[Text/Observer Network Xiong Chaoran] Seeing that the November US midterm election is approaching, Biden is still working hard for the Democratic Party to canvass votes and promises voters that he will compile the "Roy v. Wade case" into law, but the current election situation seems not to be optimistic.
On October 25th local time, Reuters quoted U.S. government officials as saying that White House has lowered previous optimistic expectations for the midterm elections and has now begun to worry that Democrats may lose control of the Senate and House of Representatives at the same time.
report pointed out that recent polls show that some Democrats who had previously led the election showed struggles in the Senate election and were on the verge of losing. Because inflation is still high, the Senate election, which was originally evenly matched between the two parties, has a tendency to tilt towards Republican ; in the House election, the Biden camp also predicted that the Democrats would occupy the majority earlier this year, and now, including the famous poll analysis agency "FiveThirtyEight", has stated that the House is also "decisively" turning to the Republican Party.
Reuters report screenshot
It is reported that White House officials and Democratic election strategists admitted in an interview with Reuters that their camp's optimism about the midterm election has generally changed, but are not ready to give up. They pointed out that historically, the midterm elections were not conducive to parties that entered the White House, and the close competition between the Senate and the House of Representatives may only allow the Democrats to win a small number of votes.
A source familiar with internal White House thoughts told Reuters that Democrats believe that they are controlling the Senate is about 50%. Reuters said that although it is very realistic within the White House, it is still insisting on revealing promising information.
As early as May this year, Biden predicted that his Democratic colleagues would win in the Senate and House of Representatives, but last week he admitted that the election had become more intense. "They lead, we lead, they lead," Biden said, adding that the current polls are "flying everywhere" and before the November election comes, favorable poll results will turn to the Democratic Party again.
Data picture: US President Biden's picture from The Paper Image
Reuters pointed out that losing control over the Senate and House of Representatives or one of the Houses of Congress will profoundly affect Biden's presidency in the next two years. By then, Republicans are expected to block their priority legislative agenda in areas such as family leave, abortion rights, and security issues, while promoting new laws that limit immigration and spending, and using debt ceilings as leverage .
In addition, Republicans are expected to investigate the Democratic spending issues, Biden's son Hunter Biden's business transactions and private life. Some Republican lawmakers even said they hope to impeach President Biden, Vice President Harris or other cabinet members.
Many of Biden's former and current staff reportedly said the White House is preparing for any possible obstruction or investigation. Eric Schultz, an election strategist who is close to the Democratic Party, said the White House is well aware of what the Republican control will be like, and it is not mysterious to see what Republicans will do if they are elected.
report analyzed that U.S. Supreme Court overturned the verdict of the "Roy v. Wade case" in June this year, causing a thousand waves. Then Kansas voted to reject the result of deleting abortion rights from state laws, which really made Democrats add points in the hearts of voters. However, the inflation rate in the United States remains high, and the economy remains the most concerned issue for voters.
In addition, the Democratic election strategist in battlefield state believes that another mistake of the White House is the failure to take advantage of a series of legislation success in climate issues, infrastructure construction and expanding social welfare, bringing higher support to Biden.
On October 17th local time, in Columbus, Georgia, USA, early voting for the midterm elections began. Some Democrats said they want to see Biden travel more frequently to emphasize how these policies affect local voters. But in elections in some key states, local candidates chose to fight the election without Biden's platform, according to an official.
Biden has reportedly increased his schedule in recent weeks, traveling back and forth between more political activities and activities that promote legislative achievements. Meanwhile, former President Obama will also start the campaign to canvass the vote this week.
22 US midterm elections will be held on November 8, and will be re-elected by the House of Representatives, some senators and some governors. At the same time, this election is also regarded as voters rating the current President Biden's political achievements.
Specifically, the midterm elections have been re-elected for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, which are directly elected by voters. Representatives are elected according to the population ratio of each state, and their term of office is 2 years, but the constituencies will be redrawn according to the census every 10 years. This year's U.S. midterm elections will be the first election affected by redistricting after the 2020 U.S. census.
In the Senate, about one-third of the seats are also directly elected by voters. Senators will elect 2 people in each state for a term of 6 years. At least 34 senators will be elected in this midterm election. Both the House and the Senate will hold special elections to fill the vacancy depending on the specific circumstances (such as the resignation or death of the congressman).
In addition, the midterm elections will also be held for the legislative and administrative elections of governors, states and counties.
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