Lin Jiaxin, associate professor of the Department of Radio, Television and Film at Shixin University in Taiwan, said that the "nine-in-one" election of at the end of this year is very cold, especially for young voters, many college students cannot even explain the three main candidates in Taipei City clearly. He also said that there is no issue in this year's election that can call on young people to come out to vote, and the election will be relatively deserted compared to the 2018 election and the 2020 "general election".
"2022 TV Election News Scholar Observation Alliance" on the 20th analyzed the voice of candidates for "Six Capitals" and Hsinchu City. Some media are concerned about what issues Taiwanese people are more concerned about at the end of the year election. Lin Jiaxin said that the turnout rate this year is very low and there is no sign of young people coming out to vote. Traditional voters will influence the election. Traditional voters will accept traditional media, and whoever candidate has a lot of voice will support it, so that they will choose according to the volume of voice. The highest number of news about the three main candidates in Taipei mayoral election is the operational strategy of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Chen Shizhong and Kuomintang candidate Jiang Wanan, which is to continue to expose and marginalize the non-party candidate Huang Shanshan. But if Huang wants to do it, he will do it and abandon the insurance. The People's Party of Taiwan will do it and let the abandonment effect ferment, but if it does not ferment in the end, it will be a blue-green showdown.
He also mentioned that in the mayoral election of Hsinchu , the Taiwanese People's Party Gao Hongan received the most attention. The DPP has put all its efforts into fighting Gao Hongan. At the beginning, it was to marginalize the Kuomintang’s Hsinchu mayoral candidate Lin Gengren, because Lin Gengren is a local politician and has a certain degree of support, so that Lin Gengren only has a traditional basic foundation. But now Gao Hongan has been beaten hard by the DPP, but instead he has risen, not being beaten. The DPP may eventually change its election strategy and slowly pull back. I don’t want Gao Hongan to pay so much attention to it, which will affect the final election results.
If the election returns to traditional supporters at the end of the year, what will be the impact on the election? Lin Jiaxin said that if there are only traditional supporters, party mobilization depends on whether traditional supporters should come out to vote, because as long as traditional supporters are mobilized, they will win, and it will not be possible to expand voters to vote. This is not a good phenomenon for "democracy". Only a few people decide on the election results, which is not ideal.
He analyzed that the 2018 county and city elections in the first two elections were due to the former Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu and the "referendum", and the turnout rate was considered high in county and city mayor elections. However, the 18-year-old "civil rights" re-decision is re-decided, and even young people are not moved. College students already have the right to vote, and they don't have the right to vote and don't particularly want to come out to vote for this re-decision.
Lin Jiaxin said that this year's elections are all dirty, and many young people don't care about the election at all. Many college students can't even explain the three main candidates in Taipei City clearly. He believes that the media platforms that young people mainly use are streaming platforms such as YouTube, Douyin or Netflix . Douyin and YouTube are not news carriers, and there are fewer news. The streaming platform also chooses what they want to watch. It is very likely that the news topics are very popular, but young people don’t feel it. In addition, there is no big incentive for this election, and young people don’t have strong motivation to come out to vote.
Liu Jincai, associate professor of the Department of Public Affairs, Fo Guang University, who also attended the event, said that cross-strait relations will not be the main topic of county and city elections. Although some political parties want to operate cross-strait issues, as Lai Ching-te said when he went to Taichung to assist in the election, cross-strait issues will not ferment in county and city mayor elections.
Niu Zexun, professor and director of the Department of Advertising at Taiwan's "China University of Culture" said that this is an election that everyone is concerned about the topic of "paper". All candidates are affected by the papers. Significant topics have nothing to do with economy and people's livelihood; everyone is also concerned about the topic of New Taipei . The candidate for the New Taipei mayor of the Democratic Progressive Party Lin Jialong will lose, will he "enter the cabinet", Hou Youyi will be re-elected, and will he "run away" to choose 2024. These have nothing to do with people's livelihood and economy.
He pointed out that Taipei City will pay attention to the issue of "border" unlocking, and everyone will care whether the epidemic will rise again due to the lifting of the lockdown. This is the issue that the Kuomintang mayor candidate Jiang Wan'an's camp is concerned about, and Chen Shizhong's camp is concerned about the issue if the epidemic does not rise, it will be more beneficial to them.If the epidemic rises again, Chiang's camp will definitely use it to attack Chen Shizhong.
Du Shengcong, director of the Department of Radio and Television, Mingchuan University, Taiwan, said that when Taiwan enters the 5G era, digital spreads very quickly and consumes issues very quickly. In the past, about 5 to 8 issues were enough for an election, but now 20 or 30 are lost, which has accelerated the consumption of issues and made everyone numb and indifferent to the election. He sees the situation of the election this year, and the turnout rate will be very low. Now the election is only dirty, Taipei City’s election situation is cursing every day, voters are already weak and unable to find topics that attract attention. The consequence is that the turnout rate is lower. (Lin Jingxian/editor)
