conducted two large-scale prisoner swaps with Ukraine, releasing the Mariupol guards proposed by Ukraine, as well as some injured prisoners who urgently need hospitalization and recovery; third, after Lavrov insulted Ukrainian President Zelensky on UN Security Council , he recently mentioned that the Ukrainian leader was particularly humble and polite.
It is in this case that Russia rarely put down its self-esteem and went out to seek peace. Of course, he did not seek peace from Ukraine, but was willing to sit down and talk with the Western camp. 24 hours passed, and I did not see any Western camp country responding.Because whether it is the tough-minded countries such as the United States, Britain, Poland, and , or France, Germany, and Austria, which initially advocated appeasement, and even Turkey, they are very consistent on the issue of restoring Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and their public statements are clear. Any discussion of the Russian-Ukrainian war ceasefire with Russia must listen to Ukraine's opinions, and Ukraine will participate in it personally. They have no right to express their opinions on behalf of Ukraine.
This is embarrassing! Ask someone to make peace with Ukraine in private, Ukraine flatly refused: it was not allowed to negotiate before defeating the Russian army; Russia turned to the major countries of the United States and the Western camp behind Ukraine, and they all pretended not to hear it. Otherwise, just as the United States, from the president to the assistant to national security affairs, secretary of state, and spokesperson for the Secretary of State, said that they had no right to decide for Ukraine, and if they wanted to talk, they could only talk to Ukraine together. Ukraine still said the same thing: first defeat the Russian army completely on the battlefield. Because the Western camp is actually completely consistent with Ukraine in eliminating the national security threat brought by Russia. Moreover, there is no need for the Western camp to send soldiers to the front line, and there is no public pressure caused by the death of soldiers. Therefore, as long as Ukraine dares to fight, can fight, and is good at fighting, it will not put pressure on Ukraine to exchange land for peace. On the contrary, it will only "burn" desperately.
Ukraine has disclosed the conditions for peace talks under the pressure of international peace talks, with four core contents: First, restore the internationally recognized Russian-Ukrainian border in 1991 and completely restore Ukraine's national sovereignty and territorial integrity; Second, send people who commit war crimes to Shanghai International Tribunal in accordance with international law; Third, war compensation is imposed on Ukraine; Fourth, provide permanent security guarantees to Ukraine. In addition, Ukraine explicitly excludes President Putin as the object of peace talks in the form of a decree, but only holds a ceasefire peace talks with the new Russian leader.
After all, Ukraine, from the president to ordinary soldiers and citizens, is full of deep hatred for Russia. It not only needs to completely defeat Russia militarily, but also subvert the Russian Putin regime politically. As the saying goes, it is better to pursue the defeated enemy with the remaining courage, and not to seek fame and learn from the overlords. With the full support of the Western camp, Ukraine vowed to lift Russia's military threat to Ukraine once and for all. To use the public rhetoric of the senior Ukrainian military and political leaders, it is necessary to make the greatest sacrifice by their generation, and not to leave the war to their descendants; to never give up until they completely defeat the Russian army. Negotiation conditions like are actually to force Russian President Putin to the desperate situation of using nuclear weapons .
This is what I expected at the beginning of the war: things that cannot be obtained on the battlefield will never be obtained from the negotiating table; the Russian-Ukrainian war can only sit down and sign a package of peace agreements when one side completely defeats the other. I have also said that the war was initiated by the Russian side. When and how and in what manner and conditions the ceasefire will be decided by Russia, but only by the Ukrainian side who won the war. A few months ago, some people thought that my judgment above was a fantasy, and all kinds of ridicule and doubt have now become reality.
(Ukrainian President Zelensky inspected the front line)
Crimea Sevastopol military port was attacked on a large scale in the early morning of October 29. After the Black Sea Fleet was severely hit, Russia announced that it would suspend the implementation of the Black Sea port agricultural product transportation agreement on the grounds that the Ukrainian army attacked the Russian military port on the same day. However, the United Nations Coordination Center announced on October 30 that the United Nations, Türkiye and Ukraine will continue to promote Ukrainian food transportation arrangements, and 16 grain transport ships are scheduled to set sail from Ukrainian ports on October 31.
After Russia announced its withdrawal from the food export security agreement, it was severely criticized by the Western camp led by the United States. "President Putin must stop weaponizing food and end his illegal war against Ukraine," said Oana Lungescu, spokesman for NATO .We call on Russia to reconsider its decision and quickly renew the agreement so that food can be delivered to those who need it most. "
UN Secretary-General Guterres spokesman said Guterres was deeply concerned about Russia's decision to suspend the implementation of the Black Sea port agricultural product transportation agreement and postponed an overseas visit in an attempt to persuade Russia to change its mind and resume the agreement aimed at alleviating the global food crisis.
