This article is released with the official account "Zhaoshi New Dimension". The author Roma pays attention to authorizing the push of
. Seeing this title, I don’t know what you would think, but when I told a friend of mine, he said to me with regret and full of sarcasm: "It seems that you are really in the realm."
Why did he have this attitude?
Because he thinks my conclusion is really sensational. In his opinion, even the government dares not brag about this. Do you want to kneel down and lick it crazy? You can say it out loud, but you are really at the level.
So why is he so disdainful of my conclusion?
The reason is very simple, because according to the known political economy theory, we cannot draw this conclusion. So is this statement unfounded at all?
is not! Because our political economy today is essentially taught by Westerners, but in fact, even themselves do not understand how the world works. Why do I say that?
Let me ask you a question first, why can the United States become the world's boss if it is also democratic system , while India only acts as the "third brother" in our mouths?
If explained according to traditional theory, it is that the democracy in the United States is real, and the democracy in India is pretending, so the judgment is based on the high and the inferior, but is this really the case?
of course not!
I have a theory called political positive cycle motivation. I was originally going to propose it in the future, but it is not appropriate to post other articles recently, so I will give you spoilers in advance today.
Then what exactly is the content of my theory?
That is any political system that must bring legitimacy to the government of this country, which in turn can promote positive growth in all classes in this society.
Please don’t care about such difficult words, and don’t care about the proof process for the time being. I will talk about it slowly in the future. Here we will first talk about the conclusion directly.
The logic behind the United States' success is as follows:
Capital controls public opinion, public opinion controls the people, people elect the government, the government protects capital, and after capital grows, give back to the people.
is equipped with a picture below for everyone to understand.
This cycle is the key to the success of the United States. If a government wants to effectively control the entire society, it must be legitimacy. The legality of the US government, comes from democratic elections .
And before the rise of the Internet, democratic elections could be completely manipulated by public opinion, and all the capital of the mass media can be controlled by them, and the government they want can be selected in this cycle.
Since the government is elected by capital, it must serve capital. To make capital stronger and bigger will inevitably promote the overall prosperity of society. The people will naturally benefit in this process, and their income will become higher and higher, which will increase their sense of happiness and make them more satisfied with this system. The legitimacy of the government will be further strengthened and the development of capital can be better protected. The political cycle of
has been operating well in the United States and other developed countries in the West for a long time, and naturally created the so-called democratic myth.
has figured out the principle that this cycle can work. Let’s look at it again. Why does the democratic system fail to succeed in India, and it is naturally clear at a glance.Why are there such a big difference between
?
Because when India adopts this political cycle, the source of legitimacy of the Indian government is not consistent with the development goals of the Indian country.
First of all, India was a country dominated by traditional agricultural economy when it was in charge of this system.
And India's national development direction is to fully enter industrialization. But developing industry and commerce must be broken. India has long been self-sufficient in small peasant economy, which is the basis for every country to achieve modernization.
But they are definitely not happy to let Indian farmers pay for the modernization of the country. Therefore, in the political cycle of democratic system, the interests of the Indian people and capital are not consistent.
plus, India's commercial capital is relatively weak and cannot be controlled at all. The number of farmers with overwhelming advantage. Naturally, farmers with voting rights cannot choose the government they want, and in turn, they cannot promote their development, let alone give back to farmers.
So when the political cycle of democratic system is applied to India, it cannot choose a government representing capital interests, which leads to the source of legitimacy of the Indian government and the development direction of Indian countries. Therefore, this cycle is invalid or even fails in India.
So you see, the presidents elected by India are basically opposed to the market economy . Before the 1990s, the Nehru family, who had long monopolized Indian politics, engaged in socialism and planned economy, as a country that adopted the Western democratic system, was economically opposed to the Western.
Even today, the Modi government, which wants to carry out reform and opening up, is still staggering. At home, they have no way to open up agricultural product prices and cancel the minimum purchase price of agriculture. Internationally, they refuse to sign the RECP agreement that is very favorable to them, and once again gave up the good opportunity to integrate into the Asian economy and take off quickly.
But why do they do so many stupid things?
In the final analysis, is because this government was elected by farmers. It is not the that serves capital. Therefore, why is the industrialization process in India always the old cow pulls a broken cart? Here is the reason.
