According to @Dr. Zhang Wenhong, today I posted a discussion to discuss the roadmap for eliminating the popularity of new crown from Bayuquan to Taipei Circle.
Anhui Lu'an The source of the new coronavirus cases is gradually becoming clear. Professor Wu Zunyou of China's Disease Control and Prevention based on detailed data, suggests that the core hot spots of this epidemic occurred in Bayuquan, Yingkou. According to the screening of close contacts in cities related to the indicated case (Beijing Shenyang Dalian Hefei), the origin of possible input of cases was finally locked in terms of time and space.
The origin of the case input, whether it is a person or object, can still occur in the future. As international exchanges gradually open up, the risk of input will not be reduced. Recent outbreaks in Taiwan, China also suggest a similar phenomenon. Once input, it spreads rapidly.
Based on more than a year of experience last year, in the end, whether it is yingkou and Lu'an , or Taiwan, as long as strict social distance restrictions are adopted according to the epidemic, and testing and personnel flow tracking are increased, it is only a matter of time before the epidemic is controlled. There is no doubt about this. In the future, everyone can also take a shower and go to bed and wait for the epidemic to be controlled.
But whether it is Bayuquan or Taipei circle, such stories are repeated, what will the future life be like? What will be the roadmap for human beings to overcome the new crown epidemic? Regarding the recent epidemic, the following information is prompted:
1. The new coronavirus did not leave on its own, but was distributed around the world. As long as we relax our prevention and control measures a little, the epidemic will restart soon, and the spread rate has not weakened at all compared to last year.
2. Judging from the current global epidemic, the new coronavirus has become a permanent virus in the world, and we must be prepared for long-term response.
3. Vaccination rates around the world are very slow and unbalanced. Neither Bayuquan nor Taipei Circle have reached the level of vaccine barrier in the local area. The cases from Yingkou to Lu'an have never been vaccinated. But unvaccinated is the current norm in the world. Even in countries with very abundant vaccine supply, it is difficult to reach the level of herd immunity that completely blocks transmission.
4. Although the virus mutation occurs faster than the influenza virus and does not have the effect of completely escaping the vaccine, the possibility of the virus mutating escape strain is increasing due to the insufficient vaccination speed.
The good news is that at the exchange meeting held at the Shanghai National Convention and Exhibition Center last week on WHO to approve China's inactivated in the WHO emergency use list (EUL). I saw that UAE 's main researcher Naval Alkabi showed the data submitted by China's inactivated vaccine to the WHO, which showed that it could reduce the hospitalization rate of new coronary pneumonia by 93%, and no one died in the vaccinated group. The data obtained by the WHO is very important and even more important than the protection rate. If the severity and mortality rate of the disease can be greatly reduced through universal vaccination, the harm of the disease can be reduced to the level of influenza . At that time, the new crown will still be regularly epidemic in winter every year, and the north and south hemispheres will take turns, but the world can still be open.
hopes that the world will achieve widespread vaccination as soon as possible, and complete the maximum range of immunization before the virus can effectively escape mutations, providing opportunities for global normalization.
believes that after China enters the WHO's emergency vaccination list, with the realization of vaccination goals in international developed countries, the global universal vaccination goals will be gradually achieved in the future.
After the widespread vaccination of smallpox in developed countries achieved control of smallpox, it took 10 years for humans to receive smallpox vaccine in third world countries (1967-1977). Finally, through human cooperation, the control and elimination of the virus was achieved.
believes that today's world can eventually get out of the shadow of the new crown and shake hands with the new crown. However, for a virus that is less harmful than smallpox, humans are not prepared to have a decisive battle with the virus. In the future, mankind will exert global wisdom, get out of misunderstandings, and gradually pass global vaccination, and will eventually achieve control of the new coronavirus in a different model than eliminating smallpox.However, countries and regions that have taken the lead in completing vaccination will first emerge from the shadow of the new crown, and the world will gradually open up.
Latest data
4 local cases
015 00:00 to 24:00 on the 15th, 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 18 new confirmed cases, including 4 local cases (all in Liaoning). There were 219 new asymptomatic infections in , including 5 local cases (all in Liaoning).
Taiwan added 206 new cases in a single day
Taiwan's epidemic epidemic command center announced today (16th) that Taiwan added 207 new confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia, 206 local cases and 1 overseas migration respectively. The
command center said that the 206 new local cases were 90 males and 116 females, aged between under 5 and over 80 years old, and the onset date/check date was between April 6 and May 15, 2021. The counties and cities for residence were 97 cases in Taipei City, 289 cases in New Taipei City, 29 cases in Zhanghua County, 3 cases in Yilan County and Hsinchu County, 2 cases in Taoyuan City and Keelung City, and 21 cases in Taichung City.
(Original title: From Bayuquan to Taipei Circle! Doctor Zhang Wenhong talks about the roadmap to eliminate the new crown epidemic)
Source: Comprehensive @Dr. Zhang Wenhong Global Network CCTV News
