Jimu News Reporter Song Qingying
Less than two weeks after the US midterm elections, and as the poll satisfaction rate of Biden dropped to 39%, the momentum of the Republican in is getting stronger and stronger. Democrats are worried about losing a majority in Congress and turn to former president Obama whose approval ratings have risen after leaving office. Obama will visit swing state in a few days to canvass votes for the Democrats.
However, looking back on history, it was found that during Obama's two presidency, he failed to lead the Democratic Party to win the midterm elections once. Can he complete this difficult task this time?
Obama at the voting site in Chicago (Photo source: Associated Press)
Republicans are pressing step by step, Obama quickly made a move
According to Associated Press , Obama will go to Georgia on October 28 local time to canvass votes. On the 29th, he will go to Michigan and Wisconsin , and next week, he will stay in Nevada and Pennsylvania . These four states are the fierce battlefields for the November 8 U.S. midterm elections.
The momentum of Republican candidates seems to be getting stronger and stronger, and the Republicans are expected to only need to obtain one more Senate seat to control the Senate and gain key governorship before the 2024 presidential election.
To resist the attack from the Republican Party, Obama seems to have become the greatest hope of the Democratic Party. He is regarded as an "albatross" by Democrats in states such as Georgia, , Nevada, and . Democratic strategists believe that Obama has a wide influence even in a period of party transition and economic uncertainty.
South Carolina Democratic Party member Baccaree Sellers commented: "Obama is the best messenger in our party. He is the most popular politician among the two parties in the United States."
US media believe that Obama is more popular than when he was president, which is also compared with the current President Biden.
Democratic strategist Lis Smith said no incumbent party wants to run for the election in the face of continued inflation. "If the election is just a vote against the Democratic Party and the U.S. economy, then we are done."
For months, the Republican Party has criticized the Democratic Party for the soaring inflation rate in the United States. Faced with the fierce Republican offensive, Biden appeared in the fiercely competitive constituency Snow City, New York on October 27.
But Obama left office in January 2017, with a 59% approval rating when he left office. In his second year after he left office, his approval rating reached 63%, far exceeding his approval rating in 2010. In comparison, with the continued inflation in , Biden's current approval rating is not as good as Obama's performance in leaving office.
"Obama occupies a rare position in politics today." David Axelrod, an assistant to Obama's two presidential elections, said, "He is obviously very attractive to Democrats. But he is also deeply loved by independent voters."
Clinton He gave a 49-minute speech to help Obama re-election
Axelrod analyzed that for successive US presidents, most of them received higher evaluations after leaving office and played a role in assisting their own party elections. Clinton is a typical success story.
Clinton cheered Obama (Photo source: Reuters)
According to Reuters , during Obama's presidency, his former President Clinton's influence was revealed. Obama's re-election campaign in 2012 was extremely anxious, especially in fierce competition with Republican Mit Romney.
Clinton delivered a 49-minute speech detailing the central argument of Obama’s campaign: voters need to choose one of them in the policy of Democrats leading the United States to prosperity and the Republican policy of benefiting the rich at the expense of the majority.
Results The effect of Clinton's speech was far better than that of other speakers before, and the speeches of 11 and a half hours were played a great role in Obama's re-election campaign. “Clinton was our MVP (the one who made the greatest contribution to victory) in 2012,” Axelrod commented.
However, the Democrats now want to rely on Obama's power, which is not without risks.Smith said that taking Clinton as an example, he left the White House for 320 years, and allegations about his sex scandal have been revisited, "It's always risky to introduce former leaders in the midterm elections, and it doesn't help when they have a lot of problems themselves."
Democrats have performed poorly in the midterm elections during both Obama's presidency. In 2010, Democrats lost control of the House in the midterm elections. In the second midterm election four years later, Republicans regained control of the Senate.
However, Axelrod believes that Obama, like Clinton, has a unique appeal among voters. "They can colloquially express complex political views, and they are good at telling stories. I think when Obama was there (when canvassing), he would see this again."
Obama is more likely to fight for black constituencies
Smith believes that Obama has the ability to fight for Americans who are still undecided, and Obama did this in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.
analysis said that since Obama is not the president now, he can cleverly seek tacit understanding with voters, such as talking to voters about the achievements of the Democratic Inflation Cuts Act and the epidemic relief plan. At the same time, Obama can also bring out his medical reform again in 2010, reminding voters of Republican attacks on the bill over the years.
Black voters support Obama (Photo source: NBC)
Sellers also pointed out that as the first black president in American history, Obama has a special bond with black and brown voters, which is reflected in his election campaign.
In Atlanta , he will be on stage with the first black U.S. Senator Warnock, the first black U.S. Senator in Georgia history, who faces serious challenges from the same black Republican candidate Herschel Walker.
In the most critical battlefield, Georgia , Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are the places where the turnout of black people may determine the fate of the Democrats. In Michigan, Obama will help Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer run for election, and in Wisconsin, he will be canvassing for Senate candidate Milwaukee at Mandela Barnes . Both cities are the most concentrated black population in the state.
(Source: Jimu News)
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