18, US Secretary of State Blinken expressed that he is very much looking forward to visiting China next month, and his visit to China on February 5 has been finalized. On the 19th, century old man and former Secretary of State Kissinger issued advice on Sino-US relations : Stop creating "two Chinas" and give up military build-up. These two warnings are for the United States and China. Kissinger changed the subject after issuing a warning to the United States, and then made a request to China. claimed that "China should also give up its military buildup to create conditions for easing Sino-US relations." How to see it? What should we do? Worth exploring in depth!
1. What are the reasons for Kissinger’s change in attitude toward Ukraine joining NATO ?
As a century old man, he is worthy of respect, and he has also made a historic contribution to Sino-US relations. However, Kissinger is not independent from the United States, and his line of serving the United States remains unchanged.
Therefore, we can see from its change in attitude towards Ukraine’s membership of NATO that it is still inseparable from the global strategy of serving the United States. Similarly, remarks on Sino-US relations also serve the current US strategy.
Everyone has noticed that Kissinger has just made a statement on the Ukraine crisis, and it is a changed attitude. He changed his previous attitude that Ukraine was not suitable for joining NATO and believed that it was the right time for Ukraine to join NATO.
In fact, as early as March 5, 2014, former US Secretary of State Kissinger published an article in the " Washington Post " titled "Resolving the Ukraine Crisis, Beginning with the End." Kissinger wrote in the article that I have seen four wars in my life that started with great enthusiasm and public support, but in none of them did we know how to end. In three of them, we ended up unilaterally withdrawing.
As for how to end the chaos, Kissinger reminded the United States at that time: If Ukraine wants to survive and develop, it should not choose between the West and the East. It should not become an "outpost" for one party to oppose the other, but should become a "bridge" connecting the two parties. It should not join NATO.
At present, why has Kissinger changed his attitude and supports Ukraine's joining NATO?
In fact, there is only one possibility, and that is to think that after nearly a year of conflict, the Russian military is nothing more than this. The United States and NATO have included Ukraine in NATO, and Russia cannot do anything.
At this time, we have also seen that the Russian army will expand to 1.5 million. I am afraid that only a military victory can dispel this possibility expressed by Kissinger.
2. Kissinger’s “admonition” to China and the United States is in line with the current New Year’s “offensive” of the United States against China.
2022 to 2023 is a historic turning point in the great changes unseen in a century. The largest scale is undoubtedly the large-scale and short-term new crown infection in China that is close to or even likely to exceed 1 billion people.
Almost at the same time, the United States attempted peace talks after planning a threat to China.
At the beginning of the new year, the military situation around China further deteriorated. They also signed a mutual troop garrison agreement with the United Kingdom, blatantly interfered in the Taiwan Strait issue, accelerated to break through the peaceful constitution, significantly increased military expenditures, increased military deployment on Taiwan Island, and established 130 arsenals to share with the US military.
All of this is hidden behind South Korea and Japan making things difficult for Chinese tourists. In fact, the United States gathered accomplices to intensify the military deployment. Speeding up preparations for war and threatening and intimidating China.
After this vicious situation, in line with the hype about China's diplomatic turn in online public opinion, the United States has recently extended an olive branch. On the 17th, it was confirmed that Blinken would visit China on February 5; and on the 18th, US Commerce Secretary Yellen went to Davos, Switzerland, to meet with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He, who was attending the meeting, and the talks were very good.
But facts speak louder than words. We must listen to their words and watch their actions. Fantasy can only comfort ourselves! The following features need to be looked at clearly. First, the United States has more important things to do. Many of us have flown on the plane, and flights in important directions only depart every hour. What's more, for the finance minister of the world's most powerful country, although it is not a special plane, it should be easy to coordinate the next flight. Second, the U.S. side is not rigorous enough in high-level talks. We ordinary people need sufficient time to meet. For a big country as important as China, if we want to talk about core issues, there must be sufficient coordination internally and bilaterally. After looking at the meeting, it turns out that the U.S. side did not participate in the forum. Instead, it went to Davos to meet with the Chinese side, and then left in a hurry.
Third, the US initiative has a clear design. read the report and found that the US was responsible for the venue and filming of the meeting. Generally, reporters are given one to two minutes to shoot such a meeting, but this time the meeting lasted at least seven or eight minutes, from the two shaking hands to the opening greetings after they sat down. Fourth, a special meeting in the context of the United States stepping up its military buildup. At the beginning of the new year, the United States stepped up its military buildup around China. Even Kissinger called for not creating two Chinas. At this time, both parties were in good condition, and some people said it felt like seeing old friends again. It always feels like something is not right, or where are our core interests? We need to think about it, just like us ordinary people, if others are digging into your courtyard walls, you must have an attitude.
Taken together, whether Kissinger is changing Ukraine's attitude towards joining NATO or admonishing the United States not to engage in "two Chinas" and China not to build up military forces, these are all serving the current U.S. government's strategy: threatening to win over China, sow discord between China and Russia, violently attack Russia, and win Ukraine's reverse victory as soon as possible.
At this time, the United States also has its own problems. For example, it is said to be decoupled, but it cannot do without medium and cheap daily necessities; in addition, China has recently reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to less than 1 trillion US dollars, which is a "hard move"!
3. Faced with the olive branch after the bombardment of American politicians, what should China do?
It should be noted that the theme of this year’s Davos Forum is “Strengthening Cooperation in a Divided World”, which is particularly suitable for the current situation between China and the United States. While the United States is manipulating cross-strait division, it wants to cooperate with China, and even tries to find opportunities between China and Russia!
It happened to be 8. When talking about relations with China, the Russian Foreign Minister said that Sino-Russian relations are at the best period in history, and bilateral relations are a model of relations between countries. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said at a regular press conference on November 19 that under the strategic guidance of the two heads of state, China-Russia relations have embarked on a new path of harmonious coexistence and win-win cooperation between major powers and neighboring countries, which has brought tangible benefits to the people of the two countries and played an important constructive role in promoting changes in global governance.
But what we have to see is that leaders like Biden don’t mean what they say. Therefore, the national character of a great country is closely related to the personality of its leaders.
What to do about? We can talk, but if we fight on the basis of fighting, no one can stop cross-strait reunification. Kissinger's request for the People's Liberation Army to stop gathering is not only a slap in the face, but also absolutely impossible.
When inspecting the combat readiness of the troops on the eve of the Spring Festival, Chinese national leaders pointed out, " We must be alert when on duty. During the festival, we must be more vigilant and be able to pull out at any time. If we can go up, we can win!"
This is our answer!
One sentence summary: While the United States is using military threats to manipulate cross-strait divisions, it also wants to strengthen cooperation with China to help it tide over difficulties. What should China do? Perhaps the reduction of U.S. Treasury holdings below one trillion U.S. dollars is China’s attitude!
Qin An, January 20, 2023, Haidian, Beijing.