It is not clear whether the United Nations and Turkey negotiated with Russia to release it, or whether United Nations agency and Ukraine decided to be good at disregarding the danger. Passing through the barriers. If Russia attacks these UN Coordination Center's grain transport ships, it will fall into a moral trap set by Ukraine and the United States: Ukraine accuses Russia of making excuses to block the Black Sea grain corridor, and the United States criticizes Russia for using food as a weapon, which may lead to global food shortages.
I don't think Russia has the courage to attack the batch of grain transport ships led by the United Nations. Today, when Russia is in extreme dilemma on the battlefield of the Russian army, even if Russia refuses to give in, it is still in his heart Very panic. Russia needs to cooperate with countries and international organizations such as the United Nations and Turkey that are at least neutral on the surface to avoid falling into an embarrassing situation where no one acts as a mediator or persuasion.
(Grain terminal of Ukraine Port)
in recent days, Chinese and Russian media have reported a lot of reports that the commander of the Russian Central Military Region, General Alexander Lapin, has been dismissed from the Central Army The position of the district commander. In fact, since February 24, President Putin has changed his generals on the revolving lantern, and three groups of people were replaced on the Ukrainian combat commander, and all the commanders of the four major Russian military regions and the airborne troops have replaced new people. This has no substantial impact on the situation of the war, and will only make the Russian military command system more chaotic.
Regarding the next direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war, there are two more common extreme views on the simplified Chinese network:
Pro-Russian people believe that Russia is still the second largest military power in the world. It is just out of brotherhood against Ukraine and the prevention of the invasion of the Western camp. It has not yet exercised its strength. There are still many killing weapons that have not been taken out. The most elite troops have not taken action. Therefore, after Russia stabilizes its position, it will continue to expand its results and achieve the goal of demilitarization and denazization of Ukraine. The worst result is nothing more than a stalemate. Russia occupies the territory of the four Ukrainian states that have recently been incorporated into Russia. Ukraine and the Western camps have no choice. Russia has Cooking raw rice into rice, a decisive victory was achieved, and the fruit of victory will be preserved.
Pro-Ukrainians believe that Russia's military strength is not so. The Western camp should expand its military aid to Ukraine, and even send troops directly to destroy the Russian army in one fell swoop. Even if the Western camp is unwilling to send troops, as long as Ukraine's most advanced tanks and aircraft are provided, the Ukrainian army will easily beat the Russian army to the ground and quickly expel the Russian army from Ukraine's territory.
The situation closer to the reality is that neither Russia nor its conventional forces can be compared with the Western camp, but Russia is a military power after all, and has a huge nuclear arsenal. To defeat Russia militarily without causing a huge disaster to mankind, the Western camp must be careful to take a good measure.
I think that whether it is because Western politicians are unwilling to bear the politics of provoking nuclear war. And moral responsibility is because it takes a long time to train Ukraine's most advanced fighter jets and tanks, and it takes a long time to establish a corresponding logistics and maintenance system. The Western camp will not provide Ukraine's most advanced fighter jets and tanks soon.
At present, the best conventional weapon of the Russian army, , has consumed most of it, and it is definitely not a hand; the most capable middle and lower-level officers and soldiers also consumed most of it, and there is absolutely no elite ace that has not been dispatched. Russia's weapons and troops are getting worse and worse, and the less they fight.On the contrary, Ukraine continues to obtain more and better weapons from the Western camp led by the United States, and it is more and more attacking, inexhaustible and inexhaustible. These weapons are not the most advanced equipment of the Western camp, but are used to fight Russia beyond many levels. At the same time, a large number of Ukrainian troops trained by NATO member states have received good training, high morale and well-equipped, and the more they fight, the more they fight, the braver they fight.
plus Russia is subject to severe sanctions from the West, and its economic and technological development has encountered unprecedented difficulties. Ukraine has received full support from the entire Western camp and international organizations such as the United Nations World Bank . Therefore, the trend of military strength between Russia and Ukraine is absolutely irreversible, and the gap will only become larger and larger as time goes by. With the huge consumption brought by the high intensity of the Russian-Ukrainian war, it is impossible for the Russian army to support more than one and a half years, whether it is personnel or weapons. When you reach a certain critical point, you will be completely defeated. This is about a month after the war started. I judged that the Russian-Ukrainian war will end before the end of May next year, and that the Ukrainian army will achieve a decisive victory on the battlefield. Now I still maintain this judgment.
For detailed analysis of the reversal of the battlefield strength of Russia and Ukraine, please refer to my article " Cheng Mo: The strength of Russia and Ukraine has reversed and Russia's overall defeat is a foregone conclusion " (link: https://weibo.com/ttarticle/p/show?id=2309404813012400996514) published on September 12, and will not repeat it again.
(Ukrainian army continues to counterattack)
In the past 24 hours, Russia and Ukraine are still fighting on various battlefields. Relatively speaking, the northern battlefield and the Donbass area are relatively calm, and the most intense battles still occur in the Khlsson area on the right bank of the Dnieper River (also known as the west bank and the north bank).
