new stock speculation and new stock : Should I take the chestnut from the fire or pick the flowers at will?
is actually not important. It is important because we need to have a risk assessment before hype, not because what is really important is: how do we pick flowers and pick chestnuts! So today I will talk about the current speculation logic of new and secondary new stocks from the two aspects of risk assessment and picking flowers!
1. Risk Assessment
At present, the market has broken through the previous triple top , entering the era of 3300+. structural bull market is booming. Currently, the market is enthusiastic about trading, the average daily trading volume is also above 200 billion, and multiple moving averages are arranged in , with a good upward trend, so from the perspective of the market, new stocks It is in a better investment environment with the secondary new stock ;
, and new stocks and secondary new stocks fell by 47.35% from the high in early November last year to the low in early August this year, which is obviously in a relatively oversold state with a high safety margin. The increase since early June this year is also significantly lower than other strong sectors such as the three heroes in the cycle, and is also weaker than the performance of the market. Therefore, in terms of risk coefficient, the safety margin of investment in new stocks and secondary new stocks is still relatively high.
In short, it is relatively safe and reasonable to invest in new and secondary stocks at present.
2. Pick the flower and pick the chestnut
1. Lock pattern
(1) The moving average does not break
Moving average does not break
For new stocks that have opened for the first time, here is a common sense trading method: the pullback does not break 5-day moving average or 10-day moving average is the best buying point. At this time, you must dare to buy. Generally, the targets that do not break the support of the moving average are relatively strong. The probability of a second explosion and hit a new high is very high. If you catch the opportunity well, the profit margin may be quite considerable. Friends can pay attention to the targets that have such opportunities!
(2) Sell high and buy low and buy
Sell high and buy low and buy
This type of new stock rose and fell back to after opening. After wave after wave of peak and trough rotation, we will find that the low points and high points of the band are constantly rising, and no increase is accompanied by the amplification of trading volume. The cycle rotation is very good, maintaining a good wide-range fluctuation upward trend, which is especially suitable to buy low when the retreat does not break through the previous trough!
(3) Consolidation and absorption
Consolidation and absorption
This type of new stock also took a wave of correction shortly after the opening. After stopping the decline, it entered a box of volatility , and combined with the weak volume of trading volume, and each oscillation and correction did not fall below the previous low, which means that the chips were dispersed and there was no way to fall. Because the consolidation cycle was long, bottomed out is very solid, which is also more conducive to the main force of to absorb . As shown in the figure, after the first positive line of breaking through the box, the market has launched a strong upward wave, and the next day after breaking through the box is our entry point. However, before we broke through the box, we cannot judge when the main force will rise. The last method is to build positions in batches every time the box is retracement and stop falling. Hold patiently, and we will eventually be able to keep the clouds clear and the moon will be bright!
2. Targeting the subject
Regarding the subject, we should of course pay attention to promising targets with strong hype genes. Here I provide some of my own ideas: high bonus and transfer, technology concepts (especially artificial intelligence, electronic information, Apple concept , etc.). If there is a concept superposition, it is better to stimulate the explosiveness of related targets in this type of popularity concept.
3. Pay attention to the company
Let me briefly talk about the company's development status, industry and position in the industry are fundamental factors that affect stock prices. Therefore, even if you are speculating in new stocks and secondary new stocks, you cannot ignore the research on its parent company. What we need to look for is: if the circulation market value is small (100 million or even below 50 million), the price-to-earnings ratio of is low, especially if there is a large valuation expectation difference, the growth potential of this type of individual stocks has great financial status, high annual net profit margin, and a large market share of the product and strong technological driving force. If the institutional holdings are dense, especially if the controlling shareholder holds a share ratio of more than 30%-50%, the concentrated chips of this type of individual stock are conducive to the explosion of stock prices.