Only when the development goals of a country are consistent with the source of its government legitimacy can the country develop rapidly, otherwise it will be difficult for it to succeed and may even fail.
The former Soviet Union is a very good example. Its failure is actually destined. Why do I say that?
Because its operating rules are like this, the government confiscates all private property through violent means, monopolizes the national economy, and provides relatively fair job opportunities and income to everyone.
You see, in this cycle, there are two keys, one is to ensure the government's violent ability and be able to seize everyone's private assets, and the other is to ensure the relative equality of social distribution. Therefore, why did the Soviet Union always emphasize heavy industry and ignore light industry? In fact, it has long been written in its genes.
Why did the former Soviet Union get the support of the vast majority of the citizens at the beginning?
Because of the Soviet Union before the October Revolution, wealth was concentrated in the hands of a very small number of people, and most of the Russians lived in dire straits. The entire Russian social contradictions were all focused on social injustice.
and The Soviet Union's policy of equal wealth will definitely improve the living standards of the vast majority of poor people in the short term and meet their desire to achieve social fairness. Therefore, it must be a positive cycle at the beginning, so the Soviet economy achieved a leap forward.
However, since the legitimacy of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union comes from the rich and poor, improves people's living standards and cannot increase its legitimacy. On the contrary, emphasizing its fighting attributes is the source of its legitimacy. Therefore, developing heavy industry and ignoring light industry has become its inevitable choice.
This choice will inevitably lead to people's living standards. They will hesitate at a low level for a long time. They will gradually breed new dissatisfaction and make the government lose the source of legitimacy of their rule, so there is a problem with this political cycle.
Therefore, the failure of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union was naturally inevitable.
And why did our country reach the end of its path before reform and opening up? In essence, the logic of the former Soviet Union is the same.
However, after the reform and opening up, the source of legitimacy of the government's rule has undergone earth-shaking changes, becoming completely consistent with national interests, forming an effective positive cycle. Why do I say so?
Because of the circular way of contemporary Chinese politics, the Chinese government adheres to the belief of reform and opening up. Through superb social governance, it provides the best business environment, stimulates the development of industrial and commercial economy, especially the development of private economy, and promotes the overall prosperity of society.
The development of the private economy has provided a large number of employment opportunities, driven the continuous increase in wage income, improved the people's living standards, made the people full of confidence in the government, and strengthened the legitimacy of the government's governance. The following figure briefly illustrates this triangle relationship in China's political cycle.
In the picture above, we can clearly see that this is a typical positive income society. The greater the government’s support for the private economy, the faster the development of the private economy, the higher the people’s income, the more support it will be for the government, and the stronger the legitimacy of the government.
Because of this cycle, we can be sure that for a long time in the future, China's political cycle can continue to bring positive benefits, so I dare to think that China's current political system is the most advanced and reasonable in the world at present.
Speaking of this, some people may ask questions. Didn’t you say that the political system of the United States is also in a positive cycle? Then why do you say that only China is the most advanced and reasonable?
is good. The United States has always had a positive cycle in the past, but it now also encounters a ceiling. So how did this ceiling come about?
Because in this political cycle in the United States, plays a decisive role in the power of capital , but there is a problem with capital. is the pursuit of maximization of interests, which brings two outcomes: one good and one bad.
The good side is that the United States must be the birthplace of the innovative economy, because only the innovative economy can bring excess profits , so Tesla , Apple , Microsoft , Google all appear in the United States, which is not a coincidence.
The evil side is that capital's endless pursuit of interests will eventually evolve into a country in finance, because in this world, there is no simpler and faster way than making money with money.
But it is precisely because of this that it destroys the political ecology of the United States, and all the problems in the United States today arise because of this.
Because the core of the country of finance is the hollowing out of the industry, and the hollowing out of the industry cuts off the channel for capital to give back to society, allowing the most critical link in the political cycle of democratic system, voters who provide government legitimacy can no longer get positive benefits in this cycle.
The failure of American democratic politics is essentially an facilitated by China. You must not think that Trump , Pompeo and others, accusing China of being the key reason for the decline of the United States and is to divert domestic conflicts. In fact, what they are saying is the truth. Why?