In the northern battlefield and Donbass region, there were only small-scale ground attacks at the platoon level in the past 24 hours, while ground offensive and defensive battles of battalion-level tactical groups occurred in many places in Kherson. At present, the Ukrainian army is mainly engaged in active attacks and the Russian army passive defense.
is a statistical chart of the Russian war damage released by Ukraine. It has not been verified by a third party, but I have judged it based on various data and it is highly credible. This is the most important observation window to observe the intensity of the battle; for confidentiality reasons, Ukraine may artificially adjust the Japanese civil war damage and adjust the data within a week. Please note that if the missile and drone launched by the Russian army are not shot down, it will not be counted on the battle loss statistics released by the Ukrainian side. Similarly, the number of deaths in the Russian military's severe medical slander, fighter planes that crashed on their own, and the losses that Ukraine neither recognized nor denied were counted in this battle loss map. The latest battle statistics show that the death toll and equipment losses of the Russian army are still astonishing, 620 people were killed, and one fighter and one helicopter were shot down, destroying 14 tanks, 32 armored vehicles, 8 oil tankers, and logistics trucks, 4 artillery , and 1 drone. Obviously, the Ukrainian army turned a deaf ear to the Russian military's peace talks and was still busy counterattacking.
(Russian military damage counted on October 31)
Since the outbreak of the war on February 24, the Russian military (including pro-Russian armed forces) deaths were close to 72,000 , including 2 lieutenant generals and 10 major generals ( Russian No. 20th Group) Major General Jokov, the commander of the 144th MoF Division of the Army, was seriously injured and not dead on September 24, not counting it. There were about 2,200 lieutenants to colonel officers; I guess based on public information, there were about 24,000 officers and soldiers killed in the Ukrainian army ( Commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian armed forces revealed on August 22 that nearly 9,000 soldiers died, including known captured personnel, and more than 7,000 officers and soldiers disappeared, which is very close to my speculation at that time). More than 10,000 Ukrainian civilians were killed (Jianzhong.com said that Mariupol .11 million civilians were killed without any basis or impossible). The loss of life caused by war is really shocking!
Ukrainian Deputy Minister of National Defense Hannah said on October 16 that the number of Russian troops killed in the southern battlefield of is 6.5 times that of the Ukrainian army. I think her statement is credible. Because in the more than two months of the southern battlefield, except for a large-scale late-night assault by the Ukrainian army in early October, the rest of the time was mainly to use long-range artillery fire to carry out precise strikes on the Russian army. The ratio of the number of casualties between Russia and Ukraine in the southern battlefield does not represent the entire Ukrainian battlefield.
Overall, the number of Russian soldiers killed far exceeds that of the Ukrainian army, and so far is about 3:1. The reports of multiple international authoritative institutions are very similar to the war loss statistics revealed by Ukraine. The main reasons why the Russian army suffered so many deaths are: 1. The medical security is far inferior to the Ukrainian army; 2. The individual soldiers are of poor quality and insufficient training; 3. The Soviet-style weapons are not as advanced as NATO weapons, especially the accuracy is too poor; 4. The strategies and tactics are outdated and backward.
Let us continue to pray: May God give peace and stop war; let the evil be repaid, and the good be protected.
Information source: 2022-10-31 WeChat official account Yuan Vision Bi Tan
ID: yjbt-303
[Statement] This article is a forwarding and sharing, and the source has been indicated. It does not mean that this platform agrees with or opposes the views of the original author. The responsibility and copyright belong to the original author. This article is reproduced for the purpose of conveying more information. If there is any infringement, please contact us to delete it.
I think her statement is credible. Because in the more than two months of the southern battlefield, except for a large-scale late-night assault by the Ukrainian army in early October, the rest of the time was mainly to use long-range artillery fire to carry out precise strikes on the Russian army. The ratio of the number of casualties between Russia and Ukraine in the southern battlefield does not represent the entire Ukrainian battlefield.Overall, the number of Russian soldiers killed far exceeds that of the Ukrainian army, and so far is about 3:1. The reports of multiple international authoritative institutions are very similar to the war loss statistics revealed by Ukraine. The main reasons why the Russian army suffered so many deaths are: 1. The medical security is far inferior to the Ukrainian army; 2. The individual soldiers are of poor quality and insufficient training; 3. The Soviet-style weapons are not as advanced as NATO weapons, especially the accuracy is too poor; 4. The strategies and tactics are outdated and backward.
Let us continue to pray: May God give peace and stop war; let the evil be repaid, and the good be protected.
Information source: 2022-10-31 WeChat official account Yuan Vision Bi Tan
ID: yjbt-303
[Statement] This article is a forwarding and sharing, and the source has been indicated. It does not mean that this platform agrees with or opposes the views of the original author. The responsibility and copyright belong to the original author. This article is reproduced for the purpose of conveying more information. If there is any infringement, please contact us to delete it.
