The Taiwan issue has not been resolved. The final solution may be both peaceful, but it may also be a non-peaceful way. Someone in Taiwan has revealed a fact that has collapsed the "Taiwan independence" elements, that is, at least four variables are pushing Taiwan into war.
Recently, Professor Zhu Yunpeng, Taiwan’s Soochow University, wrote an article pointing out that in the current situation in the Taiwan Strait, at least four variables may push Taiwan into war, three of which are internal factors in Taiwan, while only one is external. These four factors are media, education, elections and confrontation between China and the United States. Among these four factors, the first three factors are inseparable from the DPP authorities. Only the last factor is something that Taiwan cannot change itself, but these four factors have all led to the situation in Taiwan moving towards force rather than peace. The reason for saying this is mainly because of the DPP authorities' own actions and the US's interference.
First of all, it is the media. The media level is the key channel for the people to understand things, which will have a greater direct impact on the overall public opinion. Taiwan’s media is mainly controlled by the DPP authorities, and its attitude has lost its pursuit of fairness and objectivity. Looking at the public opinion on the island, it is full of a large number of irrational and deviant reports, and the overall characteristics of "anti-China, hatred of China, and despise China". So we will see that Taiwan’s so-called experts will say that mainland China cannot afford tea eggs or pickled vegetables so expensive that they cannot afford to buy them. On the surface, these experts are stupid, but in fact, these so-called experts say these absurd words to cater to the needs of fooling Taiwanese people. What is inseparable is that the DPP vigorously advocates "de-Sinicization" education in Taiwan, instilling "anti-China" ideas against the young generation of Taiwan at the educational level, which has increased the proportion of the young generation of Taiwan supporting "Taiwan independence". It should be said that the DPP authorities are trying their best to intervene in two important areas that affect the direction of public opinion in Taiwan, education and media, to enrich the "Taiwan independence" forces on the island.
After the DPP invests a lot of resources in the fields of education and media propaganda, it is obvious whether the next factor affecting the direction of the situation in Taiwan will increase the possibility of a war, that is, Taiwan's election. On the surface, Taiwan’s electoral system allows the people to vote and express their wishes, but its electoral system leaves enough space for political donations and propaganda offensives, and the DPP green camp can easily influence the election through various means. The most direct way is to obtain funds from enterprises and individuals that support "Taiwan independence" to run for election. In addition, the media and education offensives vigorously carried out by the DPP authorities within Taiwan have greatly affected the views of Taiwanese people, leaving many Taiwanese people without an accurate understanding, so that "Taiwan independence" sentiment is rampant in Taiwan. As a result, Taiwan’s election is very likely to allow the DPP authorities to control power, allowing the DPP to gain the opportunity to continue to control Taiwan in the key "general election" in 2024. At this critical moment, everyone must know what the DPP is re-election.
The first three factors are all within Taiwan. Sober people in Taiwan are capable of resisting, but the last factor is beyond the regional scope and actually becomes a major geostrategic issue. The Taiwan issue was originally China's internal affairs, but it is well known that the United States is trying to use the Taiwan issue as a starting point to prevent the reunification of mainland China. The fundamental reason is that the United States does not want to see a strong and unified China. After all, China's total economic output may completely surpass the United States before the 1930s. China is completely likely to replace the United States as the world's largest country. Once China is unified, the probability of this happening will be higher. Because of this, the United States has always been committed to suppressing China's development, and its means are all-out, from economic sanctions to technological blockade, and then to intervention in the Taiwan issue. However, the more the United States wants to split China, the closer it will be to China's strategic bottom line. The hookup between the United States and the "Taiwan independence" forces in turn force the mainland to adopt more deterrent military means. Every provocation of the United States increases the possibility of China using military means by a little.Therefore, the United States' actions that think it can split China actually increase the possibility of China's use of force in this region.
Based on the above factors, although there is still hope for a peaceful resolution of the Taiwan issue, these factors are jointly promoting the outbreak of war in Taiwan, which is a fact that must be admitted. For the "Taiwan independence" elements on the island, once a war breaks out, it means their doomsday. The strong strength of the People's Liberation Army is the biggest source of panic for the "Taiwan independence" elements. The possibility of the People's Liberation Army launching a "martial unification" operation is what collapses the "Taiwan independence" elements the most. Among these four variables in the situation in the Taiwan Strait, except for the Sino-US relations that the Taiwanese people cannot influence, they all have their own ability to take action to save themselves. The 2024 Taiwan "general election" will be an extremely important key.