Because before China's reform and opening up, although the United States also had a trend of industrial hollowing out, it was not serious, because the American capitalists at that time did not have the conditions to deviate from the real and become virtual, and could not find such an ideal and large-scale transfer object like China. Whether it is , Asian Four Tigers , or later Southeast Asian countries, they did not have the conditions to fully accept the transfer of the United States.
But China's rise changed all this. American capitalists finally found a place that can make them bigger profits, allowing them to complete the upgrading of capital and completely move towards the founding of finance.
But why did this contradiction only break out in full swing in recent years? The key point of
is that because of the economic innovation in the United States, this problem has been covered up to a certain extent. Until 2016, before Trump came to power, the tide receded and the naked swimming showed his bare butt.
As we mentioned earlier, the key to the success of the democratic myth is that in this political cycle, everyone must have positive benefits. However, when the United States deviates from the real and becomes virtual, and becomes financially established, although the capital of the United States grew rapidly, the living standards of the American people declined.
And not only that, due to the rise of the Internet, another key node in the American political cycle, that is, capital's ability to control election results by mastering mass media, controlling social public opinion, and then manipulating election results has also been broken. Therefore, from now on, a large number of populist politicians in the United States will come to power, which will lead to the source of the legitimacy of the United States' government and run contrary to the interests of capital. The United States will fall into an embarrassing situation in India, so the decline of the United States is inevitable.
This contradiction is unsolvable. A similar process occurred from Ancient Rome to later Britain. In ancient Rome, it was because slave owners adopted a large number of slave economy, which destroyed the political cycle of ancient Rome, causing Roman citizens who had votes to go bankrupt one after another. In the end, the contradiction intensified, populism rose, and Rome eventually moved towards the imperial system.
, and the UK had a similar process as the United States. It was also because of the greed attribute of capital, which led to the hollowing of the British industry. In addition, the two blows of the World War in , preventing the people from getting positive benefits in the cycle of democratic politics. This led to the rise of Labour Party after World War II, and nationalized economically, and turned to narrow localism in politics, which eventually caused the British Empire to collapse.
So do you find that if a democratic system wants to operate well, it must maintain its unity, that is, capital can control everything, but the problem is that the profit-seeking nature of capital will eventually lead to it, which will definitely destroy the most important link in this chain, that is, to ensure that the results of development can be given back to voters, and ultimately destroy the entire political cycle.
Therefore, if you understand what I said above, you will find that why is China's current political system the most advanced and reasonable? Because looking at the whole world, only the legitimacy of the Chinese government's governance comes from economic development , and why is this very important?
The famous scholar Zhang Xiaoyu once pointed out in his award-winning work, "Commerce and Civilization", that only a society that can achieve positive growth can drive the comprehensive progress of science and technology, culture and military technology, and the people will have a sense of happiness.
This view is very similar to my theory, because the government is born to pursue the legitimacy of its own governance. This is the key to the survival of any government. Only when its source of legitimacy is consistent with the direction of social development can this country take off.
But in our existing world, whether it is a democratic system or a Stalinist , it has its development ceiling, which will eventually lead to the legitimacy of these governments and the development of the economy. That is to say, when the source of the legitimacy of these regimes does not depend on economic development, it will not have such great motivation to develop the economy, and society will no longer achieve positive growth. The logic of
has actually been proven by history. For example, the political cycle in ancient China originated from the emperor's benefits to scholars through the imperial examinations, allowing them to become officials, and then they manage and educate the people through the Confucian theory of , making the people believe in the principle of the monarch's power and the divine entitlement of , thus providing the legitimacy of the emperor.
33Medieval European political cycle originated from the feudal lords protecting the church through force, and the church fooled the people through religion, making the people believe in the existing political order. It is God's arrangement and provides a basis for the legitimacy of the rule of feudal lords.
In fact, the governments before the birth of capitalism were not the source of their legality, and therefore the development of these societies will eventually stagnate and cannot achieve positive growth, and will inevitably decline.
So in the foreseeable future, only the legitimacy of the Chinese government comes from economic development, so Chinese society will definitely achieve sustained positive growth.
. All existing democratic countries will encounter the ceiling we mentioned earlier. Sooner or later, their source of legitimacy of governance will be decoupled from economic development. Such a society is destined to lose the driving force for development.
Therefore, China's rise and the decline of the West will be inevitable. The rise and fall of the East is not an imagination, but a historical necessity.