In a blink of an eye, the US midterm elections have entered the 12-day countdown, and the more critical is, the more likely it is to "fall the chain" . There have been many scandals in both parties.
First turn your attention to the ruling Democratic Party .
On the 26th local time, the US " New York Post " suddenly revealed that the US House of Representatives Speaker and Democratic Party boss Nancy Pelosi is suspected of "receiving money and doing things", which is likely to constitute the "bribery crime" .
It turns out that Pelosi and her Democratic colleagues in the House of Representatives received a lot of campaign donations during this period, including a of over 500,000 from American media tycoon Byron Allen, and Pelosi received of of .
As for this media tycoon, he is the founder of American Allen Media Group . He has a series of cable TV networks and is recently trying to compete for the national broadcast network of "Tegna" , a listed company with 64 local TV stations, to expand Allen Media's business scope.
However, hedge fund "Standard General" is also seeking to acquire "Tegna", and related news came out as early as February this year. At that time, Tegna's share price was less than $21, while Standard General was willing to bid $24, and Allen and his partners could only bid $23.
More than half a year has passed. Tegna, which originally had a market value of about US$4.6 billion, has now nearly doubled its market value. Standard General has even launched , a acquisition plan of US$18.6 billion, which naturally put a lot of pressure on Allen Media.
Interestingly, just before and after Allen donated to Pelosi and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Pelosi, the third-ranking figure in the United States, suddenly intervened in the acquisition case .
She wrote a letter to FCC (FCCh) Chairman Rosen Woesel, claiming that Standard General acquisition of Tegna or raises cable charges, squeezing local news reports and causing job losses .
will not mention these far-fetched reasons. The key is that this acquisition has no interest in Pelosi himself. , and there is no TV station in the San Francisco constituency to which she belongs to Tegna. In other words, Pelosi's intervention in this acquisition case, cannot please San Francisco voters , and she seems suspicious about putting pressure on the FCC.
In fact, it is not new to the US congressmen to put pressure on the FCC. For example, when Huawei tried to enter the US market in 2018, the second largest mobile operator in the United States, AT&Th, which cooperated with, broke the contract at the last moment because of the obstruction of the US government and the unreasonable investigation of the FCC.
According to US media, 18 U.S. members of Congress once jointly sent a letter to then FCC Chairman Akit Pai, asking him to investigate Huawei's cooperation with US operators . Behind this incident, there is obviously unknown insider trading.
Nowadays, as American analysts have said, Pelosi's behavior in helping campaign donors "looks bad". If she had an agreement with Allen, it would "constitute an agreement." But if there is no obvious agreement, even if the law is not violated, it will inevitably cause disgust among some voters.
There is no doubt that at a critical moment before the midterm election, this scandal in which involves "power and money transactions" is very deadly.
Given that Pelosi is already plagued by scandals this year, including her delays preventing the "restricted parliamentarian stock trading" bill from passing , receiving the title of " Capitol Hill Share God", her husband Paul drunk driving, etc., the negative impact she can have on the Democratic Party may be far more than the positive impact.
latest poll shows that Democrats are likely to lose control of US Senate and House of Representatives , and it will be difficult for Pelosi to serve as the Speaker of the House of Representatives by then.
After talking about the Democratic Party, let’s talk about Republican Party .
At present, many poll analysis agencies have stated that due to high inflation in the United States and slow economic growth, the ruling Democratic Party can only hype abortion rights and other issues tearing apart society , which makes voters no longer trust President Biden , and Republicans are likely to regain control of the two houses from the Democratic Party.
The external election situation seems to be very good, but the Republican Party is in chaos. The US media Capitol Hill reported on the 26th local time that more and more famous Republicans have warned recently that former President Trump should not participate in the general election again in 2024, and even if they participate, they will lose.
It seems that the midterm elections are not over yet, and the division within the U.S. Republican Party can no longer be concealed.
These people are quite famous, including Former US President Bush 's son and Bush 's younger brother Jeb Bush , Former House Speaker Paul Ryan , Former Vice President Mike Pence , etc. However, Trump also has many allies, and he himself has huge amounts of campaign funds.
August poll showed that 59% of Republican respondents supported Trump became the party's nominee in the 2024 election, and the October poll showed that 55% of Republican voters supported Trump participated in the 2024 election.
If the Republican Party gains a lot in this midterm election, Trump, who has helped many Republican campaigners, will naturally be more confident in participating in the 2024 election. In a campaign held in Texas a few days ago, Trump emphasized that the prerequisite for his participation in the 2024 election is that the Republican Party wins the Senate .
But at present, Trump still faces a lot of trouble. is the disagreement within the Republican Party, is the second is the aftermath of the "Hai Lake Manor was searched for family" and is the third is the Democratic Party is still digging deep into the "Congressional riots", which may make him lose the qualification to participate in the election.
I have to say that Trump and Pelosi, the "old enemy", is now considered to be "brothers in trouble" .
