22
Two traditional strong teams lost the first game of the World Cup in the same way, and it was a "unpopularity". Many people compared Argentina with Germany, but in fact, Germany's situation is much worse than Argentina.
is the first of all the team's division.
In Group C where Argentina is located, Argentina itself is a seed team. That is to say, just from the perspective of account strength, as long as Argentina performs normally, no matter which team it plays against, he will have the advantage.
And the seed team in Group E where Germany is located is Spain, that is to say, Germany does not have an advantage in terms of strength against Spain. Unless the opponent is abnormal or he is extraordinary, Germany may also lose against Spain.
If the probability of Argentina winning two consecutive victories is 50%, then the probability of Germany winning two consecutive victories is probably only 21%. Therefore, the remaining matches are different (because of their own strength), and Germany will be more difficult than Argentina.
and then the opponent's play.
After Argentina was upset, a draw came, Mexico and Poland shook hands and made peace, while Germany was upset, a big victory, Spain beat 7-0 to Costa Rica . This back and forth, Spain almost confirmed that it would be ahead of Germany, and Germany's goal became second in the group.
C situation
If Argentina wins 2 consecutive victories in the next two games, Argentina, which has 6 points, will definitely be qualified for promotion, because if Mexico and Poland, which have already tied 1 game, will lose to Argentina, then the maximum points will be 4 points.
If Argentina wins 1 win and 1 draw in the next 2 games, then Argentina, which has 4 points, still has a chance to qualify, just like the situation in 2018.
Assuming that Argentina draws Mexico in the second game and Poland defeats Saudi Arabia , then Argentina will have 1 point, Mexico 2 points, Poland 4 points, and Saudi Arabia will have 3 points. In the last game, Argentina defeated Poland and scored 4 points with Poland, and still had the opportunity to beat the opponent. In the match between Mexico and Saudi Arabia, whether it was win, lose, or draw, at least one of the two teams had no more than 4 points, so Argentina also had a chance. If Poland tied with Saudi Arabia, Argentina would be even more favorable.
For Argentina, the most unfavorable thing about is that it was tied by Mexico in the second game, and Saudi Arabia defeated Poland . Then Argentina will depend on Saudi Arabia's face in the third game. If Saudi Arabia rests and lets Mexico win, then the two teams will advance together, and nothing is wrong with Argentina. The situation in the
D group
Germany's opponent in the second game is Spain. In this game, if Germany can bottom out and rebound and defeat Spain, Germany may not be able to reverse the situation, because even if Germany defeats Costa Rica in the last round and Spain defeats Japan, Spain, Germany and Japan will have 6 points in the same team, which will be compared with the goal difference. Germany still has to work hard to score a goal difference on Costa Rica. Spain's 7 goal difference goals are generally difficult to surpass.
Even defeating Spain failed to make Germany feel relieved, so don't mention the draw.
If Germany only tied with Spain in the second game, the situation will still be very serious. Even if Germany defeated Costa Rica in the last game, the points will be only 4 points. Spain only needs to tie with Japan in the last game, so it will definitely be ahead of Germany. Japan only needs to win 1 draw in 2 games and the points will also reach 4 points.
Just imagine, if Germany draws Spain in the second game and Japan defeats Costa Rica, then Japan will be sure to rank ahead of Germany. Even if Spain loses and Germany wins in the last game, both sides will only have 4 points. Germany has to score 7 goals from Costa Rica to have hope of threatening Spain, not to mention that Spain is not too difficult to tie Japan. This comparison is obvious. Germany must make a counterattack and defeat Spain in the second game, and defeating Spain is just a glimmer of hope for Germany. It is not a turnaround as the master. In the last game, it has to work hard to win the goal difference and look at the opponent's face.
Argentina only loses the initiative, while Germany may lose the opportunity to qualify.
